Bellewstown 17:00 RESULTED
30 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap

Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m4f110y

Official Result

Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Arch Enemy (IRE) Adam Grant · Patrick Magee
    9/1
  2. 13/2
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Arch Enemy silks
Arch Enemy
Age 7 · 10-4
110541
74
64
78
7
10-4
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 11/2 11/1
Arch Enemy arrives in cracking nick, having won last time out just 12 days ago and taken three of her last six starts, with experience of both today's trip and going. The main risk is carrying 144 lb, and our rating of 78 still ranks her third of 13.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Coulstys Way silks
Coulstys Way
Age 4 · 10-2
-03U91
72
62
73
4
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 11/2 17/2
Won last time out and fit after 22 days, Coulstys Way has run over today's trip and going and looks a leading danger, with our rating of 73 ranking her fourth of 13. The main risk is the 142 lb she carries, off an official mark of 72.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Justenzia silks
Justenzia
Age 4 · 10-1
007022
71
73
81
4
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 FCST 4/1
Back-to-back seconds last twice show Justenzia is in form, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner at 81 against an official mark of 71, she is quick back after three days, though still yet to win in her last six.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Celtic Druid silks
Celtic Druid
Age 5 · 9-12
473278
68
41
67
5
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 30/1
Celtic Druid has been placed twice in recent starts, a third four starts back and a second the run after, but he's faded to seventh and eighth since, and he's winless in his last six. Back quickly after 12 days, he has run over this trip and going before, though 138 lb is a lot to carry off a mark of 68.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

5
Miss Australie silks
Miss Australie
Age 5 · 9-10
856134
66
64
68
5
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 17/2
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Miss Gitana silks
Miss Gitana
Age 5 · 9-8
803206
64
39
67
5
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 40/1 50/1
Miss Gitana is winless in her last six, with just a sixth last time out and a lone second and third before that, so she is hard to fancy, and 134 lb is no help. She has run over today's trip and going and is fresh from 14 days ago, but ranks tenth of 13 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

7
Scorcher's Son silks
Scorcher's Son
Age 4 · 9-8
766
64
67
69
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
2/1
Scorcher's Son is winless in his last three, finishing sixth, sixth and seventh, though he's back quickly after just 12 days and our rating of 69 sits above his official mark of 64. Carrying 134 lb, he looks a midfield type rather than a threat.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Preparations silks
Preparations
Age 5 · 9-6
7-0615
62
61
67
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 15/2 6/1
Fifth last time out, and a winner two starts back, Preparations has run over today's trip and going, but she is winless in her other recent outings. Carrying 132 lb off 62, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 67 placing her ninth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Spanish John silks
Spanish John
Age 8 · 9-6
169-06
62
38
69
8
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1
Spanish John's last win came five starts back, and since then he's finished sixth, unplaced, ninth and sixth, so this 85-day break follows a slide. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 69 sits above his official 62, though 132 lb is a burden.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Dancing Steve silks
Dancing Steve
Age 5 · 9-5
000831
61
56
64
5
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 7/1 16/1
Dancing Steve won last time out and was third the start before, but three unplaced runs preceded that, and he ranks 12th of 13 on our figures at 131 lb. He has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 26 days, yet he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Duke Of Leggagh silks
Duke Of Leggagh
Age 6 · 9-5
7-9000
61
64
80
6
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 11/1
Fresh from a 15-day break, Duke Of Leggagh has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 80 ranks him second of 13 off an official mark of 61, a decent case as a strong threat. The risk is a winless recent run, with nothing better than seventh in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Metamorpheus silks
Metamorpheus
Age 7 · 8-12
835-14
54
56
65
7
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 15/2 13/2
Fourth last time out and a winner two starts back, Metamorpheus is back after just six days and has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 65 ranks him only 11th of 13, and 124 lb makes life tough off a mark of 54.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Sneddy Eddie silks
Sneddy Eddie
Age 6 · 8-11
/0149-
53
51
63
6
8-11
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 9/1 20/1
Beaten in his last two, ninth latest and fourth before that, Sneddy Eddie's win came three starts back, and he has run on today's going, but a yard 2/38 in the last 14 days and a 13th-of-13 ranking on our figures make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Arch Enemy 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 Coral
2 Coulstys Way 9/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
3 Justenzia 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 9/2 Bet365
4 Celtic Druid 33/1 open 21.00 30/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Miss Australie 10/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 7.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
6 Miss Gitana 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
7 Scorcher's Son 2/1 open 5.50 2/1 open 4.50 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 9/4 Coral
8 Preparations 15/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 9.50 15/2 Bet365
9 Spanish John 25/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 28/1 Coral
10 Dancing Steve 16/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 Paddy Power
11 Duke Of Leggagh 11/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Paddy Power
12 Metamorpheus 8/1 15/2 open 9.50 8/1 8/1 13/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
13 Sneddy Eddie 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 12.00 25/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Scorcher's Son

Speculative

Scorcher's Son owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Joseph Patrick O'Brien Julian Pietropaolo
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Justenzia

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Denis Gerard Hogan
✓ Value Signal

Celtic Druid

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · T G McCourt
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Scorcher's Son
50.0 2/1
2 3. Justenzia
49.4 9/2
3 8. Preparations
47.3 15/2
4 12. Metamorpheus
45.2 8/1
5 11. Duke Of Leggagh
45.1 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Scorcher's Son
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 4 · 9-8
2/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 10-1
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-6
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 7 · 8-12
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 10-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 10-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-5
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Scorcher's Son
Confidence: Speculative

Scorcher's Son (SR:67, 5/2) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has been backed aggressively — in 26% since opening — which is the strongest market signal in this race by some margin. Joseph Patrick O'Brien's 16% strike rate is comfortably the best trainer figure declared, and Julian Pietropaolo at 8% is a competent booking for an apprentice series final. The weight of 9-8 is fair for the ability level, sitting comfortably below the top two weights. While the form reads only 766 and distance/going fitness is unproven (?), the class of the yard combined with the significant market move suggests connections believe this is the right race at the right time, and the SR edge over the next cluster of 64s is meaningful in a modest field. Each-way alternative: Justenzia. Main danger: Justenzia — Justenzia holds the second-highest SR (73) in the field — actually the highest raw figure — has been backed in 9% with a tongue-tie applied, and at 4/1 represents genuine each-way value, though DistFit:- and GoingFit:- plus only 3 days since last run are real concerns that keep it off the top spot.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads only 766 — three starts, three below-par finishes with no placed effort; the horse has yet to show it can win or even threaten in any race.
  • Justenzia holds a SR of 73 (6 points clear) and has come in 9% in the market while Scorcher's Son is only rated 67 — the field contains a meaningfully higher-rated rival.
  • HG flag shows 'p' (soft/heavy preference unconfirmed) with going fitness unproven on today's ground at Bellewstown, a track that can ride very differently to tracks where O'Brien's juveniles/lightly-…
  • Apprentice Julian Pietropaolo carries a modest 8% strike rate and this is a series final — the competitive nature of the race may expose inexperience at a crucial tactical moment.
Shortlist Scorcher's Son, Justenzia, Arch Enemy, Miss Australie
Each-way: Justenzia Danger: Justenzia

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f110y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting