Frank O'Beirne Memorial Beginners Steeplechase · 3m1f182y
SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Boston Rajj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Benner Wenner | 20/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Bergamasquo | 10/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Down Around | 10/3 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 5 Mags Nelson | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Only For Our Man | 7/2 open 7.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Ready For Road | 14/1 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Affinity Rock | 7/2 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 9 River Tara | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Walkingmayotomilan | 9/2 open 12.00 | 9/2 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 9/2 open 11.00 | 9/2 open 11.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Affinity Rock owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Down Around (SR 115, 5/2) is the clear ability leader in this beginner chase field, with a recent form line of 6-7141 that shows a win last time out and consistent improvement under blinkers. Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate, 4,018 runners) booking Jack Kennedy (22% strike rate, 1,210 runners) is comfortably the strongest trainer-jockey combination on the card — Kennedy's 22% career win rate is elite and signals a yard confident in this runner. GoingFit:~ confirms the horse handles good ground adequately, and at 5/2 the market still prices it as the dominant force despite a modest 8% drift which appears more tactical than alarming. The MarkMv:+5 is a small negative but in a beginners chase where SRs cluster between 72 and 119, the 8-10 point SR gap over the next-best rivals is the decisive factor. Each-way alternative: Affinity Rock. Main danger: Affinity Rock — Affinity Rock (SR 119, 3/1) is actually the SR leader in the field, carries a lighter weight of 11-5 giving it a 7lb pull on Down Around, and despite a 10% drift the four-star AI rating and competitive recent form line 0-2234 show progressive ability — if Down Around's blinkers fail to sharpen it jumping, Affinity Rock's raw SR edge could be decisive.