Gracie's Bar Beginners Steeplechase · 2m1f120y
SR 136 backed by market confidence at 11/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 142 backed by market confidence at 5/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
SR 112 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bowensonfire | 11/4 open 3.50 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Hello Neighbour | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.63 | 11/8 open 2.20 | 11/8 open 2.20 | 11/8 open 2.20 | 11/8 open 2.20 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Putapoundinthejar | 9/4 open 3.00 | 2/1 open 2.63 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Western Doyen | 300/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 300/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mode Avion | 11/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Putapoundinthejar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (75) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 142 backed by market confidence at 5/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 136 backed by market confidence at 11/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 112 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No drifters in this race.
Hello Neighbour carries the highest SR in the field at 142, a clear 6-point edge over second-ranked Hello Neighbour at 142 vs Bowensonfire at 136, and is rightly the 5/4 market leader. The form string 57031- contains a recent win (the '1') and the horse represents a strong Gavin Cromwell yard booking with Keith Donoghue, a combination that fires at a combined respectable clip. The DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags are a genuine concern given 151 days off and unknown trip/going credentials, but in a weak 5-runner beginners' chase the SR advantage is simply too large to ignore, and the market has stayed tight rather than drifting meaningfully. Bowensonfire's 9% market drift is a notable negative signal against Elliott's #1 runner in this yard pairing. Each-way alternative: Putapoundinthejar. Main danger: Putapoundinthejar — Putapoundinthejar (SR:135) holds a GoingFit:+ advantage on today's good ground — a confirmed edge Hello Neighbour cannot match given GoingFit:? — and the recent form 5-3112 shows back-to-back wins heading into this, giving A.J. Martin's runner a live chance if Hello Neighbour needs the run after 151 days off.