Kempton (AW) 16:25 RESULTED
Class 4 30 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 6f

Official Result

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Marhaba Ya Tayib (IRE) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes
    15/2
  2. 16/1
  3. 300/1
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14:20–17:50 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Real Bullet silks
Real Bullet
Age 2 · 10-1
11
92
98
92OR
2
10-1
★★★☆☆
—
10/11 Evs 10/11
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Brynmair Gold silks
Brynmair Gold
Age 2 · 9-1
—
—
139
—
2
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
18/1 9/1 18/1
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Just Zain silks
Just Zain
Age 2 · 9-1
—
—
133
—
2
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 18/1 14/1
SR 133 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 133 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Marhaba Ya Tayib silks
Marhaba Ya Tayib
Age 2 · 9-1
4
—
145
—
2
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 9/2 10/1
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Romeo Guest silks
Romeo Guest
Age 2 · 9-1
59
—
121
—
2
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
125/1 28/1 100/1
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Till Then silks
Till Then
Age 2 · 9-1
—
—
139
—
2
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 11/1 17/2
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Sea Angie Run silks
Sea Angie Run
Age 2 · 8-13
77
—
125
—
2
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 FCST 25/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Quai Louis silks
Quai Louis
Age 2 · 8-12
6
—
144
—
2
8-12
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 17/2 7/2
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Sol Dorado silks
Sol Dorado
Age 2 · 8-12
95
—
137
—
2
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 10/1 16/1
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Birkett Bank silks
Birkett Bank
Age 2 · 8-10
2
—
149
—
2
8-10
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 9/2 17/2
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Real Bullet 10/11 open 2.20 10/11 open 2.00 evn evn 10/11 open 2.00 10/11 open 2.00 evn Coral
2 Brynmair Gold 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
3 Just Zain 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Marhaba Ya Tayib 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 5.50 10/1 open 5.50 10/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 5.50 11/1 Betfred
5 Romeo Guest 125/1 open 29.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 125/1 Bet365
6 Till Then 9/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Sea Angie Run 33/1 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 33/1 Bet365
8 Quai Louis 7/2 open 9.50 9/2 open 11.00 7/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 Paddy Power
9 Sol Dorado 22/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 22/1 Bet365
10 Birkett Bank 10/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.50 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 7.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Quai Louis

Live signal

Quai Louis owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (80) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Birkett Bank

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/1 · Clive Cox
✓ Value Signal

Romeo Guest

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

125/1 · Jack Channon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
80 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +30.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Quai Louis
67.1 7/2
2 10. Birkett Bank
66.9 10/1
3 6. Till Then
64.7 9/1
4 4. Marhaba Ya Tayib
63.2 10/1
5 2. Brynmair Gold
60.2 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Real Bullet
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 10-1
10/11
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 8-12
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾 —

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-1
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 139 🐾 —

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-1
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾 —

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 2 · 8-10
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 149 🐾 —

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-1
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 133 🐾 —

SR 133 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-1
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 139 🐾 —

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Real Bullet
Confidence: Speculative

Real Bullet (SR 98, 10/11) is the only runner with a winning form line — two wins from two starts — and is the clear market leader, shortening a further 7% from opening. While its SR of 98 looks modest against unraced rivals with higher SRs, SR on debutants is a projection based on breeding/trial data rather than proven form, and Real Bullet's 'Form:11' is concrete evidence of ability on track. George Boughey operates at 18% and Billy Loughnane at 18%, both respected yards/riders in this sphere. The weight of 10-1 is the heaviest in the field but at 6f on All-Weather Good to Soft conditions for a 2yo novice, the 3-11lb advantage held by rivals is not a race-changing burden. The market has committed heavily to this horse over genuinely unexposed rivals, including some with higher SR projections, suggesting connections are confident stepping up one class. Each-way alternative: Birkett Bank. Main danger: Birkett Bank — Birkett Bank (SR 149, 7/1) holds the highest SR of any runner with racecourse form — a placed effort on debut — and Clive Cox at 17% is a strong handler of promising juveniles, with the lightest weight in the field at 8-10 giving it a 5lb pull on Real Bullet; the drift of 37% is a concern but may simply reflect inexperience rather than a negative stable signal.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Real Bullet's SR of 98 is the lowest in the field by a significant margin — rivals Birkett Bank (149), Marhaba Ya Tayib (145) and Quai Louis (144) carry materially superior breeding/trial projections…
  • 51-day absence since last run raises a freshness question in a field where Marhaba Ya Tayib, Birkett Bank, Quai Louis and Sol Dorado have all raced within the last 15-22 days and arrive race-fit.
  • Birkett Bank (7/1, SR 149, Clive Cox 17%) ran a clear 2nd on debut just 15 days ago — strong recent form, top-tier breeding, and a powerful yard; represents a concrete alternative with recency advant…
  • Real Bullet carries 10-1 (stone), the heaviest weight in the field — at 6f on AW Good to Soft, that 2-5lb concession to the majority of rivals in a tightly-bunched 2yo novice is a measurable drag, no…
Shortlist Real Bullet, Birkett Bank, Brynmair Gold, Just Zain
Each-way: Birkett Bank Danger: Birkett Bank

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade