Bellewstown 16:25 RESULTED
30 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap

Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap · 5f3y

Official Result

Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Smoke Them Out (IRE) Sadhbh Tormey · T G McCourt
    4/1
  2. 15/8F
  3. 7/2
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16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bay Of Supremacy silks
Bay Of Supremacy
Age 3 · 10-0
13-315
76
75
77
3
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/2 4/1
Bay Of Supremacy has two wins in his last five starts, including a victory two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating ranks him second of nine. The main risk is a 134-day layoff, which leaves fitness in question after a fifth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Clonmacash silks
Clonmacash
Age 5 · 10-0
437516
75
72
78
5
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 FCST 5/1
Clonmacash is our selection and has a win two starts back, plus he's fresh from a run nine days ago and has run over today's trip and going before. He steps up off a sixth last time, but our 78 rating tops the field of nine against an official 75, and he carries 140 lb from draw 3.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Gotta Catch'em All silks
Gotta Catch'em All
Age 6 · 9-11
129356
72
64
73
6
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 8/1 15/2
Gotta Catch'em All has run over today's trip and going, and a third three starts back plus a win in his last six shows he can pay his way, but he's finished sixth and fifth in his last two. Carrying 137 lb from stall five, he sits fifth of nine on our rating.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Nouvel Espoir silks
Nouvel Espoir
Age 6 · 9-9
144322
70
76
70
6
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 FCST 5/2
Nouvel Espoir has been placed in three of his last four, finishing second twice and third, but he has not won since the sixth start back and sits seventh of nine on our figures. Fit after nine days and experienced over this trip and going, though 135 lb looks a big ask.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Buddy Batt silks
Buddy Batt
Age 5 · 9-8
156040
69
73
73
5
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 13/2 9/2
Buddy Batt has run over today's trip and going, and won six starts back, but he has been unplaced in two of his last three and is back quickly after four days. Carrying 134 lb from draw 6, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 72 offering modest support.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Harry's Hill silks
Harry's Hill
Age 8 · 9-8
606210
69
76
74
8
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 9/2
Harry's Hill won two starts back and was second next time, and he's back quickly after four days, having run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 74 ranks him fourth of nine. The main risk is that he was unplaced last time and must carry 134 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Happy Henry silks
Happy Henry
Age 5 · 9-6
131593
67
69
63
5
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 5/1
Happy Henry has won two of his last six and was third last time out, but he was ninth and fifth before that, and carrying 132 lb off a mark of 67 looks a big ask. Our rating puts him last of nine, though he has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Smoke Them Out silks
Smoke Them Out
Age 4 · 9-6
203077
67
72
76
4
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 11/1 9/2
Fresh after just 12 days, Smoke Them Out has run over today's trip and going, and his 3rd and 2nd in the last six show he can get involved; our rating of 76 sits well above his official 67. The risk is two 7ths latest, leaving him yet to win in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
The Right One silks
The Right One
Age 3 · 9-0
40-100
62
44
64
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 20/1 50/1
The Right One has been unplaced in three of her last five, though she did win three starts back and has run over today's trip and going before. Off a 47-day break, carrying 126 lb from stall one, she looks hard to fancy, with our figures ranking her eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bay Of Supremacy 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
2 Clonmacash 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365
3 Gotta Catch'em All 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
4 Nouvel Espoir 3/1 open 3.50 5/2 open 4.00 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Bet365
5 Buddy Batt 9/2 open 12.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 Bet365
6 Harry's Hill 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
7 Happy Henry 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 Bet365
8 Smoke Them Out 5/1 open 15.00 9/2 open 12.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 15.00 9/2 open 12.00 5/1 Bet365
9 The Right One 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nouvel Espoir

Speculative

Nouvel Espoir owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 James M Barcoe Colin Keane
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Harry's Hill

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Martin Hassett
✓ Value Signal

The Right One

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Jarlath P Fahey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Nouvel Espoir
53.1 3/1
2 6. Harry's Hill
52.5 9/2
3 1. Bay Of Supremacy
51.3 4/1
4 5. Buddy Batt
51.0 9/2
5 2. Clonmacash
49.7 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Buddy Batt
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 10-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 8 · 9-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 9-6
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 10-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-11
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Buddy Batt
Confidence: Speculative

Buddy Batt (SR:73, 9/2) has steamed in 46% from opening — the most dramatic market move in the field by a wide margin — and that level of sustained money demands serious respect. The MarkMv:-8 means he's running off a mark 8lb lower than his last win, a clear handicapper's gift, and Course:W1P2 confirms he handles Bellewstown specifically. Carrying 9-8 he has a 6lb weight advantage over joint top-weights Bay Of Supremacy and Clonmacash (both 10-0) while possessing a comparable or superior SR. The combination of a generous mark drop, strong course record, and aggressive market support — running just 4 days fresh — is the strongest multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Nouvel Espoir. Main danger: Nouvel Espoir — Nouvel Espoir (SR:76, 7/2) holds the joint-highest SR in the field and carries 9-9 — 5lb lighter than the top-weights — with Colin Keane (16% strike rate, 2347 runners) providing a significant jockey upgrade, and a consistent recent form line of 144322 that screams a race-fit horse due a win; the only concern is MarkMv:+9 and a 20% market drift, which suggests connections may not be fully confident today.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Recent form reads 156040 — that '0' is a last-place finish and the overall sequence shows no win in at least 5 runs, raising doubts about current ability to convert even on a generous mark.
  • Running just 4 days after his last outing is an extremely tight turnaround; quick returns often signal the yard is chasing a mark before a rise, not that the horse is peaking.
  • Trainer Tracey Collins has a win strike rate of only 10% from just 63 runners — a very thin sample with limited firepower, making yard confidence harder to trust despite market move.
  • Nouvel Espoir (SR:76, 7/2) carries only 1lb more, has the highest SR in the race, superior recent form (144322), and Colin Keane (16% SR) in the saddle — a stronger overall profile at a shorter price.
Shortlist Buddy Batt, Nouvel Espoir, Bay Of Supremacy, Harry's Hill
Each-way: Nouvel Espoir Danger: Nouvel Espoir

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f3y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting