Ebf Novice Stakes · 0m7f212y
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 136 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 132 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Burning Up | 2/5 open 1.80 | 4/9 open 1.67 | 2/5 open 1.73 | 2/5 open 1.73 | 4/9 open 1.73 | 4/9 open 1.73 | 4/9 Paddy Power |
| 2 Austin | 8/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Bedford Benny Boy | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Dancing Dunes | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Hands To Yourself | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sir Terry Hadley | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Tidal Force | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Under Arrest | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Zarak Crown | 16/1 open 7.50 | 14/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 14/1 open 7.00 | 14/1 open 7.50 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Burning Up owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 136 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Burning Up (SR 158, 1/2) is the standout on every meaningful signal. The SR of 158 is a full 8 points clear of second-ranked Austin (SR 150) and 15+ points ahead of the rest — a margin that reflects genuine superiority at this class level. Crucially, it has already won at Haydock (Course:W1P1) and carries experience from a winning debut (Form:1), while the majority of rivals are debutants. The market has shortened 12% from opening, confirming professional confidence, and K.R. Burke at 19% strike rate with Clifford Lee aboard is a capable partnership. The 9-9 weight versus 9-2 for all rivals is a 7lb concession but the SR gap more than absorbs it, and soft going on a fresh September card shouldn't trouble a horse already proven in winning form. Each-way alternative: Austin. Main danger: Austin — Austin (SR 150, 13/2) is a debutant steaming in 15% from opening with Kevin Ryan — who regularly debuts well-touted juveniles — and the SR of 150 is the only figure in the field that could realistically challenge Burning Up if the market move reflects a strong home gallop.