Admiral Winning Line Handicap Stakes · 1m2f42y
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Shimmering Sands | 9/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Mao Shang Wong | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Amidst The Chaos | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 Coral |
| 4 Mwafaq | 11/4 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 5/2 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Rodoya | 33/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Qitaal | 7/2 open 7.50 | 10/3 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 11/4 open 7.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Livonian | 125/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Junkyard Dog | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Finlaggan | 6/1 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mwafaq owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mwafaq (SR:88, 9/4) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin and the market has backed that up with a 14% shortening — money has come for a reason. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark that's risen only 6lb since his last win, he carries a manageable 9-7 with a recent run just 12 days ago confirming freshness rather than staleness. The DistFit:? is a mild concern over this trip but GoingFit:~ on good going is workable, and the class drop from the Fahey yard — a shrewd operation with 10% strike rate over 506 runners — strongly suggests this is a deliberate placement for a win. The addition of headgear (p) further signals connections are pushing a button for today. Each-way alternative: Junkyard Dog. Main danger: Junkyard Dog — Junkyard Dog (SR:81, 4/1) carries the lightest weight of any realistic contender at 9-2, boasts confirmed distance (DistFit:+) and going (GoingFit:+) credentials, and his last-run win in the form string shows he arrives in form — the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) is the only genuine concern, but the weight advantage over Mwafaq (5lb) on good ground at a trip he's proven over makes him the most dangerous opponent.