Newcastle (AW) 14:52 RESULTED
Class 3 3 Sep 2026

Thursday 3 September Admiral Jackpot Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

Admiral Jackpot Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m2f42y

Official Result

Admiral Jackpot Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Interstate (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden
    4/9F
  2. 11/1
  3. 2/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Interstate silks
Interstate
Age 3 · 9-7
02-22
83
98
83OR
3
9-7
4/5 FCST 8/11
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Quiet Summer silks
Quiet Summer
Age 3 · 9-7
42
155
3
9-7
13/8 5/4 18/13
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Treble Bass silks
Treble Bass
Age 3 · 9-7
63
147
3
9-7
15/2 15/2 13/2
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Brittunculi silks
Brittunculi
Age 3 · 9-2
125
3
9-2
66/1 40/1 50/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Interstate 4/5 8/11 4/5 open 1.73 4/5 open 1.73 4/5 open 1.73 4/5 open 1.73 4/5 Bet365
2 Quiet Summer 13/8 open 2.38 6/4 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 11/8 open 2.25 13/8 Bet365
3 Treble Bass 15/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Brittunculi 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Quiet Summer

High conviction

Quiet Summer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Andrew Balding Daniel Muscutt
81% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Treble Bass

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Brittunculi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Tracy Waggott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Quiet Summer
73.7 13/8
2 3. Treble Bass
66.3 15/2
3 1. Interstate
59.6 4/5
4 4. Brittunculi
53.0 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Quiet Summer
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-7
4/5
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
15/2
★★★★☆ SR 147 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Quiet Summer
Confidence: Speculative

Quiet Summer carries the highest SR in the field at 155, a clear 8-point edge over Treble Bass (SR 147) and a massive 57-point gap on Interstate (SR 98). Equal weight with Interstate and Treble Bass at 9-7 means no penalties offset that ability advantage. Andrew Balding (19% strike rate from 1,512 runners) is a reliable handler for a progressive 3yo, and Daniel Muscutt is a competent booking. The 10% drift is the one concern, but in a four-runner field where the favourite (Interstate, SR 98) is demonstrably outclassed on SR, the market drift may simply reflect punters chasing the lower odds rather than any genuine negative intelligence about Quiet Summer. Each-way alternative: Treble Bass. Main danger: Treble Bass — Treble Bass (SR 147, 8/1) has shown market support with a 7% move in, Roger Varian's 20% strike rate is strong, and Sean D Bowen's booking for a yard that rarely wastes entries suggests connections expect a step forward at the same class level — if Quiet Summer underperforms on its AW/distance debut, Treble Bass is well-placed to capitalise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Quiet Summer's form reads just '42' — only two career starts, and the most recent was a second placing, not a win; limited evidence of ability to close the deal under pressure in a small field.
  • A 10% market drift in a four-runner field is notable — with so few runners, any stable whisper or work concern is amplified, and punters are clearly preferring Interstate at shorter odds.
  • Interstate, trained by the formidable Gosden partnership with a 25% strike rate from 782 runners, dwarfs Balding's 19% and Muscutt's 12% jockey strike rate — trainer/jockey edge sits firmly with the…
  • Sean D Bowen riding Treble Bass (SR 147, in 7% in the market) is an unusual booking for a flat AW race — suggests connections may have specific confidence in conditions today, making Treble Bass a li…
Shortlist Quiet Summer, Treble Bass, Interstate
Each-way: Treble Bass Danger: Treble Bass

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m2f42y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade