Salisbury 17:55 RESULTED
Class 4 3 Sep 2026

Thursday 3 September Lester Aldridge Handicap Stakes

Lester Aldridge Handicap Stakes · 1m1f201y

Official Result

Lester Aldridge Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zgharta (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding
    11/4
  2. 8/1
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Redbud Sixteen silks
Redbud Sixteen
Age 4 · 10-2
3-8117
85
83
87
4
10-2
17/2 7/2 17/2
Redbud Sixteen has won twice in her last five starts, with back-to-back victories two and three starts back, and has run over today's trip; drawn in stall 3 carrying 142 lb, the main query is whether a 62-day absence has left her short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Zgharta silks
Zgharta
Age 4 · 10-0
0-6047
83
88
97
4
10-0
9/4 7/2 9/4
Winless in her last five starts, Zgharta nonetheless rates well clear of her rivals on our figures and has run over today's trip and going, while fourth two starts back hints at latent ability that a 34-day freshener may help unlock.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Aleatrix silks
Aleatrix
Age 3 · 9-12
12
87
90
84
3
9-12
3/1 5/2 11/4
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Aleatrix faces a stiff ask, though she arrives on the back of a win two starts back and a second last time out, and has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Lucky Camino silks
Lucky Camino
Age 3 · 9-9
22313
84
90
88
3
9-9
15/2 7/2 15/2
Third last time out, Lucky Camino returns on a sharp 15-day turnaround with experience of today's going and a rating of 88 that marks him down as a leading threat from stall 5; the main risk is that he finds one too good again.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Chapter silks
Chapter
Age 3 · 9-5
3-6127
80
89
88
3
9-5
10/1 9/1 10/1
Chapter shaped well when second two starts back and got off the mark last time three starts back, so there is plenty of recent encouragement; he has experience over today's trip and going, carries 131 lb from stall one, and his rating of 88 marks him as a leading threat, though that seventh last time out is the form to oppose.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Leonardo Blu silks
Leonardo Blu
Age 3 · 9-5
2148
80
85
85
3
9-5
7/1 FCST 13/2
A well-beaten eighth last time out makes Leonardo Blu hard to fancy, ranked sixth of seven on our figures, and his speed rating of 75 underlines the concern; the win three starts back offers some hope, but he needs to find significant improvement here.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Kamaway silks
Kamaway
Age 4 · 9-3
481215
72
87
87
4
9-3
6/1 9/2 11/2
Kamaway won two starts back and has run over today's trip, but she was only fifth last time out after 42 days away, and a mark of 72 leaves her with plenty to find against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Redbud Sixteen 17/2 open 4.50 9/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 9/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 5.50 9/1 Paddy Power
2 Zgharta 9/4 open 6.00 9/4 open 6.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 Bet365
3 Aleatrix 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 Bet365
4 Lucky Camino 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 4.50 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Chapter 10/1 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Leonardo Blu 7/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 13/2 7/1 Bet365
7 Kamaway 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Zgharta

Speculative

Zgharta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kamaway

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Eve Johnson Houghton
✓ Value Signal

Chapter

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Charles Hills
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Zgharta
54.5 9/4
2 7. Kamaway
53.9 6/1
3 3. Aleatrix
53.8 3/1
4 4. Lucky Camino
53.6 15/2
5 6. Leonardo Blu
53.0 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Zgharta
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 10-0
9/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-3
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-9
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-5
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Zgharta
Confidence: Speculative

Zgharta (SR:88, 10/3) has steamed in 28% in the market — the most significant market move in the field — pairing Andrew Balding (19% career strike rate, 1512 runners) with Oisin Murphy (21%, 1385 runners), comfortably the strongest connections on show. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) onto a mark it should be competitive from, carrying a workable 10-0, and crucially holding a DistFit:+ flag — the only runner confirmed effective at this 1m1f+ trip — on a stamina-testing Salisbury track that stretches out staying types. The recent form string 0-6047 looks untidy but the class relief and market confidence suggest connections have targeted this race deliberately, and the Balding-Murphy axis at this kind of Class 4 heat has a strong conversion record. Each-way alternative: Aleatrix. Main danger: Chapter — Chapter (SR:89, 17/2) has steamed in 19%, holds course form (W1P1 at Salisbury), and the first-time blinkers (HG:b) from Charles Hills suggest a yard-intended bounce — those signals in combination make it a live each-way threat despite a 5lb higher mark than last win.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 0-6047 shows Zgharta has failed to win in 6 consecutive starts, with a '0' prefix indicating a blank season — chronic inability to convert despite presumably similar targeting previously.
  • Aleatrix (SR:90, 11/4) has a higher speed rating, Course:W1P1 record at Salisbury, and is trading shorter — no DistFit flag noted but the market has it nearly level with Zgharta suggesting stamina ad…
  • No Course flag for Zgharta while four rivals (Redbud Sixteen, Aleatrix, Chapter, Kamaway) all carry Course:W1P1, a meaningful edge around Salisbury's idiosyncratic downhill track.
  • Chapter is also steaming in (Mkt:in19%) at 17/2 with Course:W1P1 and a MarkMv:+5, suggesting multiple market signals in this race — Zgharta's move is not uniquely bullish and market confidence is spl…
Shortlist Zgharta, Aleatrix, Chapter
Each-way: Aleatrix Danger: Chapter

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m1f201y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade