Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
All I Know owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (79) and market confidence (63). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
8/1Phillip MakinSam James
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Maliqui
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
17/2 · Charlie Fellowes✓ Value Signal
Frankie Power
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Tom Dascombe◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Reflect On Glory (SR:89, 2/1) is the standout on market signals: a 16% market move in from its opening price is the strongest steaming signal in the field, and K.R. Burke's 19% career strike rate is comfortably the best trainer figure among the seven. The form reads 31 — a third followed by a win — showing the horse is in the right direction and recently race-fit at just 31 days since last run. While the SR of 89 is below the headline figures of Maliqui (141) and All I Know (143), those two have drifted sharply — 41% and 17% out respectively — on the back of single fifth-place runs, which strips away their credibility despite the higher ability scores. Flying Pirate at 11/10 is the chief concern but is dropping two classes and returning from 65 days off with blinkers removed (HG:p — presumably previously wore headgear now stripped), and the modest 5% market move is far less persuasive than Reflect On Glory's 16% move.
Each-way alternative: Flying Pirate.
Main danger: Flying Pirate — Flying Pirate (SR:92, 11/10) is the favourite, carries a class drop of two tiers, and showed a win in its most recent start (form: 13, rightmost = 3, then 1 — wait, form right-to-left means last run is '3' — actually form 13 right-to-left means last run was 1st, prior was 3rd), so Flying Pirate won last time out and is dropping two classes, which is a potent combination even if the market move is a more modest 5%.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Reflect On Glory's SR of 89 is the lowest in the field among horses with a form line — Flying Pirate (92), Maliqui (141), All I Know (143) and Frankie Power (134) all rate higher on ability metrics,…
Jockey Clifford Lee strikes at only 15% from 381 rides — respectable but notably inferior to Tom Marquand (13% from 1192) who has far more big-race experience, and the combination of Lee + Burke has…
Form reads 31 — the most recent run was a third, not a win; the win came before that. The horse is therefore heading into today off a defeat, and at 2/1 in a 7-runner juvenile field there is limited…
Flying Pirate carries a higher SR (92 vs 89) and a more encouraging sequential form line (1 then 3, i.e. a win followed by a placed run), and at 11/10 the market is placing it clearly above Reflect O…
ShortlistReflect On Glory, Flying Pirate, All I Know