Southwell (AW) 20:10 RESULTED
Class 4 3 Sep 2026

Thursday 3 September Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes

Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes · 0m6f17y

Official Result

Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Papa Cocktail (IRE) Jason Hart · Michael Herrington
    17/2
  2. 9/2
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Moving Force silks
Moving Force
Age 4 · 9-11
/92872
82
78
82
4
9-11
10/1 6/1 7/1
Moving Force ran a solid second last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a genuine threat from stall eight on 137 lb; the worry is that he remains winless in his last five starts and has yet to convert that consistency into a win.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Star Chorus silks
Star Chorus
Age 4 · 9-10
805660
81
71
81
4
9-10
17/2 9/1 6/1
Star Chorus has run over today's trip and going before, yet winless in his last six starts with a string of mid-field and unplaced efforts is the concern; fresh off a 24-day break and carrying 136 lb from stall 12, he needs to find improvement to get competitive here.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Diligent Resdev silks
Diligent Resdev
Age 5 · 9-9
36-969
80
75
86
5
9-9
6/1 15/2 5/1
Diligent Resdev has run over today's trip and going, carries a manageable 135 lb from stall one, and our rating of 86 ranks him second in this field — a genuine threat despite being winless in his last five starts, with a 75-day absence the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Kirkdale silks
Kirkdale
Age 4 · 9-8
24-411
79
84
77
4
9-8
13/2 4/1 6/1
Kirkdale has winning form in his recent starts, scoring twice in his last five, but a 145-day absence and our figures ranking him ninth of twelve make him hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and going, and draw four is noted.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Papa Cocktail silks
Papa Cocktail
Age 7 · 9-7
052364
78
81
81
7
9-7
15/2 9/1 13/2
Papa Cocktail arrives in reasonable nick after 19 days off and has experience of today's distance and going, but he is winless in his last six starts, with a third three starts back the brightest recent note, and he carries 133 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Tyger Bay silks
Tyger Bay
Age 9 · 9-6
-71925
77
65
88
9
9-6
33/1 11/1 25/1
Tyger Bay showed he retains real ability when finishing second two starts back, and with experience of today's distance and going in his locker, he looks the one to beat here off 132 lb from stall six, though that fifth last time out warrants a small note of caution.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Modern Times silks
Modern Times
Age 5 · 9-5
356311
76
88
78
5
9-5
4/1 3/1 4/1
Modern Times arrives in fine nick with back-to-back wins and a run just 20 days ago, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; however, a trainer firing at only 2% in the past fortnight is a concern for a horse ranked eighth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Flowstate silks
Flowstate
Age 5 · 9-5
551141
76
81
76
5
9-5
18/1 6/1 14/1
Flowstate has won three times in his last six starts, including a victory last time out, but that run was 181 days ago and he ranks tenth of twelve on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite his knack for winning and experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Prince Of Pillo silks
Prince Of Pillo
Age 6 · 9-4
2-9680
75
73
83
6
9-4
8/1 15/2 13/2
Winless in his last five starts yet Prince Of Pillo has experience over today's trip and conditions, and our rating of 83 suggests he is better than his official mark of 75 implies — the concern is a lack of recent encouragement heading into this.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Rock Opera silks
Rock Opera
Age 6 · 9-2
412900
73
78
81
6
9-2
7/1 17/2 6/1
Rock Opera has run over today's trip and going before, and a win and a second in recent starts show he can compete at this level, but three poor efforts since — including two unplaced finishes — are a concern, and 128 lb from stall seven adds to the challenge.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Dorney Lake silks
Dorney Lake
Age 5 · 9-2
712018
73
75
73
5
9-2
17/2 10/1 7/1
Eighth last time out after winning two starts back, Dorney Lake has experience of today's trip and conditions and carries 128 lb from stall ten, but ranked 11 of 12 on our figures he is hard to fancy at this level.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Beauzon silks
Beauzon
Age 7 · 9-0
160006
71
44
66
7
9-0
28/1 12/1 20/1
Beauzon has managed just one win in his last six starts, with unplaced efforts filling much of that recent record, and our figures rank him last of the twelve runners here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 12 days between runs suggests he is at least fit.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Moving Force 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 7/1 7/1 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 Paddy Power
2 Star Chorus 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
3 Diligent Resdev 6/1 open 13.00 11/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 Bet365
4 Kirkdale 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 15/2 Coral
5 Papa Cocktail 15/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 Bet365
6 Tyger Bay 33/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 William Hill
7 Modern Times 4/1 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 Coral
8 Flowstate 18/1 open 7.00 20/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 20/1 open 7.50 22/1 open 7.50 22/1 Betfred
9 Prince Of Pillo 8/1 open 17.00 13/2 open 23.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 Betfred
10 Rock Opera 7/1 open 17.00 6/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.50 17/2 Coral
11 Dorney Lake 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
12 Beauzon 28/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kirkdale

Speculative

Kirkdale owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Modern Times

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · James Owen
✓ Value Signal

Tyger Bay

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Conrad Allen
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Kirkdale
53.8 13/2
2 7. Modern Times
52.4 4/1
3 3. Diligent Resdev
51.3 6/1
4 1. Moving Force
50.4 10/1
5 10. Rock Opera
50.4 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Modern Times
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 5 · 9-5
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-8
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 9-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 9-4
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-10
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 9-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-11
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-5
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Modern Times
Confidence: Speculative

Modern Times (SR:88, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and brings a strong recent form line of 356311 — two wins in the last three runs at the same class. Carrying 9-5 gives him a useful weight advantage over Kirkdale (SR:84, 9-8) despite Kirkdale's better rating delta. The visor is retained from his winning run, and the trainer James Owen runs at a solid 17% strike rate. The market drift of 19% is the one concern, but at 4/1 in a 12-runner Class 4 he still represents fair value given the SR superiority and confirmed recent winning form. Each-way alternative: Papa Cocktail. Main danger: Kirkdale — Kirkdale (SR:84) arrives on the back of three consecutive top-four finishes including two wins (Form:24-411), holds course form (W1P1), and is ridden by the in-form Callum Rodriguez (17% career strike rate), though the 16% market drift and a 4lb rise in the mark are genuine negatives to weigh against him.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Modern Times has drifted 19% in the market despite being the top-rated horse — market intelligence suggests professional money is actively opposing him today, not simply taking value elsewhere.
  • Kirkdale (SR:84, +4 MarkMv) is on a tighter, more consistent form sequence of 24-411 with a fresher rating trajectory and course form (W1P1), representing a live threat that the rating gap (4 points)…
  • Modern Times' rating mark has moved only +3 despite two recent wins — suggesting the handicapper may have already caught up with him, and today's 9-5 topweight burden relative to a field where severa…
  • Jockey Luke Morris posts only a 12% strike rate across 1,488 rides — well below the level expected for a horse pitched as a banker, and notably weaker than Callum Rodriguez (17%) aboard Kirkdale.
Shortlist Modern Times, Kirkdale, Papa Cocktail, Rock Opera
Each-way: Papa Cocktail Danger: Kirkdale

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f17y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade