Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 123 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 135 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ahmadi | 9/4 open 6.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 5.50 | 2/1 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Play Again Sammy | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Rose Moon | 9/4 open 7.00 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 5.50 | 2/1 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 2/1 open 5.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Hereward | 3/1 open 1.91 | 3/1 open 2.38 | 3/1 open 2.10 | 3/1 open 2.10 | 3/1 open 2.10 | 5/2 open 2.25 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Minsmere | 28/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Mad Jack | 50/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Miss Faithfull | 14/1 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 William Hill |
| 8 Caelan's Rose | 20/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 9 Mr Badger | 12/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hereward owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ahmadi (SR 153, 5/2) is the top-rated runner in the field and carries the same weight as Rose Moon (9-7) despite a 3-point SR advantage over her stablemate. The decisive signal is the market: a 36% inward move from opening price is substantial and suggests stable confidence — this is the Beckett yard's #1 runner, confirmed by the Oisin Murphy booking (21% strike rate, 1385 runners) over stablemate Rose Moon who gets Rossa Ryan. The single run showing a fourth place represents a horse with a live fitness edge over the debutants, and the SR of 153 is the highest in the field by two points, firmly in the competitive-handicap range for a 2yo novice at Class 3. Each-way alternative: Rose Moon. Main danger: Hereward — Hereward (SR 151, 2/1) is the market-implied favourite, carries 2lb less than Ahmadi (9-5 vs 9-7), and has the Colin Keane booking — the drift from a presumably tighter morning line is notable but a single run third with solid SR means he remains a genuine threat on ability.