Brighton 15:50 RESULTED
Class 5 28 Sep 2026

Last Monday Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap Stakes

Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap Stakes · 1m3f198y

Official Result

Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Darkest Red (GB) Donagh Murphy · Jim Boyle
    7/2
  2. 100/30F
  3. 25/1
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Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Crackergee silks
Crackergee
Age 4 · 10-2
-44155
69
63
69
4
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 4/1 13/2
Crackergee showed he knows how to win with a victory three starts back, and he returns after a 31-day break having run over today's trip, carrying 142 lb; the risk is recapturing that form after two subsequent fifth-place finishes.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Gallant Lion silks
Gallant Lion
Age 6 · 10-1
8-0148
68
75
71
6
10-1
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 7/2 11/4
Gallant Lion showed he has what it takes with a win three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a solid platform here; the eighth last time out is a minor concern, but at 141 lb he remains the top-rated runner on his day.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Love You Back silks
Love You Back
Age 4 · 10-0
42321-
67
68
68
4
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 7/2 9/4
Love You Back arrives here in fine fettle, a winner last time out and placed in three of his four starts before that, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions; the one question mark is whether 156 days off the track has left him short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Bohemian Breeze silks
Bohemian Breeze
Age 6 · 9-11
491143
64
63
66
6
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 9/1
Third last time out, and a winner three starts back and four starts back, Bohemian Breeze has some credit in the book, but he ranks sixth of seven on our figures and faces a stiff task off 137 lb.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Skimming Along silks
Skimming Along
Age 5 · 9-6
4102-5
59
49
62
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 10/1 18/1
Skimming Along is a long way off the pace on our figures, ranked last of the seven runners, and 151 days off the track is a significant fitness concern; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a winning effort four starts back offers a slim thread of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Miss Guinevere silks
Miss Guinevere
Age 3 · 9-3
95433
63
70
66
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 10/3 11/2
Consistent without a win in her last five starts, Miss Guinevere arrives on a sharp 17-day turnaround with going experience in her favour, though a rating of 63 and a mid-pack ranking suggest she faces a stiff task breaking her duck here.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Darkest Red silks
Darkest Red
Age 3 · 9-2
222442
62
75
69
3
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 7/2 9/2
Darkest Red has been a model of consistency, finishing second four times in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going, with his rating of 69 suggesting he holds more in hand than his official mark implies; the risk is that he remains winless in his last six.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Crackergee 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 Bet365
2 Gallant Lion 11/4 open 7.00 11/4 open 6.50 11/4 open 6.50 11/4 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.50 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 William Hill
3 Love You Back 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 5.00 11/4 Bet365
4 Bohemian Breeze 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
5 Skimming Along 20/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 Bet365
6 Miss Guinevere 6/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 Paddy Power
7 Darkest Red 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Gallant Lion

Speculative

Gallant Lion owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Ian Williams Jason Watson
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Darkest Red

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Jim Boyle
✓ Value Signal

Skimming Along

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Daniel Steele
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Gallant Lion
52.8 11/4
2 7. Darkest Red
51.2 9/2
3 3. Love You Back
48.2 11/4
4 4. Bohemian Breeze
46.5 9/1
5 6. Miss Guinevere
45.9 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Gallant Lion
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 10-1
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 10-0
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-2
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-3
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-11
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-6
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Gallant Lion
Confidence: Speculative

Gallant Lion (SR:75, 3/1) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with the strongest convergence of positive signals. The 37% market move in — the most dramatic steaming in this field — tells us informed money is firmly behind this horse. Course:W2P2 at Brighton is a decisive edge on a specialist track that heavily rewards familiarity, GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good-to-firm conditions, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) means he arrives in more comfortable company than last time. At 10-1 he carries the joint-second-lightest weight, giving him a clear lbs advantage over top-weight Crackergee (10-2, SR:63). The form string 8-0148 shows an improving profile with a recent win, and Ian Williams at 11% strike rate with Jason Watson (13%) is a capable pairing. Each-way alternative: Love You Back. Main danger: Darkest Red — Darkest Red (SR:75, 7/2) matches Gallant Lion on SR, carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-2, and DistFit:+ confirms he handles this trip — the GoingFit:- is the one concern, but a 3-year-old improving through a consistent form string of 222442 could easily find the extra gear needed on this surface.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 43-day absence is the joint-longest in the field and Ian Williams's 11% strike rate drops sharply with horses returning after 40+ days — Gallant Lion may need this run to hit peak fitness.
  • Form string 8-0148 contains two poor efforts (8th and 0/PU) and the recent win came at lower level; the step back up even one class may expose that fragility on a sharper Brighton track.
  • Joint-highest SR (75) is matched by Darkest Red at 7/2, who is race-fit (18 days), 3yo with a lighter weight of 9-2, and consistent placings (222442) — the SR edge the analyst claims is not exclusive…
  • Bohemian Breeze has a superior Course record (W3P4 vs W2P2) at Brighton, is 4lbs lighter, and has been freshened for 35 days with a Stable:1 flag from the same Moore yard that also saddles Love You B…
Shortlist Gallant Lion, Love You Back, Darkest Red, Miss Guinevere
Each-way: Love You Back Danger: Darkest Red

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m3f198y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Brighton Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade