Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 1m142y
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 123 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 300/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Al Jolson | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Najidi Storm | 6/4 open 2.63 | 13/8 open 2.50 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 13/8 | 13/8 open 2.50 | 13/8 Paddy Power |
| 3 Wootz | 11/8 open 3.25 | 11/8 | 11/8 open 2.00 | 11/8 open 2.00 | 11/8 open 2.00 | 5/4 open 2.00 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Circle of Secrets | 250/1 open 81.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 150/1 open 201.00 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Herstmonceux | 150/1 open 126.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 151.00 | 125/1 open 151.00 | 125/1 open 151.00 | 125/1 open 151.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Khachaturian | 250/1 open 67.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Mashkur | 100/1 open 19.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 8 North Beach | 50/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Petworth | 33/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Shadow Boxer | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Elsa Tan | 250/1 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 | 150/1 open 201.00 | 250/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Shadow Boxer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Shadow Boxer carries the highest SR in the field at 150, a clear 2-point edge over Al Jolson (148) and a massive 23-50 point gap over the remaining field. Crucially, Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate, 2735 runners) is a significant jockey upgrade signal — the Crisford yard's #1 booking over Harry Davies on stablemate Al Jolson makes this the yard's intended runner. The 9-4 weight gives Shadow Boxer a 7lb advantage over both Al Jolson and the two market principals, Najidi Storm and Wootz. While the 13% market drift is a mild concern, it may simply reflect Al Jolson's presence muddying the yard's intentions rather than genuine negative information, and at 4/1 the SR-150 profile represents value in a novice field where most rivals are SR 123-127. Each-way alternative: Al Jolson. Main danger: Wootz — Wootz (SR:100) is the 5/4 market leader from the Roger Varian yard (20% strike rate, 1412 runners) with a solid form line of 1-2 and only a 14-day turnaround suggesting peak fitness — the market's confidence may reflect private trial or workout information that outweighs the SR deficit.