Wolverhampton (AW) 18:00 RESULTED
Class 6 28 Sep 2026

Last Monday Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 7f36y

Official Result

Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ridger (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Ollie Sangster
    8/11F
  2. 15/2
  3. Third Create (IRE)
    16/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Blue Jay Way silks
Blue Jay Way Non-Runner
Age 6 · 9-2
8-7497
Non Runner
48
—
50
6
9-2
—
—
SP
Winless in his last five starts, with a seventh last time out and a ninth two starts back, Blue Jay Way has a flat recent profile, and 98 days off the track adds a fitness query; experience over today's trip and going offers slim consolation for a runner ranked ninth of eleven on our figures.
1
Saisons d'Or silks
Saisons d'Or
Age 11 · 9-9
157676
55
55
61
11
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 17/2 8/1
Ranked highest of the 11 runners on our rating, Saisons d'Or has experience of today's trip and conditions and arrives fit on a 20-day turnaround from stall three carrying 135 lb; the concern is that his last six starts show only one win, with five finishes no better than fifth.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Romanovich silks
Romanovich
Age 7 · 9-7
163570
53
50
60
7
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 12/1 14/1
Romanovich showed a third four starts back and a winner six starts back, and his experience over today's distance and going holds obvious appeal from stall 8 carrying 133 lb; the 74-day absence, however, is the key question mark.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Escape Magic silks
Escape Magic
Age 3 · 9-6
0-1132
55
69
59
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 7/4 9/4
Escape Magic arrives here in fine nick, finishing second last time out and a winner three starts back, with experience over today's trip and going working in her favour; 132 lb from stall six is worth noting, but her recent consistency makes her our pick.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Create silks
Create
Age 6 · 9-4
047107
50
56
56
6
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 12/1
Cheered by her win three starts back, Create arrives with distance-and-going experience to call on and a light 13-day turnaround keeping her sharp from stall 2; the main concern is a trainer in a cold spell of 0 from 24 over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Mickey Mongoose silks
Mickey Mongoose
Age 6 · 9-4
581400
50
30
52
6
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 33/1
Landed a win four starts back but has been unplaced in each of his last two outings, and a 47-day absence adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before and carries 130 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

7
Mintana silks
Mintana
Age 6 · 9-1
546362
47
52
52
6
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/3 14/1
Mintana arrives here in fair enough nick after finishing second last time out, though she is winless in her last six starts and that sixth-placed effort four starts back is a concern; experience over today's trip and going at least means conditions hold no secrets.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Pink Socks silks
Pink Socks
Age 7 · 9-0
659600
46
26
49
7
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 50/1 80/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Pink Socks faces a stiff ask here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 32 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh, but the overall profile makes her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

9
No News silks
No News
Age 6 · 9-0
9-7286
45
26
48
6
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, No News makes for a difficult proposition here; his sole encouragement is a second three starts back, though a sixth and eighth in more recent outings, plus 41 days off the track, do little to inspire confidence.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Horus silks
Horus
Age 4 · 9-0
9768U6
44
22
51
4
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 20/1 50/1
Winless in his last six starts, Horus brings distance and going experience to the table and returns quickly on a seven-day turnaround, but a largely disappointing recent string — including an unseating — and a lowly official rating of 44 make him difficult to fancy from stall four at 126 lb.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

11
Royal Justice silks
Royal Justice
Age 5 · 9-0
00-089
40
16
39
5
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
150/1 50/1 150/1
Royal Justice has been winless in her last five starts, with a pair of single-digit finishes her best recent efforts, and a trainer without a return in 24 attempts over the past fortnight makes it very difficult to fancy, despite her experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

12
Ridger silks
Ridger
Age 3 · 8-11
699723
46
60
51
3
8-11
★★★☆☆
—
5/6 3/2 5/6
Ridger is winless in his last six starts but showed his best recent form with a third last time out and a second two starts back, suggesting he retains some ability; a trainer in poor current nick and a lowly official rating of 46 are the concerns here.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Blue Jay Way — — — — — — —
1 Saisons d'Or 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 17/2 Bet365
2 Romanovich 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
3 Escape Magic 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 2.87 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.75 9/4 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365
4 Create 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Mickey Mongoose 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
7 Mintana 14/1 open 4.33 14/1 open 6.00 14/1 open 5.00 14/1 open 5.00 14/1 open 5.00 14/1 open 5.50 14/1 Bet365
8 Pink Socks 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 Bet365
9 No News 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
10 Horus 66/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 21.00 66/1 Bet365
11 Royal Justice 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 Bet365
12 Ridger 5/6 open 2.88 10/11 open 2.50 10/11 open 2.75 10/11 open 2.75 10/11 open 2.62 5/6 open 2.50 10/11 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Escape Magic

Speculative

Escape Magic owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Owen Burrows Callum Rodriguez
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ridger

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/6 · Ollie Sangster
✓ Value Signal

Mickey Mongoose

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Olly Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Escape Magic
53.5 5/2
2 12. Ridger
46.9 5/6
3 1. Saisons d'Or
42.8 17/2
4 4. Create
38.8 14/1
5 2. Romanovich
37.9 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Escape Magic
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

12
Age 3 · 8-11
5/6
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 11 · 9-9
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Escape Magic
Confidence: Speculative

Escape Magic (SR:69, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 13 SR points clear of the next best — and carries a very manageable 9-6, the second-lightest weight among the principal contenders. The DistFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness at this trip, and the Owen Burrows yard runs at a strong 21% career strike rate with Callum Rodriguez (19%) aboard, a genuine top-tier jockey booking for a Class 6 Wolverhampton handicap. The 0-1-1-3-2 form string shows consistent placing at this level, and the MarkMv:+1 is a trivial rise that shouldn't inconvenience a horse of this SR. The 12% market drift is the one concern — the money has moved against — but at 9/4 in a weak Class 6 field where the SR advantage is this pronounced, the case remains compelling. Each-way alternative: Ridger. Main danger: Ridger — Ridger (SR:60, 7/4 favourite) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-11, has Oisin Murphy in the saddle — the highest-strike-rate jockey by far at 22% from 2,735 runners — and runs for a yard (Ollie Sangster, 14%) that places horses well; even with DistFit:- the weight and jockey combination is a genuine threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 12% market drift out is notable for the joint-favourite in a weak Class 6 field — stable/connections money has moved against, suggesting insider confidence is absent.
  • No Course record listed: Escape Magic has no proven form at Wolverhampton AW, while Ridger (SR:60, 7/4) and Romanovich (W2P5) have demonstrated they handle this specific track.
  • Ridger, at 7/4, is now the market leader despite a 17-SR deficit — Oisin Murphy (22% strike rate, the strongest jockey in the race) booking for a 3yo on 8-11 with 7 days since last run suggests a yar…
  • As a 3yo running against older, AW-experienced horses with no Wolverhampton course record, Escape Magic's class advantage on SR may not translate on a surface and track configuration it is unproven o…
Shortlist Escape Magic, Ridger, Create, Saisons d'Or
Each-way: Ridger Danger: Ridger

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f36y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade