Cavani Winning Form Handicap Stakes · 5f21y
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bona Fortuna | 7/2 open 4.33 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Comic Strip | 9/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 U S S Charleston | 13/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 9.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Too Darn Good | 10/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 open 4.50 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 5.50 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Adalida | 9/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Nogo's Dream | 9/4 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 6.00 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Loleeta | 28/1 open 8.00 | 25/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Enter Sandman | 18/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bona Fortuna owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Nogo's Dream (SR:79, 4/1) combines the strongest course record in the field (W1P4 at Wolverhampton) with a drop of one class and a mark 8lb lower than his last win — the most favourable MarkMv in the race. Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate, 2,735 runners) is comfortably the best jockey booking on the card and rarely takes a Class 5 ride without intent. The 10% market move in supports connections' confidence. GoingFit is moderate rather than proven, but course specialisation at Wolverhampton AW overrides that concern here; his 2-6-4-2-6-4 form line shows consistent placing without the win, but the class relief and mark drop are the catalysts for breaking through. Each-way alternative: Bona Fortuna. Main danger: Bona Fortuna — Bona Fortuna (SR:82, 7/2) is the SR leader in the field, proven at this distance and on this going (DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+), carries a manageable 9-12, and runs off the same mark as his last win — if Michael Appleby's yard fires on the day, the ability edge could be decisive.