Hamilton 13:44 RESULTED
Class 5 28 Sep 2026

Last Monday Clearwater Dc Ltd Environmental Solutions Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Clearwater Dc Ltd Environmental Solutions Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes · 0m6f6y

Official Result

Clearwater Dc Ltd Environmental Solutions Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bay Breeze (GB) Miss Rebecca Burley · Tim Easterby
    11/4
  2. 6/4F
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Annie Edson Taylor silks
Annie Edson Taylor
Age 5 · 11-5
616911
67
82
74
5
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
11/8 18/13 6/5
Annie Edson Taylor arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, with just eight days between runs suggesting she remains in good heart; the ninth two starts back is the one minor blot, but her recent sequence makes her our pick from stall two off 159 lb.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Maldevious silks
Maldevious
Age 4 · 11-2
439154
69
70
78
4
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 FCST 6/1
Maldevious shaped with plenty of promise when winning three starts back, and having run over today's distance and going before she arrives fit on a 23-day break carrying 156 lb from stall 4, with our rating marking her out as the one to beat — though her two subsequent efforts caution against blind faith.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Thistle Nil silks
Thistle Nil
Age 4 · 11-1
180104
68
67
62
4
11-1
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 15/2 5/1
Ranked last of six on our figures and rated six points below his official mark, Thistle Nil makes this hard work, but he does own two wins in his last six starts and has run over today's trip and going before, giving him at least some relevant experience to draw on.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Lumenbourg silks
Lumenbourg
Age 5 · 10-12
314652
65
70
69
5
10-12
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 7/2 4/1
Lumenbourg shaped well when runner-up last time out, and his experience over today's trip and going underlines his credentials as a live danger from stall 6, though a trainer firing at only 3% in the last 14 days is the concern to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Punchbowl Flyer silks
Punchbowl Flyer
Age 9 · 10-11
211674
64
57
65
9
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 17/2 14/1
Beaten in each of his last three starts, Punchbowl Flyer has tumbled down the form figures since back-to-back wins four and five starts back, and our figures rank him fifth of six in this field; experience over today's trip and going is in his favour, but he is hard to fancy at present.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Bay Breeze silks
Bay Breeze
Age 7 · 10-9
344631
58
74
71
7
10-9
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 10/3 7/2
Bay Breeze arrives on the back of a win last time out, has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 71 marks him out as a lively threat from stall one — the burden of 149 lb is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Annie Edson Taylor 11/8 11/8 6/5 open 2.38 6/5 open 2.38 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 11/8 Bet365
2 Maldevious 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 7/1 7/1 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 Bet365
3 Thistle Nil 15/2 open 17.00 13/2 open 13.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 8.50 15/2 Bet365
4 Lumenbourg 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 9/2 5/1 Bet365
5 Punchbowl Flyer 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Bay Breeze 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Annie Edson Taylor

Speculative

Annie Edson Taylor owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Phillip Makin Miss Pippa Brown(3)
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bay Breeze

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Punchbowl Flyer

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · John O'Shea
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Annie Edson Taylor
52.5 11/8
2 6. Bay Breeze
49.3 4/1
3 4. Lumenbourg
49.0 5/1
4 2. Maldevious
48.1 7/1
5 3. Thistle Nil
45.1 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Annie Edson Taylor
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 11-5
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 10-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 10-12
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 11-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 11-1
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 9 · 10-11
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Annie Edson Taylor
Confidence: Speculative

Annie Edson Taylor (SR:82, 11/8) is the class leader by a clear margin in a shallow field — 8 SR points clear of the next-best Bay Breeze. The Course:W3P4 record at Hamilton is exceptional and is the single most compelling data point in this race: no other runner comes close to that course mastery. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) combined with a stable mark (MarkMv:=) means she meets this field in ideal conditions, and the last run (form string rightmost = 1) confirms she arrives off a win. Top-weight of 11-5 on soft is a concern, but the SR advantage and Hamilton course record outweigh that penalty in a six-runner Class 5 sprint. Each-way alternative: Bay Breeze. Main danger: Bay Breeze — Bay Breeze (SR:74, 7/2) carries the lightest weight in the shortlist at 10-9, has a GoingFit:+ confirming she handles soft ground — the one going advantage no other contender can match — and her Course:W1P3 record shows she runs well at Hamilton.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Top weight of 11-5 on soft ground is a meaningful burden — 8lb more than Bay Breeze (SR:74, also arrived off a win, W1P3 at Hamilton) who is 3/8 shorter in the market at 7/2.
  • Jockey Miss Pippa Brown claiming 3lb has a modest 14% strike rate from just 29 rides — small sample, unproven in a race where the weight advantage matters most.
  • The market has not responded to the SR and course record advantage: 11/8 looks workmanlike but Bay Breeze at 7/2 represents a punter-supported rival, suggesting market confidence in Annie Edson Taylo…
  • Form string 616911 shows two poor efforts (6,1,6,9) sandwiched around the wins — the consistency profile is patchy and a regression to those mid-field finishes cannot be ruled out on the evidence of…
Shortlist Annie Edson Taylor, Bay Breeze, Lumenbourg
Each-way: Bay Breeze Danger: Bay Breeze

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f6y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Hamilton Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade