Winless in her last five starts and carrying a hefty 158 lb, Arctic Piper faces an uphill task, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 97 suggests there may be more ability here than recent results imply.
Form last 68P-F90
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR97RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 14th of 16 on our figures, Kome Dans Un Reve makes little appeal here despite returning on a workable 21-day break; he has run over today's trip and going before, but the weight of 161 lb only adds to his problems.
Form last 6U8-060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR88RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Colin's Friend brings solid claims on our rating despite being winless in his last four starts, and 21 days since his last run suggests he arrives fresh; the chief concern is a trainer in notably lean form at just 5% over the past fortnight.
Form last 6/760-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR100RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Classy Cc shapes as a leading player here, rated 105 and ranked top of the field, with experience over today's distance and going working in her favour, though she returns after 139 days off yet to win in recent starts and that absence under a hefty 166 lb is the chief concern.
Form last 63029-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR105RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of sixteen, Colesberg does at least have experience of today's going and shaped with promise when third last time out, though 43 days off and a burden of 166 lb make further progress harder to take for granted.
Form last 6996-73
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR94RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cool Summer arrives on the back of a win last time out and two seconds before that, giving her a lively recent profile, though 166 lb is a stiff burden and she ranks fifth of sixteen on our rating, suggesting she faces a stern test at this level.
Form last 66-6221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR98RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Eyetrap is unexposed and open to improvement, yet to win in his last three starts — sixth, sixth, and fourth — after a 245-day absence, with 166 lb to carry on his return.
Form last 6466-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Patty O'Farrell shaped well when second two starts back before her fall last time, and with experience over today's distance and going, she appeals on conditions here — albeit returning after 84 days off the track carrying 166 lb.
Form last 6679-2F
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR102RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 11 of 16 on our figures, Inver Bay does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, though 165 lb is a stiff ask for a mare who has failed to break into the places in recent starts.
Form last 600-559
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR92RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Dalmatic showed a tidy second two starts back and brings distance and going experience to this contest, but a 157-day absence is a concern, and in his last five starts he has managed only one win, finishing fourth on his most recent outing.
Form last 641024-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR96RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Returned from a 137-day absence, Our Girl Ellie shaped with real promise when third three starts back, and our rating of 98 marks her out as a leading danger in this field; the main concern is that she arrives winless in her last five starts and must shoulder 163 lb on return.
Form last 65636-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR98RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last five starts and carrying a hefty 160 lb, Speakasyoufind does have a second in recent starts to his name and has run over today's trip and going, though a fall last time and 50 days off the track give this a cautious feel.
Form last 6P-926F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR96RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked 13 of 16 on our figures, Grennanstown Lady faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 90 days carrying 157 lb.
Form last 6954-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR89RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last four starts, with an unseating last time out and a cold trainer (0 from 21 in the past fortnight), Nukie's Artic faces a stiff task carrying 153 lb and ranks last of 16 on our figures.
Form last 6/086-U
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR82RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Patrick Street arrives here winless in his last five starts, though a third three starts back shows he can land a blow at this level; carrying 153 lb on a quick turnaround of 13 days may test his stamina, but experience over today's trip and going offers some reassurance.
Form last 660-365
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR92RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Grace's Legacy is hard to fancy here; she has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a recent unseating and a hefty 151 lb burden make this a tough ask.
Form last 6950-7U
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR81RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 15 of 16 on our figures, Another Blunder faces a stiff ask here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 31 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh, but the overall profile makes her hard to fancy at these weights.
Form last 6006804
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR84RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Atlantic Wonder has been out of sorts in recent starts, pulling up twice in his last four, and 163 days off the track adds a significant fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before, though he arrives yet to win in this spell and ranks 12th of 16 on our assessment.
Form last 6/P69P-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR91RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last six starts, Avandra has been out of the sorts lately — unplaced last time out and fourth two starts back — though a third three starts back and experience over today's trip and going offer slim consolation for a mare who looks up against it on 143 lb.
Form last 6205340
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cool Summer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Miss Hilary McLoughlinPhillip Enright
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Colin's Friend
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · Henry de Bromhead✓ Value Signal
Grace's Legacy
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Cian Collins◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Cool Summer (SR:97, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in a field where most runners sit well below 80 SR, and crucially holds the only confirmed GoingFit:+ in the field, meaning good ground is demonstrably where this horse performs. The form string 6-6221 shows a progressive pattern with back-to-back placed efforts culminating in a win last time out — the rightmost digit confirming peak fitness. Course:W0P2 at Roscommon adds familiarity with this track. The MarkMv:+6 is a modest rise that a horse in form can absorb, and Phillip Enright (10%+ career strike rate in 1,457 rides) is a sound booking. The market drift of 19% is the one concern, but in a 19-runner field at a provincial prize level, early money is often unreliable and the horse's overall profile — SR, going confirmation, recent winning form — comfortably outweighs it.
Each-way alternative: Another Blunder.
Main danger: Colin's Friend — Colin's Friend carries the highest SR in the field at 88 for de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2,323 runners) and at 9/4 the market — despite the drift — still prices this horse as near-favourite, suggesting residual confidence that a top yard's runner will fire on the day even with the going and distance question marks.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Colin's Friend (SR:88, 9/4 market leader) is trained by Henry de Bromhead at 16% strike rate — a significantly sharper yard than Cool Summer's trainer at 9% — and commands shorter odds despite the dr…
Cool Summer's form string 6-6221 shows the two placed efforts and win came in a sequence; the HG:h flag suggests previous going was heavy, raising doubt about how the confirmed GoingFit:+ translates…
A 19% market drift in a 19-runner field is notable even accounting for field size — Cool Summer is the most heavily drifted horse among the fancied runners, suggesting professional money has actively…
Phillip Enright's overall career strike rate of 7% (not 10%+ as stated by the primary analyst) across 1,457 rides is a below-average return, offering limited confidence in the rider booking as a posi…
ShortlistCool Summer, Colin's Friend, Another Blunder, Classy Cc