Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Chanceitlucky faces a stiff task under 149 lb, though he has run over today's going before and returns on a manageable 35-day break.
Form last 6046-50
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR77RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 13 of 16 on our ratings, Ballyminnion Boy faces a stiff ask off 154 lb, and a trainer without a winner in 21 recent attempts adds little confidence, though he has going experience to call on and returns after a 35-day break.
Form last 6-00806
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR88RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of sixteen, Blackwater Soldier at least has experience of today's trip and going to call on, though a burden of 150 lb and a run of unplaced efforts make it hard to fancy him turning things around here.
Form last 66009/8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR90RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Jurality has been knocking on the door, finishing second last time out after a consistent run of efforts, and he has experience of today's going to call on; the concern is he remains winless in his last five starts and must shoulder 168 lb.
Form last 65604-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR101RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Getaway Charlie nonetheless rates considerably higher than his official mark suggests, and with experience over today's trip and going, the 55-day break may have freshened him for a bold bid under 167 lb.
Form last 6P00-40
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR117RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Runner-up last time out after a mixed recent sequence, Go To The Moon arrives with distance and going experience to call on, though 167 lb is a stiff ask and he sits fifth of sixteen on our ratings, making him a competitive but not straightforward proposition.
Form last 61/0742
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR100RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Showed a return to form with a second four starts back and a win five starts back, but has been out of the money in his three most recent outings; 49 days off the track is a query, though he has experience over today's trip and going, and his 163 lb burden won't help.
Form last 612-009
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR100RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rated 104 and ranked second in a 16-runner field, Kellys Corner brings distance and going experience to the table and shapes as a genuine threat, though he arrives winless in his last five starts and 169 days off the track is a significant fitness query.
Form last 635P45-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR104RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and with two pulled-up efforts among them, Kilashee faces a stiff ask off 159 lb, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 96 leaves a little room for optimism.
Form last 667-PP7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR96RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Ancient Myth has run over today's going before and returns after a 35-day break, yet winless in his last five starts and ranked towards the foot of our assessments, he faces a stiff task to reverse a run of unplaced efforts here.
Form last 600007
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR89RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 14 of 16 on our figures and returning from a 169-day absence, Duce Bigalow faces a stiff ask here despite winning last time out and showing consistent placing in recent starts; he has run over today's trip and going, but the layoff is a significant concern.
Form last 625221-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR87RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and absent for 731 days, Granda George faces a stiff comeback under 157 lb, with a trainer yet to land a winner in 21 recent attempts; a second last time out offers some hope.
Form last 628002/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR93RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Trackman Tommy bounced back to winning form last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a lengthy 225-day absence and a chequered recent record that includes two pull-ups give connections plenty to prove.
Form last 6P/PR1-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR102RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Unplaced in three of his last four starts before winning last time out, Ardgillan has experience of today's trip and conditions but is hard to fancy here, carrying 152 lb and rated well below the level required on our figures.
Form last 6900-01
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR78RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 15 of 16 on our figures, Bruise Hill is hard to fancy under 152 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and that runner-up last time out offers a crumb of encouragement.
Form last 680-682
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR86RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Move It On Over won on his latest start and has managed just one win in his last six starts, making him very hard to fancy ranked last on our figures; he has run over today's trip and going before, and the 40-day break at least means he returns fresh.
Form last 6080U41
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR83RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up three runs back, Stily faces a stiff ask off 149 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 89 suggests some unexploited potential.
Form last 632-P66
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR89RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last five starts and returning from a 137-day absence, Amron Diamond faces an uphill task under 140 lb, though he has run over today's going before and our rating of 88 suggests he holds more ability than his official mark of 72 implies.
Form last 6304P-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR89RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last six starts, with two pulled-up efforts among them and a sixth last time out, Max Time is hard to fancy on these figures; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 40 days between runs at least suggests he returns fresh.
Form last 6PP04P6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR82RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Duce Bigalow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Colm RyanDarragh O'Keeffe
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jurality
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Paul W Flynn✓ Value Signal
Getaway Charlie
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Timothy Doyle◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Duce Bigalow (SR:85, 11/2) is the highest-rated runner in this competitive 19-runner handicap and carries a manageable 11-3, giving him a weight edge over Jurality (12-0) and Getaway Charlie (11-13). Critically, GoingFit:+ confirms he has a proven record on good ground — the only runner in the field with this advantage — while his form 25221- shows consistent placing at this level before a break. Darragh O'Keeffe (13% strike rate, 1,894 career rides) is the strongest jockey booking in the race by some margin, and at 11/2 there is genuine each-way value for a horse whose ability clearly tops the field. The MarkMv:+10 is a minor negative but his SR dominance and unique going affinity outweigh this concern.
Each-way alternative: Move It On Over.
Main danger: Jurality — Jurality (SR:84, 15/2) has run just 9 days ago showing live fitness and while the MarkMv:+49 and 12-0 topweight are significant negatives, a runner only 1 SR point behind the pick with recent race fitness could outperform on the day if the weight burden proves less decisive over 2m4f.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
169-day absence is a major red flag — Duce Bigalow's last run was nearly 6 months ago, and his form string ends with a '-' (pulled up/fell/unseated), leaving serious fitness doubts for a 19-runner co…
The final run in the form string is a blank ('-'), suggesting something went wrong last time out — a fall, unseating or pulled-up run that the primary analyst has glossed over without explanation.
Bruise Hill (SR:77, 5/1) and Let Him B (SR:83, 7/1) are both shorter in the market, suggesting bookmakers and the betting public do not share the conviction that Duce Bigalow's SR:85 translates to ma…
MarkMv:+10 means the handicapper has raised his mark since his last rated run — returning from a 169-day layoff to race off a higher rating in a 19-runner field is a significant ask, even with a weig…
ShortlistDuce Bigalow, Jurality, Move It On Over, Let Him B