Newton Abbot 15:35 RESULTED
Class 5 28 Sep 2026

Last Monday Final Furlong Before "i Do" Selling Handicap Hurdle Race

Final Furlong Before "i Do" Selling Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m0f167y

Official Result

Final Furlong Before "i Do" Selling Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Saucats (FR) Callum Pritchard · Joe Tickle
    100/30
  2. 22/1
  3. 11/8F
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 2 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Saint Polo silks
Saint Polo
Age 6 · 12-0
-71113
109
102
94
6
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 5/2 31/19
Saint Polo arrives here fit off a 21-day break, bringing three wins in his last five starts, with a third last time out keeping his recent form sharp; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, and that consistent profile makes him our clear pick.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Lightning Flash silks
Lightning Flash
Age 6 · 11-11
4F63-3
106
92
97
6
11-11
★★☆☆☆
—
5/2 7/2 7/4
Lightning Flash has been consistently placed, finishing third in each of his last two starts, and he has run over today's trip and going — the main risk is a 145-day absence carrying 165 lb.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cogital silks
Cogital
Age 11 · 10-10
7402-1
91
89
93
11
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 11/2 9/2
Cogital arrives here on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, giving him a strong recent profile at 150 lb; the main risk is whether 38 days off has left him short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Berry Edge silks
Berry Edge
Age 8 · 10-6
5313-2
87
85
76
8
10-6
★★★★☆
—
15/8 3/2 7/4
Berry Edge faces a stiff ask on these figures, ranked fifth of six in the field, with an eleven-pound gap between his official mark and our assessment a significant concern; that said, he arrives with placed efforts last time and two starts back, and has experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Princess of Ballea silks
Princess of Ballea
Age 4 · 10-2
3-U664
83
63
90
4
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 18/1 8/1
Princess of Ballea shaped with promise when third five starts back and returns here with experience over today's trip and going in her favour, but winless in her last five starts and a sixth-place effort two starts back are the concerns to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Saucats silks
Saucats
Age 5 · 10-2
123737
79
75
72
5
10-2
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 7/1 3/1
Ranked bottom of six on our figures, Saucats has been in and out of form, finishing seventh on his latest outing, though a third two starts back and a win six starts back show he can hit form, and he has experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Saint Polo 2/1 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.75 2/1 Bet365
2 Lightning Flash 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 4.50 7/4 open 5.00 7/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 9/4 open 4.50 5/2 Bet365
3 Cogital 11/2 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365
4 Berry Edge 15/8 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.63 15/8 Bet365
5 Princess of Ballea 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 23.00 8/1 open 21.00 8/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 12/1 William Hill
6 Saucats 10/3 open 11.00 3/1 open 9.50 10/3 open 10.00 10/3 open 10.00 10/3 open 10.00 3/1 open 8.00 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Saint Polo

Live signal

Saint Polo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Jennie Candlish Luke Scott(3)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lightning Flash

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
✓ Value Signal

Princess of Ballea

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/1 · Daisy Hitchins
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Saint Polo
59.9 2/1
2 2. Lightning Flash
57.6 5/2
3 4. Berry Edge
56.3 15/8
4 3. Cogital
55.2 11/2
5 6. Saucats
51.4 10/3
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Berry Edge
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 8 · 10-6
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 85 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 6 · 12-0
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾 —

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-11
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 10-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 11 · 10-10
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 10-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Berry Edge
Confidence: Speculative

Berry Edge (SR:85, 13/8) carries the fewest pounds of the credible contenders at 10-6, has the strongest connections in the field with Dan Skelton (22% strike rate, 2,533 runners) and Harry Skelton (26%, 1,639 runners) — a combination that consistently delivers results at this level. The four-star AI probability rating aligns with the market making this favourite. Running at the same class mark (ClassMv:=) means no step up in grade to navigate, and a recent form line of 5313-2 shows consistent competitiveness across multiple runs. The principal concern is the absence of confirmed distance and going fit (both marked '?'), but the Skelton operation rarely runs horses at unsuitable trips, and the weight advantage over Saint Polo (1-8 lighter) is meaningful in a six-runner Class 5 seller. Each-way alternative: Saint Polo. Main danger: Saint Polo — Saint Polo (SR:102, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, has confirmed course form (W1P2), proven distance and going fit (both '+'), and drops a class — the drift of 6% is the only concern, but a horse with this SR ceiling dropping in grade with a confirmed course-and-distance profile cannot be dismissed.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Berry Edge has the lowest SR (85) of all three-star-or-above rated runners; Saint Polo (SR:102) and Lightning Flash (SR:92) both hold a significant raw ability edge that the weight allowance may not…
  • Both distance and going suitability are unconfirmed ('?'), and Newton Abbot in late September often yields soft/heavy ground — if Berry Edge is a flat-track or good-ground performer, this is a live r…
  • Saint Polo's course record of W1P2 and a form line of -71113 (three wins from last four completions) represents superior recent momentum, and has drifted only 6% — the market hasn't dismissed it desp…
  • Saucats has been backed in 11% since markets opened and runs just 10 days fresh with course form (W1P4), suggesting a well-aimed sharp rival the Skeltons may not have fully accounted for on this tigh…
Shortlist Berry Edge, Saint Polo, Saucats
Each-way: Saint Polo Danger: Saint Polo

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m0f167y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade