Down Royal 16:50 RESULTED
28 Sep 2026

Last Monday Pravha Handicap (Div II)

Pravha Handicap (Div II) · 1m3f10y

Official Result

Pravha Handicap (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Connecteo (IRE) Ben Coen · A Oliver
    4/1
  2. 11/1
  3. 3/1F
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Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

Down Royal

13:24–17:25 · 8 races

Brighton

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Roscommon

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

Hamilton

13:44–17:13 · 7 races

Newton Abbot

13:50–16:43 · 6 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:22–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Cleopatra's Needle silks
Cleopatra's Needle
Age 8 · 9-7
0-2290
TBA
H Rogers 10%
47
37
57
8
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 12/1 11/1
Winless in her last five starts and unplaced on each of her two most recent outings, Cleopatra's Needle heads into this carrying 133 lb from stall six, though she has experience of today's trip and going and back-to-back second-place finishes three and four starts back hint at ability worth respecting.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

1
Flagstone Lady silks
Flagstone Lady
Age 3 · 10-0
060831
60
60
57
3
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 9/4 7/2
Flagstone Lady won last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, but her record in recent starts shows inconsistency, and carrying 140 lb from stall 10 may test her further.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Ballaghkeen silks
Ballaghkeen
Age 3 · 9-13
6700-6
59
51
64
3
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
17/2 5/1 8/1
Ranked second of 14 on ratings and drawn in stall two, Ballaghkeen has experience of today's trip and going and is fit enough at 23 days since her last run, though winless in her last five starts, that lack of recent form is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 13/2.

3
Shay's Dream silks
Shay's Dream
Age 3 · 9-13
-00890
59
33
54
3
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 18/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, Shay's Dream faces a stiff task from stall one carrying 139 lb, and a rating of 54 leaves him towards the foot of the field; he has run over today's trip and going before, which offers some small encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

4
Connecteo silks
Connecteo
Age 3 · 9-12
247620
Ben Coen 11%
A Oliver 11%
58
57
63
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 13/2 10/3
Connecteo shaped with plenty of promise when second two starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour at a rating of 63, making him a genuine danger; the main risk is a return to form after finishing unplaced just three days ago.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Big Bill silks
Big Bill
Age 3 · 9-10
0760-
56
28
59
3
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 18/1 20/1
Winless in his last four starts and returning from a 336-day absence, Big Bill carries 136 lb from stall 14, yet his experience on today's going and a rating of 59 mark him as a genuine danger — the main concern is that lengthy absence.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

6
Sweetie Too silks
Sweetie Too
Age 3 · 9-8
08450
54
44
55
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
10/1 7/2 10/1
Winless in her last five starts and again unplaced most recently, Sweetie Too heads here just 12 days on from that effort carrying 134 lb from stall three, and while she has run over today's going before, a step forward is needed.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.

7
Strike De Vega silks
Strike De Vega
Age 3 · 9-7
06000
53
23
51
3
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 40/1 80/1
Winless in his last five starts, with four unplaced efforts including the most recent, Strike De Vega faces a stiff task here; ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, he has experience of today's distance and going, though that is modest consolation given his current form.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

8
Trishuli River silks
Trishuli River
Age 6 · 9-5
300806
45
46
68
6
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 11/1 12/1
Trishuli River is the top-rated runner in the field and has run over today's trip and going before, with a third in recent starts offering the most telling form — though she has been winless in her last six outings, she steps up here with fitness intact off a 10-day break carrying 131 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

9
Augusta Rock silks
Augusta Rock
Age 3 · 9-4
8-8525
50
52
54
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 10/3 6/1
Augusta Rock has run over today's trip and going before and shaped with promise when a second two starts back, but he has been winless in his last five starts and a weight of 130 lb from stall four may not help him bridge that gap.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Thegooseiscooked silks
Thegooseiscooked
Age 9 · 9-4
-00304
44
43
53
9
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 8/1 11/1
Winless in her last five starts, Thegooseiscooked does offer some encouragement — she finished third three starts back and returned a respectable fourth last time out 23 days ago, suggesting she retains some form, though her rating of 44 and 130 lb burden are likely to test her here.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.

11
Folk Warrior silks
Folk Warrior
Age 4 · 9-1
-54756
41
41
51
4
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 15/2 3/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, Folk Warrior makes little appeal here despite having run over today's trip and going before; carrying 127 lb from stall 11, his recent string of mid-to-rear finishes leaves little to work with.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Haeret In Pectore silks
Haeret In Pectore
Age 5 · 9-0
5-5060
33
13
37
5
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Haeret In Pectore faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a reasonable 23-day break carrying 126 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 13 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

13
Kartayaz silks
Kartayaz
Age 9 · 9-0
0-8800
35
19
49
9
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Kartayaz has been consistently out of the frame and returns after a 133-day absence, making him very difficult to fancy despite having experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

14
Curious Jane silks
Curious Jane
Age 3 · 8-8
009559
39
22
46
3
8-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in her last six starts with two nines among the recent finishes, Curious Jane faces a stiff task ranked last on our figures, and while she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a reasonable 28-day break, little in her profile invites confidence here.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Cleopatra's Needle 12/1 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
1 Flagstone Lady 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 Bet365
2 Ballaghkeen 17/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365
3 Shay's Dream 18/1 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
4 Connecteo 7/2 open 8.00 10/3 open 8.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 Bet365
5 Big Bill 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Sweetie Too 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 4.50 10/1 Bet365
7 Strike De Vega 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
8 Trishuli River 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
9 Augusta Rock 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 Bet365
10 Thegooseiscooked 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
11 Folk Warrior 7/2 open 11.00 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 9.00 3/1 open 9.00 7/2 Bet365
12 Haeret In Pectore 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
13 Kartayaz 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
14 Curious Jane 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Connecteo

Speculative

Connecteo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 A Oliver Ben Coen
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Flagstone Lady

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · M D O'Callaghan
✓ Value Signal

Haeret In Pectore

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · A. J. Martin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Connecteo
49.5 7/2
2 1. Flagstone Lady
45.7 7/2
3 9. Augusta Rock
44.8 13/2
4 2. Ballaghkeen
43.5 17/2
5 11. Folk Warrior
42.9 7/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Flagstone Lady
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 10-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-12
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 9-1
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾 —

SR 41 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-13
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 13/2.

6
Age 3 · 9-8
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾 —

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.

0
Age 8 · 9-7
12/1
J: TBA
T: H Rogers
★☆☆☆☆ SR 37 🐾 —

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Age 6 · 9-5
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

10
Age 9 · 9-4
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.

3
Age 3 · 9-13
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 33 🐾 —

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Flagstone Lady
Confidence: Speculative

Flagstone Lady (SR:60, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 3 points above Connecteo (SR:57) and 8 above Augusta Rock (SR:52) — and her 10-0 weight is manageable at this level given her clear SR superiority. Her last-run figure of '1' confirms she arrives in form, and O'Callaghan's 12% strike rate with Reese Holohan aboard adds stable confidence. The 6% drift is a minor concern and must be acknowledged, but no rival combines SR advantage with recent winning form: her SR edge is simply the widest in this 15-runner field and the 5/2 market still makes her the clear public choice. Augusta Rock (SR:52, 9/2) is the main danger — lighter weight at 9-4 and the JP O'Brien yard firing at 16% — but her GoingFit is flagged poor on today's good ground, which undermines her chance on the day. Each-way alternative: Augusta Rock. Main danger: Augusta Rock — Augusta Rock (SR:52, 9/2) is JP O'Brien's #1 runner here — better jockey booking in Declan McDonogh, lighter weight at 9-4 giving a 10lb pull on Flagstone Lady, and the yard's 16% strike rate means this is not a token entry, though the GoingFit:- flag on today's good ground is the caveat that keeps her off the top spot.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Flagstone Lady's form reads 060831 — she has finished 6th, 0th, 6th, 8th in four of her last six runs; only the most recent '1' flatters a largely inconsistent profile.
  • A 6% market drift out in a 15-runner field is notable: bookmakers and informed money are moving away from her, suggesting connections or insiders are not confident at today's track/conditions.
  • Connecteo (SR:57) is only 3 points behind, has drifted IN 18% (strong market support), ran just 3 days ago indicating peak fitness, and carries 2lbs less — pace and market trajectory both favour the…
  • At 10-0, Flagstone Lady carries the joint-heaviest weight in the field; in a large 15-runner field on good ground, that burden against younger/lighter rivals at similar ability levels is a concrete h…
Shortlist Flagstone Lady, Augusta Rock, Connecteo, Ballaghkeen
Each-way: Augusta Rock Danger: Augusta Rock

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m3f10y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Down Royal Track and setting