Hamilton 14:54 RESULTED
Class 5 28 Sep 2026

Last Monday Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap Stakes

Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap Stakes · 0m6f6y

Official Result

Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Stay On Tab (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine
    5/1
  2. 7/1
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Or Another silks
Or Another
Age 2 · 9-9
347349
66
58
71
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 5/1 7/1
SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Fern Clyde silks
Fern Clyde
Age 2 · 9-8
134645
65
66
78
2
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/4 18/13 9/4
Fern Clyde rates a shade superior to her rivals on our ratings and, with experience over today's trip and a run just 13 days ago keeping her sharp, she arrives as the one to beat; her recent finishes have been modest, but that rating superiority makes her hard to oppose.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Dadawada silks
Dadawada
Age 2 · 8-12
5460
55
53
57
2
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 4/1 6/1
Dadawada has run over today's trip and going before, and at 124 lb from stall 7 she arrives on a sharp 14-day turnaround with conditions presenting no new questions; the concern is she has been winless in her last four starts, with improvement needed on recent form.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Lady Titania silks
Lady Titania
Age 2 · 8-10
7757
53
50
52
2
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 8/1 15/2
Winless in her last four starts, Lady Titania faces a stiff task on these figures, ranked sixth of seven, and her sequence of finishing positions offers little encouragement; she has run over today's trip before, and 20 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh, but that may count for little here.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bonjour Belle silks
Bonjour Belle
Age 2 · 8-7
570464
50
53
56
2
8-7
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 10/3 3/1
Winless in her last six starts, Bonjour Belle has shown enough consistency with a pair of fourths in recent outings to suggest she remains competitive at this level, though the overall pattern is hard to get excited about; she has run over today's trip and returns after 35 days from stall one carrying 119 lb.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Stay On Tab silks
Stay On Tab
Age 2 · 8-5
636765
48
60
64
2
8-5
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 13/2 5/1
Yet to score in his last six starts, Stay On Tab nonetheless brings a speed rating well clear of his official mark, suggesting he is sharper than his handicap number implies, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the risk is that his recent form has been consistently flat.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
North Coates silks
North Coates
Age 2 · 8-3
567
46
47
51
2
8-3
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 7/1 6/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked last on our figures, North Coates faces a stiff ask here, with a trainer firing at just five per cent recently doing little to help his cause; has run over today's trip, at least, and 115 lb is a manageable weight.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Or Another 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
2 Fern Clyde 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.38 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 William Hill
3 Dadawada 15/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 6.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Lady Titania 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365
5 Bonjour Belle 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
6 Stay On Tab 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 Bet365
7 North Coates 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 10.00 6/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fern Clyde

Speculative

Fern Clyde owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Tim Easterby David Allan
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bonjour Belle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Brian Ellison
✓ Value Signal

North Coates

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

8/1 · Michael & David Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Fern Clyde
51.1 9/4
2 5. Bonjour Belle
46.4 7/2
3 6. Stay On Tab
45.9 5/1
4 7. North Coates
44.6 8/1
5 3. Dadawada
44.0 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Stay On Tab
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-8
9/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 8-7
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 8-5
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 8-12
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 8-3
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 8-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Stay On Tab
Confidence: Speculative

Stay On Tab (SR:60, 9/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 8-5 in a field where SR differences are marginal, and crucially has steamed in 35% from opening — the strongest market move in this race by a significant margin, suggesting stable confidence or market information not visible in the form. Iain Jardine (12% strike rate) is a local handler who knows Hamilton well, and the class drop (↓1) represents an easier opportunity. The recent form 636765 shows consistency in keeping tabs with the field rather than winning, but the weight advantage and dramatic market move combine to make this the most compelling case. The SR of 60 leads all runners bar Fern Clyde, and the lighter weight offsets that gap meaningfully over 6f on soft ground. Each-way alternative: Fern Clyde. Main danger: Fern Clyde — Fern Clyde (SR:66, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class (↓1), giving Tim Easterby's yard a genuine ability edge — the drift of 25% is concerning and the DistFit:- is a flag, but raw SR alone makes it the biggest threat to the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form 636765 shows six consecutive races without a win or place — this horse has never hit the frame and the pattern suggests a resolute non-winner rather than an improver.
  • Fern Clyde (SR:66) holds a meaningful 6-point SR advantage and has actual placed form (1,3,4 in recent runs); the weight differential of only 3lb is unlikely to bridge that ability gap over 6f.
  • Andrew Mullen's 10% strike rate is unimpressive and offers no rider edge, while the primary analyst's case leans heavily on the market move — but 9/2 still trails Fern Clyde at 9/4, suggesting the ma…
  • HG flag 't' (turf only) with no soft-ground form code visible in recent starts raises a specific going doubt — Hamilton soft in late September could be testing conditions this horse hasn't demonstrab…
Shortlist Stay On Tab, Fern Clyde, Lady Titania
Each-way: Fern Clyde Danger: Fern Clyde

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f6y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Hamilton Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade