Newton Abbot 16:10 RESULTED
Class 4 28 Sep 2026

Last Monday Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Race

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m5f122y

Official Result

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kittys Glance (GB) Tom Cannon · Alan King
    7/2
  2. 13/8F
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kom Tu Voudras silks
Kom Tu Voudras
Age 6 · 11-12
164F12
115
111
110
6
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 2/1 9/4
Kom Tu Voudras shaped with real promise when runner-up last time out, and a winner two starts back, she arrives in cracking form on ten days' rest; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 166 lb is the one thing to manage.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Kilnew Supreme silks
Kilnew Supreme
Age 5 · 11-3
2/222-
106
119
114
5
11-3
★★★★☆
—
7/4 6/5 31/19
Kilnew Supreme has been a model of consistency, finishing second in each of his last four starts, and our rating puts him narrowly top of this field — the main risk is that 159 days off the track leaves his fitness an open question ahead of his return.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Ellerton silks
Ellerton
Age 6 · 11-3
-12P12
106
106
100
6
11-3
★★★★☆
—
9/2 3/1 4/1
Ellerton brings solid recent form to the table, with a win two starts back and a close second last time out, and he handles both today's trip and going, but his pulling up three starts back remains a concern at 157 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Kittys Glance silks
Kittys Glance
Age 5 · 11-2
1-2322
105
115
108
5
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 3/1 11/4
Kittys Glance has been a model of consistency, placed in four of her last five starts with a win five starts back, and she has experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 156 lb is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kom Tu Voudras 5/2 9/4 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.75 5/2 Bet365
2 Kilnew Supreme 7/4 13/8 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.62 7/4 open 2.20 7/4 Bet365
3 Ellerton 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Kittys Glance 10/3 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.00 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kilnew Supreme

Live signal

Kilnew Supreme owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Paul Nicholls Sam Twiston-Davies
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kom Tu Voudras

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Faye Bramley
✓ Value Signal

Kittys Glance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/3 · Alan King
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Kilnew Supreme
65.5 7/4
2 1. Kom Tu Voudras
62.9 5/2
3 4. Kittys Glance
60.4 10/3
4 3. Ellerton
56.8 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Kittys Glance
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 11-3
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 119 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 6 · 11-12
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾 —

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 11-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 115 🐾 —

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-3
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 106 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Steamers Shortened — market backing

No steamers in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Kittys Glance
Confidence: Speculative

Kittys Glance (SR:115, 10/3) has steamed in 16% from its opening price — the strongest market move in this field — which is significant in a four-runner race where money is informed. Alan King (16%, 1238 runners) is a high-volume trainer whose runners at prices like this with market support have real substance, and Tom Cannon (18%, 567) is a reliable booking. Despite DistFit:? and no prior course win, GoingFit:+ confirms it handles today's good ground, and the ClassMv:= means there's no class-rise penalty — it is running to a known benchmark. The recent form 1-2322 shows consistency around the top of the field, and at 9lb less than top-weight Kom Tu Voudras, the weight advantage is meaningful. Each-way alternative: Kilnew Supreme. Main danger: Kilnew Supreme — Kilnew Supreme (SR:119, 7/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries only 11-3 — 9lb less than top-weight — and Paul Nicholls at 22% strike rate with Sam Twiston-Davies is a powerful combination; the 7% drift is a concern but in a four-runner race the market can be thin and the SR advantage is real.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Kilnew Supreme (SR:119) holds a 4-point superior rating and is the 7/4 market leader — Kittys Glance (SR:115) is being asked to beat a statistically stronger-rated rival in a tiny four-runner field w…
  • 39 days since last run is a notable freshness concern; in a small-field competitive hurdle on good ground, a horse needing the run could be caught cold by rivals returning on sharper schedules (Kom T…
  • Kilnew Supreme has drifted 7% out but still commands a shorter price, suggesting the market overall is not convinced Kittys Glance's 16% steam reflects genuine edge — the move may partly reflect thin…
  • Course record W0P1 versus Ellerton's W2P5 at Newton Abbot is a concrete disadvantage on a tight, idiosyncratic track where course form genuinely matters.
Shortlist Kittys Glance, Kilnew Supreme, Kom Tu Voudras
Each-way: Kilnew Supreme Danger: Kilnew Supreme

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m5f122y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade