Neaves & Co EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 0m6f17y
SR 120 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 121 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Cracking Toast | 50/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 2 The Thinking Man | 11/4 open 26.00 | 3/1 open 26.00 | 9/4 open 26.00 | 9/4 open 26.00 | 11/4 open 26.00 | 11/4 open 8.50 | 3/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 He's Readytorumble | 17/2 open 5.00 | 17/2 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 9/1 open 4.50 | 9/1 open 5.00 | 9/1 William Hill |
| 4 Pivotal Star | 80/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 5 The Stony Baker | 80/1 open 67.00 | 70/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Bearly Blue | 5/2 open 2.63 | 5/2 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 5/2 open 2.50 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Donna Beauty | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 3.50 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Brewster | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 9 North Coates | 150/1 open 34.00 | 90/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 125/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Water Angel | 11/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Oxber Flyer | 14/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
The Thinking Man owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Donna Beauty (SR 152, 5/2) holds the clearest SR advantage in this field by a meaningful margin — 3 points clear of The Thinking Man (SR 149) and 5 clear of Water Angel (SR 147) — and crucially drops three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) into a Class 5 novice stakes, which is a significant opportunity for Charlie Johnston's yard. The 43-day break since last run is mitigated by the first-time hood (HG:h), which Johnston's team have applied deliberately and often signals a sharpened juvenile. Connor Beasley (13%, 1615 career rides) is a solid booking, and the 9-2 weight is the lightest of the three market principals, giving a real lbs advantage over The Thinking Man on 9-7. The market has not drifted on her, holding at 5/2, which is consistent with quiet confidence rather than alarm. Each-way alternative: The Thinking Man. Main danger: The Thinking Man — The Thinking Man (SR 149, 6/1) has steamed in 69% in the market — the strongest move in the field — drops three class tiers, and Adrian Keatley's yard runs at 15%; the money clearly knows something that the current price does not yet fully reflect.