Ballinrobe 18:40 RESULTED
11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase · 2m1f48y

Official Result

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Phoenix Arizona (IRE) Thomas O'Connor · John J Cullen
    9/1
  2. Second Farrokh (FR)
    9/1
  3. 9/2F
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Settled
  • 19 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Leave In Secret silks
Leave In Secret
Age 7 · 11-12
7-7432
110
98
111
7
11-12
11/2 4/1 11/2
Winless in his last five starts but Leave In Secret has been knocking on the door, finishing second last time out and third two starts back, and he arrives here fresh on 34 days' rest, with experience of today's trip and going, carrying 166 lb for a race in which our figures rate him very narrowly off the top.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Mo Ghille Mar silks
Mo Ghille Mar
Age 5 · 11-12
-17741
110
90
106
5
11-12
5/1 13/2 5/1
Won last time out and has previous experience over today's trip and going, but her rating of 106 ranks her fifth of nineteen and a weight of 166 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Lady Doyanne silks
Lady Doyanne
Age 6 · 11-10
D-4322
108
100
107
6
11-10
3/1 10/3 3/1
Consistently placed in recent starts, Lady Doyanne has run over today's trip and going before and arrives 34 days fresh, giving her every chance to go one better; the concern is she remains yet to win in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Farrokh silks
Farrokh
Age 7 · 11-8
46U-14
106
84
103
7
11-8
11/1 10/1 11/1
Farrokh landed a win two starts back but has since unseated and finished fourth, so his form is mixed; he has run over today's trip and going, and 14 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, though 162 lb is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Ballybrittas silks
Ballybrittas
Age 7 · 11-6
74-513
104
89
102
7
11-6
15/2
Third last time out after winning two starts back, Ballybrittas has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a 160 lb burden and a trainer firing at just 4% in the last fortnight are real negatives against him here.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Claude silks
Claude
Age 5 · 11-4
P-0304
102
77
113
5
11-4
14/1 20/1 12/1
Ranked top of the field on ratings and returning on a good 29-day freshener, Claude has experience of today's trip and going and shaped with promise when third three starts back; yet to win in recent starts is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

7
Custers Mistake silks
Custers Mistake
Age 9 · 11-4
5/821-
102
80
108
9
11-4
18/1 12/1 18/1
Custers Mistake won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 108 marking him out as a leading threat in a field of 19; the sole concern is a layoff of over 400 days.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Stoneyford Lady silks
Stoneyford Lady
Age 7 · 11-2
87-534
100
88
101
7
11-2
7/1 15/2 7/1
Winless in her last five starts, Stoneyford Lady at least showed some promise with a third two runs back, though a fourth last time out and a weight of 156 lb make progress hard to find; she has run over today's trip and going, which offers some grounding.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Sayitfirst silks
Sayitfirst
Age 10 · 11-0
229P-8
98
75
97
10
11-0
16/1 12/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 11 of 19 here, Sayitfirst carries 154 lb against her, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns after a 32-day break with something to prove.
AI verdict

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Poppycon silks
Poppycon
Age 6 · 10-11
2F-420
95
71
97
6
10-11
16/1 12/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, Poppycon does offer some encouragement — a second two starts back and another second five starts back — though an unplaced last outing and 151 lb to carry are stiff tasks, despite having experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Bossing It silks
Bossing It
Age 6 · 10-10
0-2585
94
72
96
6
10-10
20/1 FCST 18/1
Winless in her last five starts, Bossing It does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 26 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh; however, a 150 lb burden and a ranking of 13 of 19 in the field make a big run hard to call.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

12
Fedneys Park silks
Fedneys Park
Age 6 · 10-10
004-00
94
80
92
6
10-10
17/2 11/1 17/2
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 16 of 19 on our figures, Fedneys Park faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip before and a return from 89 days off can occasionally spark improvement.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Le Diablo silks
Le Diablo
Age 5 · 10-9
523074
93
86
98
5
10-9
11/1
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Phoenix Arizona silks
Phoenix Arizona
Age 7 · 10-9
004328
93
79
92
7
10-9
14/1 10/1 14/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 14 of 19 on our figures, Phoenix Arizona is hard to fancy despite carrying 149 lb, though a second and a third in recent starts show he can hit the frame, and he has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Itsalonglongroad silks
Itsalonglongroad
Age 12 · 10-6
5P0-73
90
74
100
12
10-6
16/1 16/1 14/1
Itsalonglongroad has run over today's trip and going before and shaped with promise when third last time out, but he remains winless in his last five starts and a hefty 146 lb is a significant burden to overcome here.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Roccabaker silks
Roccabaker
Age 8 · 10-6
13P77-
90
65
90
8
10-6
18/1 FCST 16/1
Ranked 18 of 19 on our figures, Roccabaker makes this look a tough ask, and 145 days off the track adds further doubt; she has run over today's distance and going, and a win in her last five starts shows she can find the line first.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

17
Political Stance silks
Political Stance
Age 6 · 10-6
072P-0
TBA
C Byrnes 11%
90
81
92
6
10-6
7/1 8/1 6/1
Political Stance has been in grim form of late — unplaced and pulled up in his two most recent outings — and rated 15th of 19 on our figures, he is hard to fancy under 146 lb; a second three starts back and experience over today's trip and going are slim consolations for a gelding yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Feet On The Ground silks
Feet On The Ground
Age 8 · 10-2
4P-367
86
68
91
8
10-2
18/1 FCST 16/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 17 of 19 on our figures, Feet On The Ground faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and going, and a third three starts back offers a crumb of comfort, but 66 days off and 142 lb make her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Coole Vision silks
Coole Vision
Age 9 · 10-0
4/P-00
TBA
75
59
86
9
10-0
20/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Coole Vision faces a stiff task here; two pulled-up or unplaced efforts among his most recent runs are hard to dismiss, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after a 52-day break.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Leave In Secret 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Coral
2 Mo Ghille Mar 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 Coral
3 Lady Doyanne 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 7/2 10/3 7/2 William Hill
4 Farrokh 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Paddy Power
5 Ballybrittas 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 Coral
6 Claude 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 Coral
7 Custers Mistake 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Coral
8 Stoneyford Lady 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 William Hill
9 Sayitfirst 16/1 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Coral
10 Poppycon 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Coral
11 Bossing It 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365
12 Fedneys Park 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 15.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 Betfred
13 Le Diablo 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Coral
14 Phoenix Arizona 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Coral
15 Itsalonglongroad 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
16 Roccabaker 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 Bet365
17 Political Stance 7/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 Bet365
18 Feet On The Ground 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 18/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
19 Coole Vision 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lady Doyanne

Speculative

Lady Doyanne owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Henry De Bromhead Alan O'Sullivan(2)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Leave In Secret

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Thomas Gibney
✓ Value Signal

Bossing It

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · David M O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Lady Doyanne
59.0 3/1
2 1. Leave In Secret
57.8 11/2
3 2. Mo Ghille Mar
54.3 5/1
4 8. Stoneyford Lady
51.0 7/1
5 5. Ballybrittas
50.6 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lady Doyanne
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 11-10
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-12
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 11-12
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 7 · 11-2
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 6 · 10-6
7/1
J: TBA
T: C Byrnes
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 11-6
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 10-10
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 11-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 5 · 10-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 11-4
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

14
Age 7 · 10-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 10 · 11-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Age 6 · 10-11
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 12 · 10-6
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 11-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 8 · 10-6
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

18
Age 8 · 10-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 10-10
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

19
Age 9 · 10-0
20/1
J: TBA
T: Norman Lee
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lady Doyanne
Confidence: Speculative

Lady Doyanne (SR 100, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and is trained by Henry De Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2270 runners) — the strongest yard in the race. Her form reads 4-3-2-2 in recent starts, showing consistent placing and a horse running close to peak rather than declining. Crucially she has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at this trip on today's going, meaning neither the 2m1f nor the Good ground presents any concern. At 11-10 she carries a reasonable burden but holds a meaningful SR edge over every rival, and De Bromhead's operation is the clear yard to side with here — their #1 signal being Lady Doyanne's more experienced jockey booking and superior SR over stablemates Stoneyford Lady and Fedneys Park. Each-way alternative: Leave In Secret. Main danger: Leave In Secret — Leave In Secret (SR 98, 5/1) is the second-rated horse in the field with confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ and a course record of W1P1 at Ballinrobe — that course specialisation on proven going is a genuine threat to Lady Doyanne despite the 21% market drift, which may reflect the weight burden of 11-12 rather than any underlying concern about ability.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lady Doyanne's jockey Alan O'Sullivan has a modest 9% strike rate from 336 rides — noticeably weaker than the stable's overall 16% record, suggesting she may not have attracted De Bromhead's stronger…
  • Her recent form reads 4-3-2-2 with no win in at least four starts; a horse that consistently places without winning may be vulnerable to being outkicked again at a price as short as 7/2 in a 19-runne…
  • The 'HG:t' flag indicates she has headgear in today's race (tongue tie), which can signal a trainer trying something to address a behavioural or wind issue — not a straightforward confidence signal.
  • Leave In Secret (SR 98) has drifted in the market but holds a Course W1P1 record at Ballinrobe and has had a mark rise of +5, yet sits just 2 SR points below Lady Doyanne — making the top-rated claim…
Shortlist Lady Doyanne, Leave In Secret, Ballybrittas, Political Stance
Each-way: Leave In Secret Danger: Leave In Secret

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f48y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
19 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting