Salisbury 16:51 RESULTED
Class 4 11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September PKF Francis Clark Handicap Stakes

PKF Francis Clark Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y

Official Result

PKF Francis Clark Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Quiet Gent (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Brian Toomey
    15/2
  2. 7/2F
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Under The Twilight silks
Under The Twilight
Age 8 · 9-10
441218
82
88
88
8
9-10
8/1 11/2 8/1
Winning two of her last six starts and filling the runner-up spot three starts back, Under The Twilight arrives here fit on a 13-day turnaround, with experience of today's trip and conditions and a joint-top-ranked our rating of 88 to underline her claims; the worry is that eighth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Rare Change silks
Rare Change
Age 4 · 9-10
391777
82
79
83
4
9-10
7/1 15/2 7/1
Rare Change landed a winner four starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, with his 136 lb burden from stall 4 the main concern after three successive sevenths in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Supreme King silks
Supreme King
Age 6 · 9-9
227156
81
85
84
6
9-9
11/2 11/2 5/1
Supreme King won three starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, so the ingredients are there for a bold show off a sharp 13-day turnaround; the concern is that he has finished fifth and sixth in his two most recent outings.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Baldomero silks
Baldomero
Age 8 · 9-8
373694
80
88
88
8
9-8
7/2 11/2 7/2
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
The Quiet Gent silks
The Quiet Gent
Age 4 · 9-7
2385-2
79
76
82
4
9-7
13/2 4/1 6/1
Placed second last time out and third four starts back, The Quiet Gent has shown enough in recent starts to suggest a bold showing is possible, though winless in his last five and that mid-table ranking on ratings tempers expectations at 133 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Sergeant Pep silks
Sergeant Pep
Age 6 · 9-7
6-2323
79
90
83
6
9-7
4/1 9/2 11/4
Sergeant Pep is a consistent sort who has finished third, second, third, and second in four of his last five starts, yet remains winless in recent outings and will need to find that extra gear to go one better; he has run over today's trip and going before, returns fit on 13 days' rest, and carries 133 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Tenbob Tommy silks
Tenbob Tommy
Age 5 · 9-5
8-1132
77
90
74
5
9-5
11/2 15/2 11/2
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Tenbob Tommy faces a stiff ask here, though he does arrive on the back of a placed effort last time and has run over today's trip before; two wins in his last five starts show he is capable, but the weight of 131 lb is a further concern.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Padua silks
Padua
Age 4 · 9-5
4-0493
77
71
80
4
9-5
12/1 8/1 11/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Padua is hard to fancy despite being placed last time out and having run over today's trip; the 131 lb burden does him no favours either.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Safari Dream silks
Safari Dream
Age 6 · 9-4
175311
76
80
79
6
9-4
11/1 6/1 10/1
Safari Dream has won twice in his last three starts and returns after 21 days in decent nick, but ranked eighth of nine on our figures he faces a stiff ask against this field, and 130 lb is no assistance to his cause.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Under The Twilight 8/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 Paddy Power
2 Rare Change 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 Bet365
3 Supreme King 11/2 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 William Hill
4 Baldomero 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 Bet365
5 The Quiet Gent 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 Bet365
6 Sergeant Pep 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
7 Tenbob Tommy 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 Bet365
8 Padua 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Safari Dream 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Supreme King

Speculative

Supreme King owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 David Evans Pat Cosgrave
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tenbob Tommy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Sheena West
✓ Value Signal

Padua

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Hughie Morrison
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Supreme King
55.5 11/2
2 7. Tenbob Tommy
55.3 11/2
3 4. Baldomero
54.3 7/2
4 1. Under The Twilight
54.0 8/1
5 6. Sergeant Pep
52.9 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Baldomero
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 8 · 9-8
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-7
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-10
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 9-10
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 9-4
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Drifters Drifted — market cooling

No drifters in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Baldomero
Confidence: Speculative

Baldomero (SR:88, 7/2, Wgt:9-8) is the standout pick built on multiple converging signals. The 32% market shortening is the strongest move in the field and suggests informed confidence — this is not passive drifting but active backing. A MarkMv:-10 means his current mark is 10lb below his last winning mark, giving him a significant handicap advantage over rivals running at or above their winning marks. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) into this Class 4 adds further ease, and at 9-8 he is well-treated on weight versus the top-weights. The GoingFit:- is the one caution — he has a poor record on this going bucket — but blinkers fitted (HG:b) and the aggressive market move suggest connections are confident he handles the conditions today. Each-way alternative: Tenbob Tommy. Main danger: Sergeant Pep — Sergeant Pep (SR:90, 5/1, Wgt:9-7) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries 1lb less than Baldomero, has a MarkMv:-3 (running below his winning mark), and is trained by the in-form Clive Cox (17% strike rate) with Rossa Ryan aboard — the GoingFit:- is a shared concern with Baldomero, but on pure ability metrics he is the most dangerous rival.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Baldomero's recent form reads 373694 — the '4' last time out is his best finish in six runs, suggesting he is struggling to fire consistently despite the favourable mark.
  • GoingFit:- is a confirmed poor record on today's going, not a minor quibble; connections adding blinkers to paper over this weakness is a red flag, not reassurance.
  • Sergeant Pep (SR:90, 5/1) and Tenbob Tommy (SR:90, 11/2) both carry higher Speed Ratings with Tenbob Tommy also showing a 28% market support — Baldomero is not the form pick in this field.
  • At age 8, Baldomero's MarkMv:-10 advantage may reflect a horse whose ability has genuinely declined to that mark rather than a well-handicapped improver; his win-form may belong to a different horse.
Shortlist Baldomero, Sergeant Pep, Tenbob Tommy, Under The Twilight
Each-way: Tenbob Tommy Danger: Sergeant Pep

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade