Nyman bounced back from a below-par ninth with a winning return last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, giving him a solid each-way profile at 167 lb; the concern is whether six days is enough recovery time to back that up.
Form last 6064391
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR74RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Anthropologist has been consistent without threatening the top spot in recent starts, finishing second last time out and third two starts back, yet winless in his last six; the 161 lb burden and a ranking of tenth of sixteen make progress harder to find today.
Form last 6648432
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR71RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bella Bisbee has run over today's trip and going, and a third two starts back shows she can threaten, but sixth last time and a trainer without a winner in 20 recent runners are genuine concerns for this winless mare carrying 161 lb from stall five.
Form last 6502836
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR70RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Berry Clever has been frustratingly consistent in the wrong way, finishing fourth in four of his last six starts and yet to score, though he has experience over today's trip and going and the 13-day turnaround suggests he arrives fresh.
Form last 6454444
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR73RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Caragio won three starts back but has posted a sixth and fifth since, and a 89-day absence plus a hefty 161 lb to carry are the key concerns; experience over today's trip and going at least leaves conditions familiar.
Form last 66-2156
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Feel The Need has been winless in his last five starts, with a placed effort two starts back the lone bright spot in an otherwise modest recent run, and six days between runs may leave him short of peak fitness; he has run over today's trip and going before, but 161 lb from stall 13 adds further to his task.
Form last 6-20067
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well down the field on our figures and absent for 140 days, Little Miss India faces a stiff task, though she has winning form in her last six starts and has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 6214185
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR67RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ran second last time out and has experience over today's trip and going, but a fourth three starts back and a heavy weight of 161 lb from stall 16 suggest he faces a stiff task working his way into contention from midfield.
Form last 6126462
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Serious Look has managed just one win in his last five starts, finishing eighth last time out, and his rating of 68 ranks him thirteenth of sixteen here, making him hard to fancy; he does have experience over today's trip and arrives reasonably fresh on 25 days' rest.
Form last 62-1558
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR68RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Ranked second of sixteen on our ratings with a speed figure of 76, Tolstoy has run over today's trip and going and arrives fresh enough at 27 days since his last start, though he is winless in his last five starts and his trainer's current 4% strike rate is a concern.
Form last 6-54000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Celtic Chariot has back-to-back wins two and three starts back to his name, but a sixth last time out and a rating of 62 — ranking him fifteenth of sixteen on our figures — make him very hard to fancy, despite the experience over today's trip and a quick enough turnaround from stall one.
Form last 6664116
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR62RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked last on our figures, Clatford returns after 85 days off with a trainer who has yet to land a winner from 20 attempts in the past fortnight; experience over today's trip is the one small crumb of comfort.
Form last 6420
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR59RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 12 of 16 on our figures, Wield looks up against it here, though he does bring distance experience and a second last time out offers a crumb of encouragement under 156 lb from stall three.
Form last 6325072
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR69RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shadow Run shaped with promise when second three starts back, and our rating of 76 has him as the pick of the field, yet he is winless in his last six starts and the trainer's current run of 0/20 is the main concern heading into this.
Form last 6240256
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR77RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed third last time out and a winner five starts back, Masaban has experience of today's trip and going to call on, but a mixed recent profile — including a fifth three starts back — and 156 lb from stall 10 are the checks on his chance.
Form last 6613523
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR73RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third last time out and a winner two starts back, Espona Bay arrives on a handy 24-day break with experience of both today's trip and going; carrying 156 lb from stall 15, he shapes as the pick on overall profile despite a trainer who has yet to strike in recent days.
Form last 6133513
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR72RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Anthropologist owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Michael HerringtonSammy Jo Bell
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Caragio
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Adam Kirby✓ Value Signal
Serious Look
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Thomas Faulkner◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Caragio (SR 80, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and has steamed in by 47% in the market — the single most dramatic move in the race — suggesting informed support after 89 days off. The SR 80 sits meaningfully above the next cluster of SR 71-75 rivals, and at 11-7 weight it carries no penalty burden. The GoingFit:? flag is the main caveat, but the market has absorbed that uncertainty and continued to shorten, implying connections are satisfied with conditions. A last-run 6th on good ground (Form:6-2156 — second and fifth from rights showing capability) confirms the horse has the class to land this.
Each-way alternative: Wield.
Main danger: Anthropologist — Anthropologist (SR 74, 11/2) is Herrington's yard number one — shortening 8% in the market, wearing a hood for focus, and at a flat 11-7 with a consistent place-hitting form line; the missing piece is GoingFit:- but the market clearly isn't alarmed.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
89-day absence is a significant fitness concern — Caragio's last run was a beaten 6th, and returning rusty from a near-3-month break at Doncaster in September raises questions about peak conditioning.
GoingFit:? is unresolved — Doncaster in mid-September can produce soft/heavy ground and Caragio's form string shows no confirmed evidence of handling deteriorating autumn conditions.
Trainer Adam Kirby holds only an 11% strike rate from 140 runners, a modest yard record that undermines confidence the horse is bouncing back sharply from a layoff without a prep run.
Tolstoy (SR:71) has steamed in 49% — nearly matching Caragio's market move — suggesting split informed money, while Anthropologist (SR:74, in 8%) offers a closely-rated rival fresh off just 6 days' r…