Salisbury 17:26 RESULTED
Class 4 11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September Happy 40th Birthday Kevin Baker Selling Stakes

Happy 40th Birthday Kevin Baker Selling Stakes · 0m6f213y

Official Result

Happy 40th Birthday Kevin Baker Selling Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Grapple (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett
    5/1
  2. 9/4F
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Oxber Flyer silks
Oxber Flyer Non-Runner
Age 2 · 8-13
2
8-13
SP
1
Persian Land silks
Persian Land
Age 2 · 9-8
1267
75
83
85
2
9-8
5/2 11/4 2/1
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Grapple silks
Grapple
Age 2 · 9-4
0
31
24
2
9-4
4/1 12/1 3/1
Winless in recent starts and ranked last on our figures, Grapple faces a stiff task at a 130 lb burden after 56 days off, though he has run over today's trip before and stall four offers a straightforward enough pitch.
AI verdict

SR 31 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Hello You Ten silks
Hello You Ten
Age 2 · 9-4
630
64
38
64
2
9-4
28/1 12/1 22/1
Winless in his last three starts, Hello You Ten does at least bring distance experience and a placed effort in the recent past — third two starts back is a decent hook — though he steps up from a sixth three starts back and an unplaced effort most recently, making consistency the obvious question.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

4
Minzaal Time silks
Minzaal Time
Age 2 · 9-4
07856
64
36
60
2
9-4
28/1 20/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, with finishes no better than fifth in recent outings, Minzaal Time looks hard to fancy on these figures; he has run over today's trip before and returns on a quick 15-day turnaround, but that offers limited encouragement at the foot of the rankings.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Our Fella silks
Our Fella
Age 2 · 9-4
023443
57
34
60
2
9-4
50/1 20/1 28/1
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
The Kalonji Man silks
The Kalonji Man
Age 2 · 9-4
04869
45
29
60
2
9-4
28/1 20/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, with finishes no better than fourth in recent outings and a trainer hitting at just 4% in the past fortnight, The Kalonji Man makes little appeal here despite having run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Absolute Diamond silks
Absolute Diamond
Age 2 · 9-3
24661
67
76
74
2
9-3
10/3 10/11 11/4
Absolute Diamond arrives on the back of a win 13 days ago and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with our rating of 74 marking her out as a strong player in this field; the risk is that her two sixth-place finishes in recent starts hint at inconsistency.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Courage Best silks
Courage Best
Age 2 · 8-13
79904
57
65
64
2
8-13
9/2 9/1 10/3
Courage Best shaped with encouragement on her latest start just four days ago, and she has experience of today's distance and going; winless in her last five starts, though, the consistency question remains the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Lushill silks
Lushill
Age 2 · 8-13
532384
61
71
65
2
8-13
6/1 5/1 9/2
Placed third and second in recent starts, Lushill has shown she can compete at this level and, with just 16 days between runs, arrives in good order carrying 125 lb from stall 10, her experience over today's trip an asset — though her inability to convert in her last six starts remains the concern.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Oxber Flyer
1 Persian Land 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
2 Grapple 4/1 open 21.00 7/2 open 13.00 3/1 open 17.00 3/1 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Hello You Ten 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 Paddy Power
4 Minzaal Time 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Our Fella 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 Bet365
6 The Kalonji Man 28/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Absolute Diamond 10/3 open 1.91 7/2 open 2.10 7/2 open 2.00 11/4 open 2.00 7/2 open 2.00 4/1 open 2.00 4/1 Betfred
8 Courage Best 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 10.00 10/3 open 10.00 10/3 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 Betfred
9 Lushill 6/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 9/2 open 7.00 6/1 6/1 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Persian Land

Speculative

Persian Land owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 David Evans Callum Rodriguez
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Absolute Diamond

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · David Evans
✓ Value Signal

The Kalonji Man

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Richard Hannon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Persian Land
54.4 5/2
2 7. Absolute Diamond
53.0 10/3
3 9. Lushill
48.8 6/1
4 8. Courage Best
47.7 9/2
5 2. Grapple
40.9 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Persian Land
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-8
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-3
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-4
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 31 🐾

SR 31 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 8-13
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 8-13
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Persian Land
Confidence: Medium

Persian Land tops the composite score at SR 83 trading at 9/2. Composite ranks the field on SR + market + form + connections + distance/going fit — the pick is the best cross-signal case, not just the best SR.

Shortlist Persian Land, Absolute Diamond, Lushill, Courage Best, Grapple
Each-way: Absolute Diamond Danger: Lushill

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f213y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade