Chester 15:53 RESULTED
Class 4 11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September TMT Group Handicap Stakes

TMT Group Handicap Stakes · 0m7f1y

Official Result

TMT Group Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner King Of Thunder (GB) David Probert · Hugo Palmer
    10/1
  2. 10/1
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
The Resdev Scholar silks
The Resdev Scholar Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-2
433024
77
77OR
3
9-2
SP
1
Alfa Whiteburd silks
Alfa Whiteburd
Age 5 · 10-0
821116
85
87
88
5
10-0
11/2 6/1 5/1
Alfa Whiteburd has rattled off three wins in his last six starts, with back-to-back victories two and three starts back lending real substance to his claims, and he arrives fit on a 26-day break with distance and going experience to call on; the concern is that sixth last time out raises a question he must answer.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Blue Prince silks
Blue Prince
Age 5 · 9-13
133177
84
79
91
5
9-13
15/2 13/2 15/2
Blue Prince won three starts back and has distance and going experience to call on, carrying a featherweight 139 lb from stall 8 with our rating of 91 marking him a leading threat; the risk is that he has finished seventh in each of his last two outings.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Dublin Bay silks
Dublin Bay
Age 3 · 9-10
-41513
85
75
86
3
9-10
18/1 9/1 14/1
Dublin Bay won two starts back and was third last time out, showing he retains his form, though fifth three starts back is a reminder he can be inconsistent; he has run over today's trip before and returns on a quick 15-day turnaround carrying 136 lb from stall 11.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Start Me Up silks
Start Me Up
Age 3 · 9-8
511460
83
75
87
3
9-8
12/1 17/2 9/1
Start Me Up posted back-to-back wins four and five starts back and returns after a 21-day break with distance and going experience in his favour; the main concern is that he has been unplaced on his most recent outing.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Marlborough Place silks
Marlborough Place
Age 4 · 9-7
31-459
78
55
84
4
9-7
50/1 28/1 25/1
Marlborough Place landed a victory four starts ago but has found little since, finishing fourth, fifth, and ninth in his last three, and his speed figure of 67 gives pause; he has run over today's trip and stall one on 133 lb keeps things interesting.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

6
Scutari silks
Scutari
Age 3 · 9-7
6266-1
82
72
82OR
3
9-7
20/1 7/1 16/1
Scutari returns from a 246-day absence with just five starts to his name, leaving him notably unexposed, and a recent winning finish suggests there is more to come as he steps back up from stall 13 carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Hungarian silks
Hungarian
Age 3 · 9-7
4-3415
82
62
89
3
9-7
18/1 FCST 16/1
Winner two starts back, Hungarian returns on a snappy 14-day turnaround and has run over today's trip, with our rating of 89 marking him out as a lively contender from stall 12 carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

8
Two Commanders silks
Two Commanders
Age 3 · 9-6
31231
81
93
84
3
9-6
6/4 7/4 3/2
Two Commanders won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid claims, but carrying 132 lb from a field of 13 and rated seventh of these overall suggests he faces a stiff ask to follow up.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Ran Amok silks
Ran Amok
Age 4 · 9-5
0-5236
76
77
82
4
9-5
7/1
Winless in his last five starts, Ran Amok faces a stiff task ranked ninth of thirteen on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a third two starts back shows he can occasionally hit form; seven days since his last outing at least finds him fresh.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
King Of Thunder silks
King Of Thunder
Age 3 · 9-3
601-64
78
73
87
3
9-3
14/1 13/2 12/1
King Of Thunder returns just six days after his last outing, which may blunt his edge, though a win three starts back shows he can find the track; fourth last time out keeps him in the mix, but a sixth two starts back clouds his consistency at 129 lb from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Paws For Thought silks
Paws For Thought
Age 8 · 8-12
9-0759
69
52
78
8
8-12
22/1 22/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, Paws For Thought is hard to fancy after a string of modest efforts, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns from a 62-day break potentially freshened up.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

13
Giant silks
Giant
Age 6 · 8-9
238718
63
62
73
6
8-9
16/1 12/1 14/1
Giant has been beaten out of sight in two of his last three starts, and at 3 days ago connections are pushing their luck with a quick turnaround; ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, he looks a tough sell despite that win two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Ubetterseethis silks
Ubetterseethis
Age 3 · 8-6
3-3047
67
64
81
3
8-6
14/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Ubetterseethis has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but a seventh last time out and 118 lb to carry make him hard to fancy here.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 The Resdev Scholar
1 Alfa Whiteburd 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 Coral
2 Blue Prince 15/2 open 9.50 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Coral
3 Dublin Bay 18/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 18/1 Bet365
4 Start Me Up 12/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Marlborough Place 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 50/1 Bet365
6 Scutari 20/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.00 20/1 open 8.00 20/1 open 8.00 20/1 open 8.00 18/1 open 8.50 20/1 Bet365
7 Hungarian 18/1 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 20/1 William Hill
8 Two Commanders 6/4 open 3.75 6/4 open 2.75 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 Coral
9 Ran Amok 7/1 15/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 11.00 8/1 Coral
10 King Of Thunder 14/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 Bet365
12 Paws For Thought 22/1 18/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365
13 Giant 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
14 Ubetterseethis 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Two Commanders

Speculative

Two Commanders owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Edward Bethell Oisin Orr
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Alfa Whiteburd

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Ivan Furtado
✓ Value Signal

Marlborough Place

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Adrian Wintle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Two Commanders
55.3 6/4
2 1. Alfa Whiteburd
54.4 11/2
3 2. Blue Prince
50.6 15/2
4 9. Ran Amok
49.7 7/1
5 4. Start Me Up
48.7 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Two Commanders
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-6
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 9-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-13
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-3
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 8-6
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

13
Age 6 · 8-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-10
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Two Commanders
Confidence: Medium

Two Commanders (SR:93, 13/8) is the standout on ability — a full 6 points clear of the next best Alfa Whiteburd (SR:87) and carrying a favourable 9-6, giving away only 8lb to the top-weight. The form string 31231 shows consistent high-finishing in recent races, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this 7f trip. Most tellingly, the market has sharpened 18% since opening, indicating confident stable and market support that mirrors the horse's objective SR dominance in this Class 4 field. Each-way alternative: Alfa Whiteburd. Main danger: Ran Amok — Ran Amok is steaming into the market (in23%) for the Palmer yard, carries a light 9-5, has course form (W0P1), and GoingFit:~ suggests it handles good-to-soft — if Palmer has this horse peaking, the market move is a serious flag.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Two Commanders has no Chester course form recorded — the tight Roodee bends favour course specialists like Alfa Whiteburd (W1P1) and Start Me Up (W2P2), neither of whom he has beaten around here.
  • Form string 31231 includes a '2' last time out — he was beaten, and at 13/8 in a 14-runner Class 4, any reproduction of that runner-up effort is not enough to win.
  • Alfa Whiteburd carries top-weight 10-0 yet is only 8lb heavier — the weight concession is slim, and Alfa's MarkMv of +5 alongside a 10% market support suggests the handicapper and market both respect…
Shortlist Two Commanders, Alfa Whiteburd, Ran Amok, Scutari
Each-way: Alfa Whiteburd Danger: Ran Amok

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f1y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Chester Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade