John Madden & Sons (Pro-Am) Flat Race · 2m0f24y
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Iron Sword | 4/11 open 1.50 | 1/3 open 1.57 | 4/11 open 1.53 | 4/11 open 1.53 | 2/5 open 1.53 | 4/11 open 1.50 | 2/5 William Hill |
| 2 Le Grand Retour | 5/1 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 3 Reafadda | 50/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Walkineezy | 28/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Gaelic Seer | 9/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Real Lark | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Iron Sword owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Iron Sword (SR 93, 8/15) is the clear class leader in a weak field — the SR advantage over the next-best rivals (Gaelic Seer SR 83, Le Grand Retour SR 81) is meaningful in a maiden bumper context where raw ability tends to dominate. The 4yo has actual form figures (5-3) giving it a run-fit edge over four completely unexposed rivals, and trainer Andrew Slattery's 11% strike rate combined with jockey Mr A P Ryan's 14% win rate from 253 rides is a competent professional pairing. The 8/15 market price reflects genuine confidence from the rails — short favourites in small bumper fields with an SR cushion convert at high rates. The weight parity at 11-3 across the board means no penalty advantage for rivals to exploit. Each-way alternative: Gaelic Seer. Main danger: Gaelic Seer — Gaelic Seer (SR 83, 8/1) carries 7lb less than Iron Sword at 10-10, has a jockey booking with a strong 20% career strike rate (Mr J L Gleeson), and being unraced means there is no ceiling established on its ability — it could be significantly better than its SR suggests.