Doncaster 16:45 RESULTED
Class 4 11 Sep 2026

Friday 11 September Tanbry Construction Nursery Handicap Stakes

Tanbry Construction Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f2y

Official Result

Tanbry Construction Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Beresford Gap (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding
    12/1
  2. 100/30
  3. 16/1
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Settled
  • 16 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Innichen silks
Innichen
Age 2 · 9-9
211303
85
82
88
2
9-9
10/1 17/2 8/1
Placed third last time out and a winner twice in his last six starts, Innichen brings solid recent form and has run over today's trip, though an unplaced effort in that sequence tempers expectations; he carries 135 lb from stall 11 and our rating of 88 suggests he is competitive here.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Pride Of Toledo silks
Pride Of Toledo
Age 2 · 9-9
514
85
90
92
2
9-9
10/3 5/1 10/3
Won two starts back and shaped with promise when fourth last time out, Pride Of Toledo has experience of today's trip and conditions and carries his 135 lb well enough; drawn in stall eight, he lines up as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Launch Sequence silks
Launch Sequence
Age 2 · 9-9
336
85
87
89
2
9-9
7/2 5/1 7/2
Third two starts back, and again three starts back, Launch Sequence arrives with experience over today's trip and going, fit on 21 days' rest, with his trainer firing at a 31% strike rate; the risk is that he's yet to win in recent starts and was only sixth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Baddaddan silks
Baddaddan
Age 2 · 9-7
410
83
62
71
2
9-7
18/1 FCST 16/1
Baddaddan makes little appeal on our figures, ranked bottom of the field, and an unplaced run last time out does nothing to encourage, though he does hold distance experience and a win two starts back shows he retains ability.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Henley On Thames silks
Henley On Thames
Age 2 · 9-7
62211
83
88
87
2
9-7
5/1 11/2 9/2
Henley On Thames arrives in decent nick off a 23-day break, back-to-back wins his most recent form, though a sixth two starts beyond those hints at inconsistency; he has run over today's trip before and carries 133 lb from stall 12.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Super Tuscan silks
Super Tuscan
Age 2 · 9-6
541562
82
84
91
2
9-6
15/2 11/2 15/2
Super Tuscan catches the eye with a runner-up finish last time out, 23 days ago, and he has experience over today's trip, while our rating of 91 marks him as a leading contender; the main risk is that five of his last six starts have ended without a win.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
It Dunt Marra silks
It Dunt Marra
Age 2 · 9-5
2619
81
60
90
2
9-5
14/1 FCST 12/1
Landed a win two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making It Dunt Marra a genuine threat at 131 lb from stall four; the main concern is a beaten ninth last time out that he must put behind him.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Washington Royale silks
Washington Royale
Age 2 · 9-5
4551
75
73
82
2
9-5
14/1 13/2 14/1
Washington Royale won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but fifth twice in his last four starts tempers enthusiasm, and 131 lb from stall nine is no light burden for a 75-rated colt returning on a quick 11-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Tumishi silks
Tumishi
Age 2 · 9-4
431
80
78
80
2
9-4
10/1 7/1 17/2
Tumishi won last time out and has run over today's trip, but rated 80 and carrying 130 lb from stall 2, he faces a stiff ask against what looks a competitive field, with only a third two starts back as additional recent encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Bear Lee silks
Bear Lee
Age 2 · 9-1
41454
77
63
84
2
9-1
22/1 17/2 22/1
Bear Lee was a winner four starts back but has since posted three fourth-place finishes and a fifth in recent starts, suggesting consistency without the cutting edge to break through again; she has run over today's trip and returns on a quick 11-day turnaround from stall one carrying 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Wait Geordie silks
Wait Geordie
Age 2 · 9-0
138785
76
49
83
2
9-0
50/1 22/1 40/1
Wait Geordie showed to good effect with a win and a third in recent starts, but three subsequent efforts of seventh or worse in his last three runs cloud the picture; he has run over today's trip before, and 37 days between runs leaves his current form an open question.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Sir Sirius silks
Sir Sirius
Age 2 · 8-13
963
75
50
79
2
8-13
40/1 14/1 40/1
Winless in his last three starts and returning after 78 days off, Sir Sirius does at least have distance experience to call on and a third last time out offers some encouragement, though carrying 125 lb from stall 13 while ranked 11 of 16 suggests he faces a stiff task here.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Beresford Gap silks
Beresford Gap
Age 2 · 8-12
632
74
73
77
2
8-12
10/1 13/2 9/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 13 of 16 on our figures, Beresford Gap heads into this off a 50-day absence with little in the way of encouragement, though he has run over today's trip before and placed efforts of late offer a sliver of consolation.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Sue's Last Chance silks
Sue's Last Chance
Age 2 · 8-10
6580
72
49
74
2
8-10
80/1 40/1 66/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 14 of 16 on our figures, Sue's Last Chance makes little appeal, though he has run over today's trip and returns after a reasonable 23-day break from stall 3 carrying 122 lb.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

15
Fasthope silks
Fasthope
Age 2 · 8-7
35518
69
53
73
2
8-7
66/1 33/1 50/1
Beaten well into eighth last time out, and ranked bottom two of the field on our figures, Fasthope is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back and the experience of today's trip and going in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Fern Clyde silks
Fern Clyde
Age 2 · 8-7
431346
69
57
78
2
8-7
66/1 40/1 50/1
Ranked 12 of 16 on our figures, Fern Clyde is hard to fancy here, finishing sixth last time out and fourth two starts back, though she does have experience over today's trip and going and a win four starts back offers some encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Innichen 10/1 8/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 10/1 Bet365
2 Pride Of Toledo 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 7/2 William Hill
3 Launch Sequence 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 Bet365
4 Baddaddan 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 Bet365
5 Henley On Thames 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
6 Super Tuscan 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 Coral
7 It Dunt Marra 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 18/1 Coral
8 Washington Royale 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 Ladbrokes
9 Tumishi 10/1 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 9/1 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 10/1 Bet365
10 Bear Lee 22/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 9.50 25/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 10.00 25/1 Coral
11 Wait Geordie 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 66/1 Coral
12 Sir Sirius 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 Bet365
13 Beresford Gap 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 Coral
14 Sue's Last Chance 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 41.00 100/1 Coral
15 Fasthope 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 80/1 Coral
16 Fern Clyde 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pride Of Toledo

Speculative

Pride Of Toledo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Clive Cox P J McDonald
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Super Tuscan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Eve Johnson Houghton
✓ Value Signal

Fern Clyde

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Pride Of Toledo
54.4 10/3
2 6. Super Tuscan
53.8 15/2
3 3. Launch Sequence
52.2 7/2
4 5. Henley On Thames
51.2 5/1
5 1. Innichen
49.8 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pride Of Toledo
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-6
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 9-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 2 · 8-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 9-5
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Age 2 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pride Of Toledo
Confidence: Speculative

Pride Of Toledo (SR:90, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in this 16-runner nursery and has steamed in 29% in the market — the money is firmly behind this Clive Cox-trained runner. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) is a significant advantage, and at 9-9 the weight is manageable given the SR edge over the field. Clive Cox operates at 17% strike rate from over 1,000 runners, a consistent performer, and PJ McDonald (14%, 1,456 career runs) is an experienced booking for a market mover. The form reads 5-1-4 with the '1' most recent, confirming the horse is capable of winning and arrives in form. Each-way alternative: Launch Sequence. Main danger: Launch Sequence — Launch Sequence (SR:87, 7/2) shares the same odds, has also steamed in 29%, carries cheekpieces first time adding potential for a forward move, trains under K.R. Burke at 20% strike rate with James Doyle (21%) — an elite jockey booking — and drops two class tiers with a course placing already on the board at Doncaster.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 5-1-4 — only three career starts with the win sandwiched between two defeats; the '4' is the most recent run, meaning Pride Of Toledo heads here off a beaten effort, not a winning one.
  • Launch Sequence is co-favourite at 7/2 with identical market support (in 29%), has course experience (W0P1 at Doncaster), a superior jockey strike rate (James Doyle 21% vs McDonald 14%), and trainer…
  • Henley On Thames (SR:88) has run five times and won twice, showing far superior racecourse experience and proven winning consistency vs Pride Of Toledo's single win from three runs in a 16-runner nur…
  • PJ McDonald's 14% strike rate is unexceptional in this context; Doyle (21%) and Oisin Murphy (22%) on market rivals represent a meaningful jockey edge against the pick in a competitive 16-runner fiel…
Shortlist Pride Of Toledo, Launch Sequence, Henley On Thames, Tumishi
Each-way: Launch Sequence Danger: Launch Sequence

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f2y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade