Placed third last time out and a winner twice in his last six starts, Innichen brings solid recent form and has run over today's trip, though an unplaced effort in that sequence tempers expectations; he carries 135 lb from stall 11 and our rating of 88 suggests he is competitive here.
Form last 6211303
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR88RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won two starts back and shaped with promise when fourth last time out, Pride Of Toledo has experience of today's trip and conditions and carries his 135 lb well enough; drawn in stall eight, he lines up as the one to beat.
Form last 6514
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR92RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third two starts back, and again three starts back, Launch Sequence arrives with experience over today's trip and going, fit on 21 days' rest, with his trainer firing at a 31% strike rate; the risk is that he's yet to win in recent starts and was only sixth last time out.
Form last 6336
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR89RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Baddaddan makes little appeal on our figures, ranked bottom of the field, and an unplaced run last time out does nothing to encourage, though he does hold distance experience and a win two starts back shows he retains ability.
Form last 6410
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR71RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Henley On Thames arrives in decent nick off a 23-day break, back-to-back wins his most recent form, though a sixth two starts beyond those hints at inconsistency; he has run over today's trip before and carries 133 lb from stall 12.
Form last 662211
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR87RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Super Tuscan catches the eye with a runner-up finish last time out, 23 days ago, and he has experience over today's trip, while our rating of 91 marks him as a leading contender; the main risk is that five of his last six starts have ended without a win.
Form last 6541562
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR91RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Landed a win two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making It Dunt Marra a genuine threat at 131 lb from stall four; the main concern is a beaten ninth last time out that he must put behind him.
Form last 62619
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR90RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Washington Royale won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but fifth twice in his last four starts tempers enthusiasm, and 131 lb from stall nine is no light burden for a 75-rated colt returning on a quick 11-day turnaround.
Form last 64551
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR82RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tumishi won last time out and has run over today's trip, but rated 80 and carrying 130 lb from stall 2, he faces a stiff ask against what looks a competitive field, with only a third two starts back as additional recent encouragement.
Form last 6431
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR80RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bear Lee was a winner four starts back but has since posted three fourth-place finishes and a fifth in recent starts, suggesting consistency without the cutting edge to break through again; she has run over today's trip and returns on a quick 11-day turnaround from stall one carrying 127 lb.
Form last 641454
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR84RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Wait Geordie showed to good effect with a win and a third in recent starts, but three subsequent efforts of seventh or worse in his last three runs cloud the picture; he has run over today's trip before, and 37 days between runs leaves his current form an open question.
Form last 6138785
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR83RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts and returning after 78 days off, Sir Sirius does at least have distance experience to call on and a third last time out offers some encouragement, though carrying 125 lb from stall 13 while ranked 11 of 16 suggests he faces a stiff task here.
Form last 6963
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR79RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 13 of 16 on our figures, Beresford Gap heads into this off a 50-day absence with little in the way of encouragement, though he has run over today's trip before and placed efforts of late offer a sliver of consolation.
Form last 6632
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR77RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 14 of 16 on our figures, Sue's Last Chance makes little appeal, though he has run over today's trip and returns after a reasonable 23-day break from stall 3 carrying 122 lb.
Form last 66580
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR74RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Beaten well into eighth last time out, and ranked bottom two of the field on our figures, Fasthope is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back and the experience of today's trip and going in his favour.
Form last 635518
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR73RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 12 of 16 on our figures, Fern Clyde is hard to fancy here, finishing sixth last time out and fourth two starts back, though she does have experience over today's trip and going and a win four starts back offers some encouragement.
Form last 6431346
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR78RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Pride Of Toledo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Clive CoxP J McDonald
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Super Tuscan
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/2 · Eve Johnson Houghton✓ Value Signal
Fern Clyde
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Tim Easterby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Pride Of Toledo (SR:90, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in this 16-runner nursery and has steamed in 29% in the market — the money is firmly behind this Clive Cox-trained runner. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) is a significant advantage, and at 9-9 the weight is manageable given the SR edge over the field. Clive Cox operates at 17% strike rate from over 1,000 runners, a consistent performer, and PJ McDonald (14%, 1,456 career runs) is an experienced booking for a market mover. The form reads 5-1-4 with the '1' most recent, confirming the horse is capable of winning and arrives in form.
Each-way alternative: Launch Sequence.
Main danger: Launch Sequence — Launch Sequence (SR:87, 7/2) shares the same odds, has also steamed in 29%, carries cheekpieces first time adding potential for a forward move, trains under K.R. Burke at 20% strike rate with James Doyle (21%) — an elite jockey booking — and drops two class tiers with a course placing already on the board at Doncaster.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 5-1-4 — only three career starts with the win sandwiched between two defeats; the '4' is the most recent run, meaning Pride Of Toledo heads here off a beaten effort, not a winning one.
Launch Sequence is co-favourite at 7/2 with identical market support (in 29%), has course experience (W0P1 at Doncaster), a superior jockey strike rate (James Doyle 21% vs McDonald 14%), and trainer…
Henley On Thames (SR:88) has run five times and won twice, showing far superior racecourse experience and proven winning consistency vs Pride Of Toledo's single win from three runs in a 16-runner nur…
PJ McDonald's 14% strike rate is unexceptional in this context; Doyle (21%) and Oisin Murphy (22%) on market rivals represent a meaningful jockey edge against the pick in a competitive 16-runner fiel…
ShortlistPride Of Toledo, Launch Sequence, Henley On Thames, Tumishi