Lodge At Ashford Castle Handicap Steeplechase · 2m7f6y
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 60 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Il Silenzio | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 Coral |
| 2 Ladies Well | 10/3 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 Coral |
| 3 Fr Gilligansvoyge | 13/2 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 Coral |
| 4 Mistyburn | 9/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 Coral |
| 5 Reve Inoui | 18/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 Coral |
| 6 Las Brisas Boy | 7/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 Coral |
| 7 Zolpharine | 20/1 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 8 Hit The Frame | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 9 The Little Yank | 10/1 open 29.00 | 10/1 open 34.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 9/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 10 Tomas O Maille | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 11 Not So Serious | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 12 Kilashee | 22/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Swing Time | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 14 Set The Tone | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Three Tribes | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Subset | 40/1 open 34.00 | 35/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Walkmethroughit | 14/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Island McCoo | 8/1 | 8/1 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 Coral |
| 19 U Asking Me | 20/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ladies Well owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 90 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ladies Well (SR 90, 11/4) is the standout on ability, carrying 11-12 which is a significant 2lb edge over top-weight Il Silenzio (SR 87, 12-0) despite having a higher SR. The DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ flags confirm she is proven at today's trip and on good ground — the two most important conditional factors in a 2m7f handicap chase. Course:W1P1 at Ballinrobe adds further specialist appeal. Her recent form of -2U121 shows a horse in excellent current form, winning last time, and the U (unseated) can be set aside given the subsequent bounce-back wins. At 11/4 the market respects her, and while she has drifted slightly from a shorter price, the combination of top SR, proven distance and going credentials, and course form makes her a clear selection. Each-way alternative: Set The Tone. Main danger: Set The Tone — Set The Tone (SR 83, 15/2) carries a feather-light 10-5, has DistFit:+ confirming ability at this trip, and recent form of 0P2162 shows an improving profile — the low weight on good ground over a proven distance is a serious combination.