P&D Lydon Mares Beginners Steeplechase · 2m7f6y
SR 87 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 87 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 70 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ad Caelum | 16/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Affinity Rock | 2/1 | 2/1 open 2.63 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Carried With Love | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Cherry Red | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Cooke's Lass | 20/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Giorgia Rose | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Joya Del Mar | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Straight Home | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Survivors Sister | 33/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Carried With Love owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 87 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No drifters in this race.
Affinity Rock (SR:123, 2/1) is the second-highest rated horse in the field and the only runner with both a confirmed DistFit:+ and a competitive SR above 120. The form string 10-223 shows consistent placed efforts and a recent win, which is exactly what you want from a beginner chaser finding their feet. Trainer Cian Collins runs at 9% strike rate and jockey Carl Millar (5lb claim, 11%) adds value. The chief concern is GoingFit:? — no confirmed good-ground record — but at 2/1 the market is pricing this as the clear form pick, and SR:123 is a substantial edge over most of the field. Straight Home (SR:131) is the danger but carries DistFit:- which is a significant red flag over 2m7f. Each-way alternative: Straight Home. Main danger: Straight Home — Straight Home holds the highest SR in the field at 131, is trained by W P Mullins (26% strike rate, 2859 runners) with a Course:W1P1 record and GoingFit:+, meaning the only real question is the DistFit:- flag over this 2m7f trip — if the Mullins yard has schooled this mare specifically for the distance, the superior ability could override that concern.