Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap · 1m30y
SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 76 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Molto Amichi | 9/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Follow Me | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Frank Pickle | 9/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Spodo Komodo | 14/1 open 23.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Amenita | 25/1 open 13.00 | 35/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 35/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Flash Of Fire | 15/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Heliogabalus | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Motta Alta | 5/1 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 No More Porter | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Sagasti | 8/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Zaraahmando | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Pillar Of Hope | 16/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Duke Of Leggagh | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Hassaniya | 17/2 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 15 Sonoran | 7/1 open 6.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 16 Prince Andorra | 22/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Motta Alta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Zaraahmando (SR:79, 9/2) is the strongest market mover in the field with a 22% market shortening — the most significant steaming of any runner — which carries real informational weight in a 16-runner handicap like this. Carrying 9-6, a favourable weight compared to top-weight Sonoran's 10-3, and with a GoingFit:~ on good ground, the yard has clearly targeted this race. The form string 623324 shows consistent placing without winning recently, which is exactly the profile of a horse running off a workable mark (MarkMv:+4, not punitive) that the market is backing to finally convert. Trainer A. Slattery at 11% strike rate with jockey Andrew Slattery (9%, 915 runners) is a tight connections combo, and the tongue-tie first application (HG:t) adds a legitimate physical improvement angle that often accompanies market support of this magnitude. Each-way alternative: Motta Alta. Main danger: Motta Alta — Motta Alta (SR:83, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field under Mrs J. Harrington (10%, 1576 runners) with Shane Foley aboard (11%, 1738 runners), and despite the drift (Mkt:out13%), the raw SR advantage of 4 points over Zaraahmando carried on a light 9-6 makes it the most credible form threat if the drift is simply positional rather than a genuine negative signal.