Wolverhampton (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 6 15 Sep 2026

Tuesday 15 September Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap Stakes

Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap Stakes · 1m142y

Official Result

Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner R P Mcmurphy (GB) Oisin Murphy · Michael Appleby
    3/1J
  2. 3/1J
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
R P McMurphy silks
R P McMurphy
Age 4 · 9-12
318034
58
64
62
4
9-12
11/4 FCST 9/4
Fourth last time out after a third two starts back, R P McMurphy arrives fit on a 14-day turnaround with distance and going experience to call on; a weight of 138 lb from stall 13 may test his claims, though a win in his last six starts shows he can find the frame.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Amarachi silks
Amarachi
Age 4 · 9-12
262961
53
68
66
4
9-12
5/2 18/13 9/4
Amarachi won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with our rating putting her narrowly top of this field — the main concern is whether three days since that victory leaves her fully fresh.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Cy Twombly silks
Cy Twombly
Age 4 · 9-10
989409
56
32
60
4
9-10
80/1 33/1 50/1
Winless in his last six starts, Cy Twombly faces a stiff ask from 136 lb out of stall 12, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 60 offers slim encouragement; the fourth three starts back is his sole recent bright spot.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

4
Mr Fustic silks
Mr Fustic
Age 8 · 9-10
-31450
56
58
63
8
9-10
10/1 16/1 17/2
Mr Fustic has a win among his last five starts and has since posted a fourth and fifth, showing consistent competitiveness at this level; he has experience over today's trip and going, and 15 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, though his most recent unplaced effort is the one form line to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Manton Road silks
Manton Road
Age 4 · 9-8
323154
54
54
58
4
9-8
10/1 7/1 17/2
Manton Road has managed just one win in his last six starts, finishing fourth last time out, and ranked 11th of 13 on our figures he faces a stiff ask here; the experience over today's trip and going at least means conditions hold no fresh unknowns.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Pretty Spirited silks
Pretty Spirited
Age 4 · 9-8
3-3024
54
58
55
4
9-8
6/1 15/2 5/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Pretty Spirited faces a stiff task at 134 lb from stall six, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a second two starts back offers a crumb of hope.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Cloch Nua silks
Cloch Nua
Age 7 · 9-8
4-6636
54
34
59
7
9-8
25/1 16/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts and rated well below the field on our figures, Cloch Nua faces a stiff task on return from 134 days off, though he has run over today's distance and going before and that third two starts back offers a sliver of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Rogue Officer silks
Rogue Officer
Age 4 · 9-7
-90062
53
50
60
4
9-7
14/1 10/1 12/1
Rogue Officer shaped with promise when second last time out, and has run over today's trip and going before, but he has been winless in his last five starts and that inconsistent profile — including unplaced efforts in between — gives cause for pause at a mark of 53.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Malakai Kite silks
Malakai Kite
Age 3 · 9-6
43539
58
38
64
3
9-6
33/1 25/1 28/1
Malakai Kite shaped with promise when third two starts back and again four starts back, and returning after just 13 days suggests he is in good order; the concern is that he remains winless in his last five starts, with that ninth last time out the obvious worry.
AI verdict

SR 38 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Create silks
Create
Age 6 · 9-5
004710
51
51
60
6
9-5
22/1 16/1 18/1
Returned to winning ways with a win two starts back, but Create has since flopped back into the unplaced, and her last-six record otherwise reads patchy at best; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 131 lb from stall two is the hand she plays.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Exquisite Skye silks
Exquisite Skye
Age 3 · 9-5
30-740
57
34
59
3
9-5
50/1 50/1 33/1
Winless in her last five starts, Exquisite Skye does at least return on a quick 17-day turnaround with experience of today's distance and going to call on, though a fourth two starts back is the highlight of a modest recent sequence, and 131 lb from stall 11 adds further pressure.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

12
Captive Beauty silks
Captive Beauty
Age 3 · 9-4
-60283
56
67
65
3
9-4
11/2 9/2 5/1
Placed third last time out and second three starts back, Captive Beauty arrives here 16 days fresh with experience of today's trip and going, and a rating of 65 puts her well clear of her official mark; winless in recent starts, but the conditions look right for her to go close from stall 3.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Esplanade silks
Esplanade
Age 3 · 9-4
065
56
31
45
3
9-4
40/1 13/2 33/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Esplanade faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a reasonable 18-day break from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 R P McMurphy 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
2 Amarachi 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.38 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 Bet365
3 Cy Twombly 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 80/1 Bet365
4 Mr Fustic 10/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 17/2 open 17.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Manton Road 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
6 Pretty Spirited 6/1 open 13.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 6/1 Bet365
7 Cloch Nua 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Rogue Officer 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Malakai Kite 33/1 30/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 33/1 28/1 open 34.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Create 22/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
11 Exquisite Skye 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 33/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 66/1 Paddy Power
12 Captive Beauty 11/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 5/1 6/1 open 6.00 5/1 open 5.50 6/1 William Hill
13 Esplanade 40/1 open 7.50 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

R P McMurphy

Speculative

R P McMurphy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Michael Appleby Oisin Murphy
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Amarachi

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Joseph Parr
✓ Value Signal

Esplanade

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Charles Hills
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. R P McMurphy
51.7 11/4
2 2. Amarachi
51.6 5/2
3 6. Pretty Spirited
47.8 6/1
4 12. Captive Beauty
45.9 11/2
5 4. Mr Fustic
43.1 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
R P McMurphy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-12
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-12
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-4
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 8 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
R P McMurphy
Confidence: Speculative

R P McMurphy (SR:64, 11/4) carries the joint-top weight of 9-12 but boasts the strongest course record in the field (W2P4 at Wolverhampton), confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+), confirmed going fitness (GoingFit:+), and is running at the same class and mark (+3 only). Oisin Murphy's booking (22% career strike rate from 2,674 rides) is a significant upgrade signal in a Class 6 handicap. The form string 318034 shows a recent 4th then 3rd — not explosive, but consistent enough at this level with the course-and-distance combination strongly in his favour. The 11/4 price implies ~27% market probability and feels fair rather than generous, but no rival combines SR, course fit, going fit, and jockey quality in the same way. Each-way alternative: Captive Beauty. Main danger: Amarachi — Amarachi (SR:68, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and ran just 3 days ago suggesting peak fitness, with a last-time-out win (form ends in 1) — despite the 11% drift and moderate going fit, the raw ability edge cannot be ignored.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Amarachi (SR:68, 9/4) carries the same top weight of 9-12 but holds a higher speed rating and is the market leader — McMurphy is outrated by the favourite on raw ability metrics at identical weights.
  • Form string 318034 shows McMurphy has not won in his last 6 starts; his two course wins may be historic rather than current-form indicators, and the most recent runs (0, 3, 4) show no winning momentu…
  • Joint-top weight of 9-12 in a 13-runner Class 6 handicap is a significant burden; rivals like Captive Beauty (SR:67, 9-4) and Manton Road (W3P6 course record) carry markedly less weight with comparab…
  • The 11/4 price implies only ~27% win probability and the market has not moved in his favour — no notable support signal — while rivals Mr Fustic (in 35%) and Pretty Spirited (in 24%) show stronger ma…
Shortlist R P McMurphy, Amarachi, Captive Beauty, Pretty Spirited
Each-way: Captive Beauty Danger: Amarachi

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m142y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade