British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m6f3y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Scenic Blue | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Bad Dreams | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 2.25 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Caturra Rock | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Channel Islands | 14/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 14/1 open 6.50 | 14/1 open 6.50 | 14/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Flick of An Eye | 8/13 open 2.50 | 8/15 open 2.00 | 1/2 open 2.25 | 1/2 open 2.25 | 4/7 open 2.25 | 8/13 open 2.25 | 8/13 Bet365 |
| 5 I Am Royal | 12/1 open 5.00 | 11/1 open 5.50 | 12/1 open 5.00 | 12/1 open 5.00 | 12/1 open 5.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 If You Like | 12/1 open 5.50 | 11/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Flick of An Eye owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Bad Dreams (SR 158, 11/8) carries the highest SR in the field and has been backed massively — a 48% market shortening is an enormous steamer signal that the connections are confident. Richard Spencer runs at a 15% strike rate from 644 runners, a solid yard, and Saffie Osborne is a capable booking on a well-regarded juvenile. Against an unraced field where SR is the primary differentiator, Bad Dreams's 158 SR is meaningfully superior to the next best (Flick of An Eye at 157, Channel Islands at 139, If You Like at 139). The weight cloth is level across all six runners at 9-7, removing any weight-in-soft-ground concern as a differentiating factor, and that steamer from a trainer who clearly believes the horse is ready to run a big race on debut seals the case. Each-way alternative: Flick of An Eye. Main danger: Flick of An Eye — Flick of An Eye (SR 157, 11/8) is within 1 SR point of Bad Dreams, trained by the high-strike-rate Simon & Ed Crisford yard (20%, 1121 runners), and has a run under its belt (form: 3) giving it a fitness edge over a debut runner — if Bad Dreams needs the experience, Flick of An Eye is right there to capitalise.