Harswell Ruby has run over today's trip and going, her rating of 74 edges her official mark and gives her a strong case as a leading threat from stall one, but she remains winless in her last six starts and that elusive first success is the main concern.
Form last 6452440
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR74RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Bowood does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and his third three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement, though the two subsequent unplaced efforts and 140 lb to carry make improvement hard to predict from stall nine.
Form last 6657307
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Cosmos Raj won two starts back but has otherwise struggled for a top-three finish in recent starts, and his weight of 136 lb from stall seven is no light burden; he has run over today's trip and going, giving him experience to call on.
Form last 6664414
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR67RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A wide margin separates his official mark from our rating, and a 163-day absence adds further doubt; he has run over today's trip, and a win two starts back offers a crumb of hope, but he ranks last on our figures.
Form last 62718
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR59RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Ephron showed his best when winning two starts back, but sixth last time out is the concern heading into this; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 135 lb from stall 11 gives connections little room for error against a competitive field.
Form last 6152716
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR71RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shadow Run has experience of today's distance and going, shaped with promise when second three starts back, and returns here on a handy 17-day turnaround carrying 134 lb from stall 10; winless in recent starts, but our rating of 78 marks him as the one to beat in this field.
Form last 6240256
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR78RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Consistent in defeat, Blue Boy Junior has posted back-to-back fourths in his last two starts and, carrying 134 lb from stall 2, has experience of today's trip and conditions — though the main risk is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6445
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR77RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Law of Design at least shaped with promise when runner-up last time out, and he has run over today's distance and going before; carrying 134 lb from stall 12 gives him a clear profile, though consistency has been a persistent issue.
Form last 6595552
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR72RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mount King has looked well below his best in recent starts, finishing fourth and then sixth in his last two outings, and he ranks tenth of thirteen on our figures, making him difficult to fancy at this level; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 17 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
Form last 6512946
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR67RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Legacy Rock shaped with clear promise when second four starts back and has winning form five and six starts back to his name, giving him genuine claims on fitness and experience over today's trip and going; the concern is a run of three consecutive sixths in recent starts.
Form last 6112666
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR73RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pisanello arrives on the back of a seventh last time out and, ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, is hard to fancy at the weights carrying 131 lb; he has run over today's trip and going before, and the sequence of three wins in his last six starts shows he retains ability on his day.
Form last 6611127
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR65RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, with a best recent effort of third three starts back, Just Typical has little in his favour at these weights off a mark of 60, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns fit enough on a 15-day break.
Form last 6584344
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR66RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Viviana showed a glimpse of ability with a second three starts back, but winless in her last six and beaten further into sixth last time out, she faces an uphill task from stall 3 off 127 lb, though experience over today's trip and going at least removes one unknown.
Form last 6654276
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR70RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Blue Boy Junior owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1David & Nicola BarronDavid Nolan
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Law of Design
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Ian Williams✓ Value Signal
Shadow Run
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Scott Dixon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Law of Design (SR:71, 9/2) combines the most compelling cluster of signals in this field. The 27% market move in — the sharpest steamer in the race — is a strong hands-on signal from connections who clearly fancy their chances. Dropping three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) is a massive advantage over rivals running at the same level, and at 9-8 the weight is very manageable. The visor headgear and Ian Williams booking Paul Mulrennan (14% strike rate, 2,372 runners of experience) rather than a claimer strongly suggests this is the yard's intended winner over stablemate Just Typical, who carries the apprentice-friendly tp headgear and a lesser jockey booking. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are the main caveats, but the class drop and market confidence outweigh those concerns in a Class 5 handicap at this level.
Each-way alternative: Blue Boy Junior.
Main danger: Blue Boy Junior — Blue Boy Junior (SR:74, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, drops a class tier, and carries only 9-8 — if the unknown DistFit and GoingFit prove favourable on the day, its raw SR advantage could override Law of Design's market edge.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 595552 — five consecutive placed-or-worse finishes with no win; the visor is being tried to spark improvement but there is no evidence it will unlock a winning performance today.
Blue Boy Junior (SR:74, 4/1) holds a higher speed rating than Law of Design (SR:71) and is a younger 3yo on a short form line of just 3 runs, making his ceiling uncertain and potentially well above t…
DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flagged by the primary analyst are genuine unknowns at Redcar on 15 Sep — if the ground has dried out or the trip is not optimal, the class drop advantage shrinks considerabl…
Stablemate Just Typical (6/1, Course:W1P1) has a proven Redcar win on its record and is drifting only modestly; if connections truly split allegiance, track knowledge may favour Just Typical on this…
ShortlistLaw of Design, Blue Boy Junior, Harswell Ruby, Just Typical