Papa Cocktail arrives on the back of a win last time out, returning quickly after just 12 days, and has experience of both today's trip and the prevailing ground; the worry is that his burden of 142 lb from stall 14 may test his stamina late on.
Form last 6523641
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR81RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Returned a winner three starts back but has been unplaced most recently, and two days between runs is a notably quick turnaround; he has run over today's trip and going, though 142 lb from stall 11 adds to the task for a runner ranked mid-field.
Form last 6855130
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR79RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sir Garfield arrives here on the back of a second two starts back — sandwiched between two disappointing eighths — though two wins in his last six starts underline his ability when right, and he has experience of both today's trip and going; the risk is recapturing that form after those recent reverses.
Form last 6116828
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR82RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Magic Boy arrives on the back of a podium finish last time out and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, with our rating of 82 giving him strong claims as the second-ranked runner in this field; the main risk is a trainer operating at just 4% over the past fortnight.
Form last 6-24173
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR82RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Reigning Profit won just once in his last six starts, though unplaced last time out tempers optimism; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 137 lb from stall seven, and a speed rating of 85 offers some encouragement.
Form last 6615080
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR77RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Runner-up last time out and a winner three starts back, Return of The Gods arrives in good heart after 32 days off, has run over today's trip and going, and carries 137 lb from stall six as a horse whose overall profile makes him our pick here.
Form last 6-82142
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR82RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Straight Ahead has run over today's trip and going, and back-to-back runner-up finishes last two starts suggest he retains good form, though a mid-field ranking and that eighth three starts back are mild concerns; 34 days between runs is a manageable gap at 136 lb from stall four.
Form last 61-4822
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR79RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last six starts, Grant Wood has experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour, though his draw in stall 12 and a midfield ranking among 15 runners suggest he faces a stiff task despite returning fit on just 11 days' rest.
Form last 6000460
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR77RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Come On Over won two starts back but has finished fourth on two occasions in recent starts and ranks well down our assessments at 11 of 15, making him hard to fancy despite an 11th-hour return 12 days ago and experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6214412
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR74RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six starts, Anaisa does bring distance and going experience to the table, and a third last time out offers some encouragement, though she steps up in weight to 133 lb from stall eight and a patchy recent record keeps her firmly in the each-way territory at best.
Form last 6546073
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR81RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Yorkshire Glory has been in fine winning form recently, landing five of his last six starts, but a 147-day absence and our rating placing him last of 15 make him hard to fancy at the weights, though experience over today's trip and going is at least a genuine positive.
Form last 6111118
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR67RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Zarvali does at least return on a quick 19-day turnaround with experience of today's distance and going in his favour, though a fourth last time out and an unplaced effort three starts back underline the consistency concerns he needs to shake off from stall 15 carrying 132 lb.
Form last 6637074
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR80RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Hover On The Wind has finished seventh in each of his last three starts, making him very difficult to fancy despite consecutive wins four and five starts back; he has run over today's trip and going before, but our figures rank him near the foot of this field.
Form last 6511777
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR71RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 12 of 15 on our figures, Spirit of Applause is hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and going; consecutive seconds two and three starts back show he can threaten, but consistency has been elusive.
Form last 6330224
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR73RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sugar Baby has won in his last six starts but his three most recent efforts have been fifth, seventh, and unplaced, and ranked 14 of 15 on our figures there is little here to inspire confidence; experience over today's trip and going is about the best that can be said for him.
Form last 6751075
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR69RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Return of The Gods owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Edward BethellOisin Orr
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Magic Boy
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Nigel Tinkler✓ Value Signal
Yorkshire Glory
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Ben Haslam◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Return of The Gods (SR:89, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin over Magic Boy (SR:87), and crucially both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at this trip and on today's good ground. The form string -82142 shows a progressive 3-year-old finishing second last time, trainer Edward Bethell operating at an 18% career strike rate — the best in this field — and jockey Oisin Orr a competent booking at 14%. Running off a mark only 4lb above last win (MarkMv:+4), the penalty is modest. The 4/1 price represents fair value given the SR advantage, going/distance confirmation, and a trainer who clearly knows how to place a horse.
Each-way alternative: Magic Boy.
Main danger: Magic Boy — Magic Boy (SR:87, 7/2) has shortened 16% in the market, holds a Course:W1P1 record at Redcar, is proven at the distance (DistFit:+) and going (GoingFit:+), and carries only 9-12 — 1lb less than Return of The Gods — making it a genuine threat with strong multi-signal alignment.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
32 days since last run — the longest freshen-up in the top half of the field — and a 3-year-old returning after a month can be ring-rusty, especially when last run ended in a second rather than a win…
No Course flag listed: Return of The Gods has no recorded Redcar form, while Magic Boy (Course:W1P1) and Come On Over (Course:W1P1) both have winning course form to draw on.
Magic Boy has drifted only marginally (in16%) while Return of The Gods shows no market support move at all — in a race where Spirit of Applause is steaming in at 38% and Grant Wood in 6%, the absence…
Form string -82142 shows the most recent runs are a 4th and a 2nd — not a recent win — meaning the horse goes into this off a mark 4lb higher than its last victory without a confidence-building win t…
ShortlistReturn of The Gods, Magic Boy, Spirit of Applause, Come On Over