Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f20y
SR 122 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 117 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Beautiful Rumour | 150/1 open 101.00 | 110/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Blazing Gaden | 200/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 150/1 open 81.00 | 150/1 open 81.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Coilltedudeisback | 125/1 open 51.00 | 110/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Ennoble | 25/1 open 7.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Flag Of Nations | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Iron Dome | 11/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 3/1 William Hill |
| 7 Not That Guy | 11/10 open 2.75 | 5/4 open 2.75 | 1/1 open 2.75 | 1/1 open 2.75 | 6/5 open 2.88 | 11/10 open 2.88 | 5/4 Paddy Power |
| 8 Oddjob | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 | 15/2 | 8/1 Coral |
| 9 Sir Chops | 80/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Red Melody | 125/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Dusk Damsel | 33/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Inkberrow | 9/2 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 9/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Not That Guy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Not That Guy (SR:154, 2/1) is the highest-rated proven runner in this field, with a 4-star AI probability and the best jockey booking by a wide margin — Oisin Murphy at 22% career strike rate is a strong positive signal. The 326-day absence is the main concern, but Hugo Palmer (13%, 1513 runners) is a trainer who knows how to have a horse ready on return, and the tongue-tie addition signals connections have been working this horse. At 2/1 the market has made him favourite for clear reasons: SR:154 is 1lb ahead of Inkberrow (SR:153) and 4lb clear of Iron Dome (SR:150), and in a novice with several debutants and limited exposed form, the highest-rated experienced runner with elite jockey support is the most defensible pick. Each-way alternative: Iron Dome. Main danger: Inkberrow — Inkberrow (SR:153, 11/4) is trained by Simon & Ed Crisford at a 20% career strike rate — the strongest trainer stat in the field — and as a debutant the market hasn't fully drifted despite a slight easing, meaning connections likely have solid homework on this horse; SR:153 is virtually identical to the selection and a big first-time run is entirely plausible.