Twice placed in his last five starts, More Thunder returns after 27 days and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating ranking him the pick of the eight runners — though his inability to convert, finishing fifth last time out, is the obvious concern.
Form last 64-2245
★AI Rating★★★★☆
126SR118RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Ranked bottom but one on our figures, Myal is hard to fancy off a 63-day break after finishing seventh last time out, yet he does boast a win three starts back and has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 62-5127
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR107RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Never So Brave arrives here fit on a 28-day turnaround, with experience over today's trip and going in his favour, and that second three starts back gives his recent form a solid foundation — though he remains winless in his last five and faces a stiff test from draw 8 carrying 132 lb.
Form last 6-55265
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR114RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Qirat brings distance and going experience to this assignment and was a winner four starts back, though a ninth two starts back clouds his recent form; the 132 lb burden is a significant ask, and he faces a competitive field from stall one.
Form last 6471492
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR113RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Consistent enough in recent starts — second last time out and third two starts back among his finishes — but Volterra has been off the track for 168 days and remains yet to win in his last five, with a rating of 111 suggesting he holds his own without quite threatening at the top.
Form last 63823-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
107SR111RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Witness Stand shaped with promise when third two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a solid claims profile off a mark of 111 from stall 3; the risk is his tendency to disappoint, winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6082636
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR114RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Flora Of Bermuda arrives on the back of back-to-back wins, with three victories in her last five starts painting a picture of a mare in fine fettle; she has experience of today's distance and going, and 21 days since her last run suggests she is fresh and ready, though that unplaced run latest time out is the chief concern.
Form last 6-10110
★AI Rating★★★★☆
119SR113RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and winless in his last four starts, Wise Approach faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 34 days between runs suggests he returns fresh, but little else in his recent profile invites confidence.
Form last 61-5407
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
99SR106RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
More Thunder owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (70) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/11William HaggasTom Marquand
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Flora Of Bermuda
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · Andrew Balding✓ Value Signal
Myal
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Steph Hollinshead◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
More Thunder (SR 126, 10/11) is the clear class standout in this field — the next best SR is Flora Of Bermuda at 119, then Qirat at 112, a significant step down. The market has already shortened 11% to odds-on, reflecting genuine confidence from the Haggas yard (23% career strike rate, one of the sharpest in training). Crucially, More Thunder holds a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ for today's 7f6y trip on good ground at Doncaster, meaning both the trip and conditions are proven commodities. The MarkMv:+16 is the one mild concern — running off a mark 16lb higher than the last win — but in a Group 2 where all runners carry level weights of 9-6 (bar the lighter Flora and Wise Approach), that handicap framing is less relevant; the SR differential is what matters most, and 7 points of superiority over the next rival is decisive in a field this modest.
Each-way alternative: Flora Of Bermuda.
Main danger: Flora Of Bermuda — Flora Of Bermuda (SR 119, 13/2) carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-3 — a 3lb pull on the top weights — has a form string of -10110 showing three recent wins, and the Balding yard's #1 booking is Rodriguez (19% strike rate), suggesting yard confidence over stablemate Never So Brave; the only concern is GoingFit:- on today's good ground.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 4-2245: More Thunder has not won in five starts, with two consecutive fifth-place finishes suggesting a horse that may be in a downward cycle rather than primed for a Group 2 success.
Flora Of Bermuda (SR 119) arrives on a red-hot sequence of 10110 — three wins from last four — and is the only runner in the field carrying a sex allowance (9-3), giving her a 3lb edge over More Thun…
MarkMv:+16 is presented as mild, but More Thunder's last WIN came off a mark 16lb lower — in a Group 2 where the field is stronger, running a career-high mark without a recent win is a concrete flag…
Andrew Balding has two runners (Flora Of Bermuda + Never So Brave) including a confirmed Stable:1 flag on Never So Brave, suggesting yard fitness confidence; split stable resources can often signal F…
ShortlistMore Thunder, Flora Of Bermuda, Qirat
Each-way: Flora Of BermudaDanger: Flora Of Bermuda