Musselburgh 16:07 RESULTED
Class 6 12 Sep 2026

Saturday 12 September No Napier No Party Apprentice Handicap Stakes

No Napier No Party Apprentice Handicap Stakes · 1m0f2y

Official Result

No Napier No Party Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner King Sharja (GB) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Ruth Carr
    9/2
  2. 5/2F
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Book Of Life silks
Book Of Life
Age 6 · 9-10
452732
56
65
65
6
9-10
4/1 32/17 10/3
Placed second last time out and third two starts back, Book Of Life arrives on a retrieval timeline of just ten days and has experience of today's trip and conditions; winless in recent starts is the concern, but his profile here makes him a genuine threat.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Eagles Dream silks
Eagles Dream
Age 4 · 9-9
5-8805
55
55
73
4
9-9
17/2 10/1 15/2
Winless in her last five starts, Eagles Dream nonetheless catches the eye as the top-rated runner in the field, and having run over today's trip and going she is not without claims; drawn in stall two carrying 135 lb, she merits respect.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

3
Thats My Boy Luke silks
Thats My Boy Luke
Age 5 · 9-7
704563
53
62
65
5
9-7
7/2 7/2 3/1
Thats My Boy Luke has run over today's trip and going, arrives on a quick 19-day turnaround in decent nick, and our rating of 65 ranks him second of nine, making him a serious threat; the worry is he remains winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
King Sharja silks
King Sharja
Age 6 · 9-5
240562
51
61
62
6
9-5
5/1 11/2 9/2
King Sharja shaped with promise when second last time out and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 62 putting him notably ahead of his official mark; winless in his last six starts, though, is the concern to weigh up.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Defence Missile silks
Defence Missile
Age 4 · 9-4
895188
50
37
54
4
9-4
40/1 14/1 22/1
Defence Missile brings a win three starts back to recommend him, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but back-to-back eighths in recent starts are hard to ignore, and 130 lb is a stiff burden for a horse rated 50.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Due Respect silks
Due Respect
Age 4 · 9-3
489528
49
34
53
4
9-3
10/1 11/1 17/2
Winless in her last six starts, with only a second two runs back to show for it, Due Respect faces a stiff task ranked seventh of nine on our figures, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick turnaround of 19 days.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Approaching Dawn silks
Approaching Dawn
Age 6 · 9-2
341855
48
56
52
6
9-2
15/2 13/2 11/2
Ranked bottom of the nine on our figures and officially rated just 48, Approaching Dawn has managed only one win in his last six starts, with two fifth-place finishes among his recent efforts; experience over today's trip and going offers marginal comfort, but he looks hard to fancy from this position.
AI verdict

SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Our Nicola silks
Our Nicola
Age 4 · 9-0
0-0537
44
39
53
4
9-0
11/1 16/1 9/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Our Nicola faces a stiff task, though she does return on a sharp turnaround of 11 days, has experience of today's trip and going, and that third two starts back offers a slim crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Hale Bopp silks
Hale Bopp
Age 8 · 9-0
730037
42
52
53
8
9-0
7/2 6/1 11/4
Winless in his last six starts, Hale Bopp does at least offer a third two runs back as evidence he can hit form, and he has run over today's trip and going before; however, a seventh last time out and a rating of 42 suggest he faces a stiff ask from stall four carrying 126 lb.
AI verdict

SR 52 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Book Of Life 4/1 open 2.88 7/2 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 4/1 open 2.88 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 Bet365
2 Eagles Dream 17/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 17/2 Bet365
3 Thats My Boy Luke 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 3/1 open 4.50 7/2 Bet365
4 King Sharja 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
5 Defence Missile 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 Bet365
6 Due Respect 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
7 Approaching Dawn 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 Bet365
8 Our Nicola 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Hale Bopp 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 7.00 11/4 open 7.00 11/4 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.00 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Thats My Boy Luke

Speculative

Thats My Boy Luke owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Tim Easterby Jake Dickson(3)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Book Of Life

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Patrick Morris
✓ Value Signal

Defence Missile

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Linda Perratt
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Thats My Boy Luke
50.7 7/2
2 1. Book Of Life
49.8 4/1
3 4. King Sharja
48.6 5/1
4 9. Hale Bopp
46.6 7/2
5 2. Eagles Dream
46.0 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
King Sharja
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 9-7
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 9-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 9-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 9-5
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-2
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

6
Age 4 · 9-3
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 34 🐾

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

8
Age 4 · 9-0
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
King Sharja
Confidence: Speculative

King Sharja (SR:61, 9/2) carries the second-lightest weight among the contenders at 9-5 and has seen a significant 16% market move in, the strongest steaming of any horse in the field, suggesting informed support. While DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are concerns, these apply to most of the field, and the mark is down 5lb since his last win, giving connections reason to target this race. Running off the same class mark with a live jockey booking (Tom Kiely-Marshall, 10% CR from 487 runners), the weight-plus-market combination makes King Sharja the most convincing case in a weakly-rated Class 6 field where the SR leader has drifted sharply. Each-way alternative: Thats My Boy Luke. Main danger: Approaching Dawn — Approaching Dawn (SR:56, 13/2) has a Course:W1P2 record at Musselburgh — genuine course form — a 6% market move in, and carries the lightest weight of the senior contenders at 9-2, all of which combine to make him the most likely horse to spoil the party.

Case against 4 clamped
  • King Sharja's last six runs show form figures of 240562 — no win in that sequence and finishing 6th last time out, suggesting he is not in peak form heading into today.
  • Thats My Boy Luke has a far steeper mark drop of -10lb (vs King Sharja's -5lb), is rated one point higher (SR:62), and is trained by high-volume handler Tim Easterby — a more potent handicap angle at…
  • Tom Kiely-Marshall is a 5lb claimer with only a 10% strike rate from 487 runners — the joint-lowest CR among the main market players — limiting confidence that the booking adds meaningful value.
  • Book Of Life (SR:65, 11/4 favourite) holds a 4-point ratings superiority and, despite drifting 28%, remains on a -5lb mark move identical to King Sharja's at a shorter price, suggesting the market ma…
Shortlist King Sharja, Book Of Life, Thats My Boy Luke, Approaching Dawn
Each-way: Thats My Boy Luke Danger: Approaching Dawn

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m0f2y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade