PJ Towey Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f43y
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Old Harrovian | 17/2 | — | — | — | 11/1 | — | 11/1 William Hill |
| 1 Thunder Run | 11/4 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 6.50 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 David Of Athens | 50/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 17.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 City Of Poets | 15/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Pathein | 11/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Night Breeze | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.50 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 Coral |
| 7 Bunyola Bay | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Tony Montana | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Sportingsilvermine | 14/1 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Touch The Moon | 7/1 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Flying Frontier | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 12 Port Of London | 12/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 Betfred |
| 13 Tawajjah | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thunder Run owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Thunder Run (SR:109, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 6 points over the next-best City Of Poets (SR:103), and that ability edge is meaningfully reinforced by a 15% market move inward — the money is coming for this horse. Despite carrying top-weight at 9-12, the weight burden is manageable on good ground and the GoingFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness in these conditions. K.R. Burke fires at a solid 20% strike rate from 2,098 career runners — a trainer who does not waste market moves — and Clifford Lee at 17% is a competent booking. The form string (-72072) looks patchy on first read, but the ClassMv:= means this is a horse running at the same level where its ability has already been tested, and the SR of 109 dwarfs most of this field's workmanlike ratings. With City Of Poets unproven at this trip (DistFit:?) and stepping up a class tier, Thunder Run's combination of top SR, strong market move, and confirmed going preference makes it the most credible winner. Each-way alternative: Night Breeze. Main danger: City Of Poets — City Of Poets (SR:103, 15/2) has shortened 19% in the market, carries the James Tate yard's clear #1 signal with Rossa Ryan booked over the less experienced Tom Marquand on stablemate Flying Frontier, and posted a recent '394101' form string showing a last-time-out win — if the unproven trip (DistFit:?) turns out to suit, it can absorb the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) on the back of that momentum.