Chester 17:42 RESULTED
Class 4 12 Sep 2026

Saturday 12 September John Smith's Jump Jockeys Challenge Handicap Stakes (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)

John Smith's Jump Jockeys Challenge Handicap Stakes (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f63y

Official Result

John Smith's Jump Jockeys Challenge Handicap Stakes (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nibras Gold (IRE) Jonathan Burke · James Owen
    11/4F
  2. Second Arrange (IRE)
    12/1
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bravais silks
Bravais
Age 6 · 11-7
-50008
82
62
90
6
11-7
18/1 16/1 14/1
Bravais catches the eye on ratings, our figure of 90 the best of these on our numbers, and he returns on going he has encountered before after a 35-day break; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts and must convert promise into results.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Loki silks
Loki
Age 4 · 11-5
1222-1
80
78
84
4
11-5
6/1 11/4 6/1
Loki arrives on the back of a win last time out, with a runner-up finish two starts back and solid placed efforts filling his recent record — a thoroughly consistent profile underscored by our rating of 84. The one concern is a 117-day absence, which leaves his fitness on the day as the key question mark.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mick Collins silks
Mick Collins
Age 5 · 11-3
34/1-7
78
69
89
5
11-3
14/1 14/1 11/1
Mick Collins advertises his class with a win one start back, and his experience over today's trip plus a rating of 89 underlines his strong claims here; the main concern is whether a 49-day break has left him short of peak fitness.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Damascus Steel I silks
Damascus Steel I
Age 6 · 11-3
561185
78
58
79
6
11-3
SP
Damascus Steel I won two of his last six starts, including back-to-back victories two and three starts back, but has disappointed in each of his last two outings; he has run over today's trip and going before, though he shoulders 157 lb here.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Kind Of Kiss silks
Kind Of Kiss
Age 5 · 11-2
8-6059
77
52
89
5
11-2
40/1 FCST 33/1
Winless in his last five starts, Kind Of Kiss is nonetheless fitter than most coming here just 13 days after his latest outing, and his experience over today's trip is a useful foundation; at 156 lb, he faces a stiff task, but our figures suggest more ability than his official mark of 77 implies.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Kuredu King silks
Kuredu King
Age 4 · 11-1
1-4364
76
50
80
4
11-1
28/1 22/1 25/1
Returned a winner in his last five starts and has experience over today's trip and going, but a fourth and sixth in more recent outings temper expectations, and a trainer strike-rate of just 5% over the past fortnight is a concern under 155 lb.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

7
Nibras Gold silks
Nibras Gold
Age 8 · 11-1
152-12
76
88
77
8
11-1
5/2 3/1 9/4
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Nibras Gold is hard to fancy despite a record showing two wins in his last five starts; the hefty 155 lb burden is a significant concern, though he has run over today's trip and going before and arrives reasonably fresh after 37 days off.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Sigliosa silks
Sigliosa
Age 4 · 10-13
5353-6
74
71
77
4
10-13
17/2 8/1 17/2
Winless in his last five starts, with a pair of thirds offering the only encouragement, Sigliosa heads here ranked near the foot of our figures and carrying 153 lb, making him hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Haveyoumissedme silks
Haveyoumissedme
Age 8 · 10-13
527324
74
81
80
8
10-13
9/2 11/2 9/2
Winless in his last six starts but a second two runs back hints at residual ability, and he has run over today's trip and going before; 49 days off the track is a fitness query, though a career-high 153 lb burden is the sternest test of his claims here.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Spartan Times silks
Spartan Times
Age 5 · 10-11
13-526
72
67
73
5
10-11
8/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and carrying a hefty 151 lb, Spartan Times is hard to fancy despite his win in his last five starts and experience over today's trip and going, while a 63-day absence adds further uncertainty.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Arrange silks
Arrange
Age 8 · 10-7
-06223
68
71
80
8
10-7
10/1 11/2 10/1
Placed third last time out and second two starts back, Arrange arrives in decent nick after 36 days off, with experience of today's distance and going in her favour; yet to win in her last five starts and a stiff weight of 147 lb may test her resolve here.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bravais 18/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 25/1 Paddy Power
2 Loki 6/1 open 3.75 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.00 13/2 Paddy Power
3 Mick Collins 14/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Damascus Steel I
5 Kind Of Kiss 40/1 open 34.00 35/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
6 Kuredu King 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Nibras Gold 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
8 Sigliosa 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Paddy Power
9 Haveyoumissedme 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Coral
10 Spartan Times 8/1 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Paddy Power
11 Arrange 10/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Haveyoumissedme

Speculative

Haveyoumissedme owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Iain Jardine Danny McMenamin
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Nibras Gold

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · James Owen
✓ Value Signal

Kind Of Kiss

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Sam England
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Haveyoumissedme
55.7 9/2
2 7. Nibras Gold
54.2 5/2
3 2. Loki
54.1 6/1
4 8. Sigliosa
47.1 17/2
5 10. Spartan Times
46.8 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Nibras Gold
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 8 · 11-1
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 8 · 10-13
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 11-5
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 10-11
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 10-13
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 8 · 10-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 11-3
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 11-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nibras Gold
Confidence: Speculative

Nibras Gold (SR 88, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying 11-1 which is a manageable weight given the SR advantage over every rival. The market has firmed 23% — serious money coming for a horse at a market price already implying strong confidence. Course form of W1P2 at Chester is a meaningful edge on a track that heavily rewards specialists, and the form string 152-12 shows a horse consistently competing at the top of its mark. The GoingFit:- is the one concern on good-to-soft, but the combination of SR superiority, course specialism, and strong market support outweighs that single negative. Each-way alternative: Haveyoumissedme. Main danger: Haveyoumissedme — Haveyoumissedme (SR 81, 5/1) has course form of W1P1 at Chester, has shortened 11% in the market, and carries only 10-13 — 2lb less than Nibras Gold — which is a genuine weight-for-SR advantage if the going tests stamina on the soft side.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit is listed as 'tp' (turf/polytrack) with no flat 'good-to-soft' code — the going marked as a concern by the primary analyst is unresolved and could genuinely blunt Nibras Gold's form figures.
  • At age 8 carrying 11-1, Nibras Gold faces Loki (4yo, SR:78, form 1222-1, lighter 11-5) who has fresher legs and a trainer/jockey combo running at 15%/16% — recency and youth matter on Chester's tight…
  • The dash in the form string '152-12' indicates a seasonal break mid-sequence; 37 days since last run combined with age 8 means fitness returning from that layoff is not guaranteed at peak level.
  • Haveyoumissedme (SR:81, 5/1, Course:W1P1, age 8 peer) has comparable course credentials and is also firming in the market (+11%), offering a nearly-as-good course specialist at better value who split…
Shortlist Nibras Gold, Haveyoumissedme, Mick Collins, Loki
Each-way: Haveyoumissedme Danger: Haveyoumissedme

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m4f63y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Chester Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade