Big Stage Hire "Confined" Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Flat Race In 2026) · 1m3f137y
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Arundel | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Grey Fox | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Revich | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Three Yorkshiremen | 6/1 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 5 Shahbaz | 9/2 open 15.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 9/2 open 10.00 | 9/2 open 13.00 | 9/2 open 13.00 | 9/2 open 13.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Cogital | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Stintino Sunset | 2/1 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 9/4 Paddy Power |
| 8 The Pug | 7/1 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 9 Applejack Poet | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 31.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Arundel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Stintino Sunset (SR 66, 9/4) is the most complete package in this field. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at today's trip — the only runner with a positive distance flag — and a consistent form line of 343232 shows a horse that competes reliably at this level with ClassMv:= meaning no class adjustment risk. The MarkMv:-5 drop works in favour, and market has shortened 13% from opening. At 10-0, the weight is the second-lightest meaningful burden in the field, giving a genuine lbs edge over Arundel (11-2) and Grey Fox (11-0) who both carry significantly more. The barn (Julia & Shelley Birkett, 14% SR) is modest but this is clearly their yard's race to target. The one caution is GoingFit:~ rather than +, and jockey Ross Birkett at 6% career strike rate is thin, but the distance fit and weight advantage are decisive. Each-way alternative: Revich. Main danger: Arundel — Arundel (SR 69, 7/4) is the field's highest-rated runner and drops a class, but the MarkMv:+7 penalty and a crushing 11-2 top-weight on good ground are real burdens — if the weight doesn't stop it, the form line of 2245-3 is good enough to win.