Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) · 1m2f0y
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 88 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Almaqam | 9/2 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Hotazhell | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Lambourn | 33/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 67.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Wimbledon Hawkeye | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 William Hill |
| 5 A Boy Named Susie | 9/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Constitution River | 6/4 open 2.63 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 | 11/8 open 2.63 | 13/8 Coral |
| 7 Hawk Mountain | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | 28/1 William Hill |
| 8 Item | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 | 9/4 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Constitution River owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Constitution River (SR:139, 11/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin over Item (SR:136) and Almaqam (SR:134), and carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-3 as a 3-year-old, a significant advantage over older rivals at this trip. The form string 1-1113 — three wins and a third in a Group 1 — is consistent at the highest level, and Ryan Moore's booking (24% career strike rate, 1,011 runners) is the strongest jockey-trainer combination in this field, with A P O'Brien at 23% career strike rate over 1,234 runners. The market has shortened 8% since opening, confirming stable confidence, and Moore is clearly the yard's #1 pick from three O'Brien runners given Lambourn takes Declan McDonogh and Hawk Mountain takes Boudot. The sole concern is DistFit:? — insufficient sample at 1m2f — but at Group 1 level a horse of this ability with Ryan Moore aboard is trusted to see out the trip on good ground. Each-way alternative: Almaqam. Main danger: Item — Item (SR:136, 2/1) arrives as market favourite with form 1-1911 — two wins flanking a messy middle sequence that likely reflects a bad run rather than regression — and Colin Keane at 16% strike rate for Andrew Balding (18%, 2,933 runners) is a powerful combination, though GoingFit:? and DistFit:? introduce more uncertainty than Constitution River carries.