Bath 15:45 12 Sep 2026
Class 6 12 Sep 2026

Saturday 12 September Alliance Wales & West Handicap Stakes

Alliance Wales & West Handicap Stakes · 2m1f24y

off in —
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Doncaster

13:10–16:48 · 7 races

Bath

13:20–17:37 · 8 races

Chester

13:30–17:42 · 8 races

Leopardstown

13:35–18:10 · 9 races

Lingfield (AW)

13:38–18:17 · 9 races

Musselburgh

16:07–19:20 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Voting open
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Fram Castle Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Chillhi silks
Chillhi
Age 6 · 9-12
066-87
55
21
65
6
9-12
40/1 25/1 33/1
Chillhi is lightly raced on this evidence but our rating of 64 puts him ahead of the field, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions with just seven days between runs keeping him race-fit; the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

2
Fram Castle silks
Fram Castle
Age 5 · 9-12
0-8231
55
63
60
5
9-12
11/8 31/19 5/4
Fram Castle arrives here in excellent heart, winning last time out and placing in two of his three starts before that, and 10 days on he looks fit to go again; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 138 lb is workable for a gelding in this kind of form.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 13/8 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Simiyann silks
Simiyann
Age 6 · 9-11
042335
54
53
63
6
9-11
9/2 4/1 9/2
Simiyann has been a model of consistency in recent starts, finishing third two runs back and third three runs back, with a second four runs back underlining his claims, and having run over today's trip and going he lacks no obvious excuses; the risk is that he remains yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Fornido silks
Fornido
Age 4 · 9-4
244464
47
38
47
4
9-4
16/1 11/1 14/1
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

5
La Trinite silks
La Trinite
Age 4 · 9-4
9-2335
47
50
50
4
9-4
10/3 9/2 3/1
Placed third two starts back and again three starts back, La Trinite arrives fit on just 11 days' rest and has experience of today's going, though a fifth last time out and winless in her last five starts leaves her with plenty to prove from a tough 130 lb burden.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Cherry Cola silks
Cherry Cola
Age 10 · 9-3
65-864
46
46
57
10
9-3
10/1 10/1 9/1
Winless in her last five starts, Cherry Cola nonetheless rates considerably better than her official mark suggests and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the risk is that her recent finishes have not threatened the frame.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

7
Cloudy Rose silks
Cloudy Rose
Age 8 · 9-2
454874
45
42
53
8
9-2
17/2 FCST 15/2
Winless in her last six starts, Cloudy Rose faces a stiff ask, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 14-day turnaround; a rating of 53 suggests she holds a shade more ability than her mark of 45 implies.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Smith silks
Smith
Age 10 · 9-2
48-597
43
15
52
10
9-2
33/1 25/1 28/1
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 68 days off the track, Smith faces an uphill task from a rating of 43, though experience over today's trip and going offers some grounding, and a fifth three starts back hints at occasional better efforts.
AI verdict

SR 15 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Turton silks
Turton
Age 3 · 8-9
869569
48
20
45
3
8-9
50/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a string of mid-to-tail-of-field finishes culminating in a ninth last time out, Turton is hard to fancy on these figures, though he does have experience of today's going and returns after a relatively fresh 21-day break.
AI verdict

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

10
Make A Splash silks
Make A Splash
Age 3 · 8-8
96883
47
47
42
3
8-8
11/2 10/3 11/2
Winless in her last five starts, with consecutive eighths in recent outings, Make A Splash faces an uphill task from a lowly rating of 42, ranked tenth of twelve, and her trainer's current run of 0/20 in the last fortnight does little to inspire confidence despite the third last time out.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Lady Lauren silks
Lady Lauren
Age 3 · 8-6
650658
42
18
41
3
8-6
25/1 25/1 18/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Lady Lauren makes little appeal here despite returning on a quick turnaround of just 10 days and having experience of today's going.
AI verdict

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

12
N'Ion silks
N'Ion
Age 3 · 8-6
560860
38
15
35
3
8-6
80/1 50/1 80/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked last on our figures, N'Ion faces a stiff task here; a consistent run of mid-field and unplaced efforts offers little encouragement, though 17 days between runs suggests he at least arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 15 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Chillhi 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
2 Fram Castle 11/8 open 3.50 5/4 open 3.25 6/4 open 2.63 6/4 open 2.63 6/4 open 2.63 6/4 open 3.25 6/4 Coral
3 Simiyann 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 Coral
4 Fornido 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
5 La Trinite 10/3 open 6.00 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 6.00 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 Bet365
6 Cherry Cola 10/1 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 10/1 Bet365
7 Cloudy Rose 17/2 open 9.00 15/2 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
8 Smith 33/1 open 26.00 30/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Turton 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
10 Make A Splash 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 Paddy Power
11 Lady Lauren 25/1 18/1 open 31.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365
12 N'Ion 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Simiyann

Speculative

Simiyann owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (29) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Ian Williams Jack Callan
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Fram Castle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/8 · Michael Wigham
✓ Value Signal

Chillhi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Barry John Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Simiyann
48.3 9/2
2 2. Fram Castle
47.7 11/8
3 10. Make A Splash
45.1 11/2
4 5. La Trinite
44.2 10/3
5 6. Cherry Cola
41.4 10/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Fram Castle
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 9-12
11/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 13/8 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-4
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-11
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 8-8
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 9-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾

SR 42 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 10 · 9-3
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.

4
Age 4 · 9-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fram Castle
Confidence: Medium

Fram Castle (SR 63, 13/8) is the standout ability horse in this field by a considerable margin — the next-best SR is 53 (Simiyann) and most of the field is below 50. The market has backed this up firmly with a 13% inward move from the opening price. Course form of W1P1 at Bath is a clear positive on a specialist track, and the recent form string of 0-8231 shows a last-time-out win that puts the horse arriving in peak condition. The GoingFit:- flag is worth noting but the SR advantage is large enough (10 points over the nearest rival) and the market confidence so unambiguous that it overrides that concern at Class 6 level. Each-way alternative: La Trinite. Main danger: La Trinite — La Trinite (SR 50, 9/2) has the second-most favourable going record in the shortlist (GoingFit:~), carries a light 9-4, is trained by Neil King at a 23% strike rate from only 172 runners — a small but sharp yard — and the recent form string 9-2335 shows consistent placed effort at today's class level with untested distance potential leaving room for upside.

Case against 4
  • GoingFit flag is blank/unknown for Fram Castle (HG:v = visors, not a going code) — the horse's suitability for today's specific going at Bath is unverified, a real risk on a track where surface condi…
  • Jockey Alexandra Egan carries a 7lb claim but has only a 14% strike rate from 128 rides — relatively inexperienced at a tricky, tight-turning track like Bath where course craft is at a premium.
  • Form string 0-8231 shows the LTO win was a Class 6 success, but the '8' and '2' prior suggest inconsistency; the '0' before the break raises questions about durability at the top of a form cycle.
  • La Trinite (SR:50, 9/2) is trained by Neil King who strikes at 23% — the highest trainer strike rate in the field — and is only 13 points behind on SR, representing a live threat if Fram Castle hits…
Shortlist Fram Castle, La Trinite, Simiyann, Cherry Cola
Each-way: La Trinite Danger: La Trinite

🗺 The Course Class 6

2m1f24y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade