Bath 15:08 RESULTED
Class 5 12 Sep 2026

Saturday 12 September Andersons Drainage Solutions Supporting Bath Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes

Andersons Drainage Solutions Supporting Bath Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f10y

Official Result

Andersons Drainage Solutions Supporting Bath Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Space Dreamer (IRE) Harry Vigors · Ollie Sangster
    15/2
  2. Second Dowman (IRE)
    6/1
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Amber Ocean silks
Amber Ocean
Age 2 · 9-9
213
75
87
89
2
9-9
9/2 10/3 4/1
Amber Ocean showed a win two starts back and chases a follow-up off 45 days, bringing distance experience and a top rating of 89 to the table; the 135 lb burden is the one query, but her recent consistency makes her the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Knock Three Times silks
Knock Three Times
Age 2 · 9-8
22415
74
78
78
2
9-8
13/2 9/2 13/2
Knock Three Times won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, so she arrives with key boxes ticked; carrying 134 lb after 42 days off is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
South West silks
South West
Age 2 · 9-8
95319
74
69
75
2
9-8
14/1 17/2 14/1
Won two starts back but beaten into ninth last time out, South West has run over today's trip and going and returns after a 30-day break carrying 134 lb from stall seven — that winning form gives hope, though his recent reappearance was a step backwards.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dowman silks
Dowman
Age 2 · 9-7
22125
73
80
80
2
9-7
8/1 11/1 7/1
Dowman ran second two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a genuine danger, and our rating of 80 underlines his claims; the fifth last time out is the one to explain away.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Pj's Corner silks
Pj's Corner
Age 2 · 9-7
85311
73
86
76
2
9-7
7/2 5/1 7/2
Pj's Corner won his last two starts in good style and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a 133 lb burden from stall 10 and a trainer firing at just 4% in the past fortnight are notable checks on enthusiasm.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Perigord Noir silks
Perigord Noir
Age 2 · 9-5
34402
71
76
77
2
9-5
11/2 6/1 5/1
Perigord Noir arrives here fit on a 14-day turnaround, has experience of today's trip and conditions, and his rating of 77 puts him ahead of his official mark, making him a genuine threat from stall 2; the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Birkacre Brow silks
Birkacre Brow
Age 2 · 9-5
4021
71
70
70
2
9-5
14/1 15/2 12/1
Ranked bottom but one on our figures and rated just below her official mark, Birkacre Brow makes it hard to fancy at these weights, though she does arrive in decent nick — a winner last time out, second two starts back, and 23 days on the clock is a fair enough gap.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Space Dreamer silks
Space Dreamer
Age 2 · 9-5
551
71
68
68
2
9-5
9/1 15/2 17/2
Space Dreamer won last time out, which is genuinely encouraging, but two fifths in the starts before that win, combined with a speed rating of 59 and a ranking of tenth of ten on our figures, make her very hard to fancy from stall nine carrying 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Jazz Queen silks
Jazz Queen
Age 2 · 9-2
245465
68
61
76
2
9-2
16/1 FCST 14/1
Yet to score in her last six starts, Jazz Queen has experience of today's trip and conditions, and 21 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh; carrying 128 lb from stall one, her rating of 76 offers some encouragement, though consistency remains the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Penny Capri silks
Penny Capri
Age 2 · 9-1
6651
67
72
73
2
9-1
9/1 10/1 8/1
Penny Capri has been out of the frame in three of her last four starts, and ranked eighth of ten on our figures she faces a stiff task, though she does return on a winning note from 66 days ago and has experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Amber Ocean 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
2 Knock Three Times 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 Paddy Power
3 South West 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Paddy Power
4 Dowman 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 12.00 8/1 Bet365
5 Pj's Corner 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 Bet365
6 Perigord Noir 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
7 Birkacre Brow 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 Bet365
8 Space Dreamer 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
9 Jazz Queen 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Penny Capri 9/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Amber Ocean

Speculative

Amber Ocean owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole Jack Doughty
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pj's Corner

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Dylan Cunha
✓ Value Signal

Jazz Queen

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Hugo Palmer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Amber Ocean
54.0 9/2
2 5. Pj's Corner
54.0 7/2
3 6. Perigord Noir
51.6 11/2
4 4. Dowman
50.8 8/1
5 2. Knock Three Times
49.9 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pj's Corner
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-5
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-8
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 2 · 9-1
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pj's Corner
Confidence: Speculative

Pj's Corner (SR:86, 4/1) carries the joint-best Saturday Rating in the field alongside Amber Ocean, but crucially combines that ability with a market that has steamed in 23% — the strongest inward move of any runner — alongside confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and a course placing (W0P1). The recent form 85311 shows two back-to-back wins, both on a 14-day turnaround which is exactly the current gap, suggesting the yard is managing the horse at peak fitness. Running off a mark 4lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+4) is manageable at Class 5, and 9-7 is not a burdensome weight at this trip. Dylan Cunha's 13% strike rate with Stevie Donohoe's support at 12% is a consistent pairing, and the money arriving at 4/1 — already the joint-favourite — suggests confidence from those closest to the horse. Each-way alternative: Dowman. Main danger: Amber Ocean — Amber Ocean shares the field's top SR (87) and has confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) with a recent 213 form line showing consistent involvement, and though the market has drifted 23% — a concern — the raw ability rating and trip suitability make it the horse most capable of spoiling the selection on the day.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Amber Ocean holds a marginally superior SR (87 vs 86) and carries only 2lb more weight while Amber Ocean's market has drifted 23% out — suggesting sharp money has actively moved away from the joint-t…
  • Course record is W0P1 — one placing at Bath without a win; the track's pronounced camber and tight turns have so far not produced a victory, and a 2yo improving rapidly may not yet have mastered this…
  • A 4lb rise in the official mark following consecutive wins means the handicapper has reacted; in Class 5 two-year-old handicaps at Bath, horses absorbing back-to-back penalties off a freshly raised m…
  • Jockey Stevie Donohoe's overall book-strike rate of 12% from only 337 rides is thin volume, and his record specifically at Bath with this trainer is unverified — a specialist course like Bath can exp…
Shortlist Pj's Corner, Amber Ocean, Dowman, Penny Capri
Each-way: Dowman Danger: Amber Ocean

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f10y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade