H.r. Owen Lotus Manchester Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f15y
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 This Moment | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Quillan | 9/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Underdog | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Peaceful Warrior | 12/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Towelontheterrace | 4/1 open 17.00 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Rotelle | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Paper View | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 8 May Bee In Profit | 16/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Deputy Vice | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Naval Cop | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
This Moment owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
This Moment (SR 96, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field — an SR of 96 is meaningfully ahead of the next-best Quillan (89) and Towelontheterrace (87) — and the market has already shortened 8% from opening, confirming professional interest. The form string 242411 (reading right to left: last run a win, previous a win, consistent throughout) shows a horse hitting top form at the right time. George Boughey (18% strike rate, 1,255 runners) is a strong stable, and while the MarkMv:+6 and ClassMv:↑1 are mild headwinds, the SR gap over this field is large enough to absorb them at a 5f Chester track where class and sheer ability tend to dominate. The DistFit:+ confirms proven competency at this trip. Each-way alternative: Towelontheterrace. Main danger: Quillan — Quillan (SR 89, 8/1) has steamed in 17% in the market — identical move to Towelontheterrace — and a form string of 110 (two consecutive wins before the last run blank) at DistFit:+ on a class drop suggests the market knows this horse is primed to bounce back.