Ascot 13:15 RESULTED
Class 1 3 Oct 2026

Today Betmgm British Ebf October Stakes (Listed Race)

Betmgm British Ebf October Stakes (Listed Race) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Betmgm British Ebf October Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner So Regal (GB) Billy Loughnane · John & Thady Gosden
    11/10F
  2. 17/2
  3. 28/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 41 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
American Gal silks
American Gal
Age 4 · 9-2
-79008
96
90
102
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 11/1
American Gal is winless in her last five, with an eighth last time out and a seventh five starts back as her best finishes, though she is fresh enough after 20 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 102 sits above her official 96, but she carries 128 lb from stall 4.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Breckenbrough silks
Breckenbrough
Age 4 · 9-2
-34556
98
77
94
4
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 9/1 22/1
Breckenbrough is hard to fancy, having slipped from a third five starts back to a sixth last time out and remaining winless in her last five outings. She has run over this trip and on this going, and she's fit enough after 20 days off, but 128 lb from draw 10 asks plenty with our figures ranking her tenth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Dash of Azure silks
Dash of Azure
Age 4 · 9-2
702209
100
97
100
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 7/1 8/1
Dash of Azure has twice finished second, three and four starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but she's yet to win in her last six and was only ninth last time out, 48 days ago. Drawn 2 and carrying 128 lb, she looks a mid-pack type on our rating of 100.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Mostar Dreams silks
Mostar Dreams
Age 5 · 9-2
924399
95
69
94
5
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 50/1 66/1
Mostar Dreams is hard to fancy after back-to-back ninths and no win in her last six starts, though a third and a second earlier in that run show some ability. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 94 ranks her ninth of 12 off 128 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Albaydaa silks
Albaydaa
Age 3 · 9-0
321582
89
93
96
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 9/1 7/1
Runner-up last time out and a winner four starts back, Albaydaa has run over today's trip and going, and a 30-day break is no concern, though an eighth two starts back shows she can be inconsistent. Drawn one and carrying 126 lb, her 96 rating ranks only seventh of 12.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Awaken silks
Awaken
Age 3 · 9-0
-00646
99
84
103
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 14/1 16/1
Awaken is fresh from a run 14 days ago and has experience over today's trip and going, while our top-ranked runner at 103 sits four pounds above her official 99, despite carrying 126 lb from stall three. The risk is that she is still without a win, with a sixth last time out and a fourth two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Domina Ignis silks
Domina Ignis
Age 3 · 9-0
1-3007
97
98
103
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 10/1 15/2
Domina Ignis has a win five starts back and a third four starts back, and she's fresh enough after 20 days, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 103 puts her second of 12, but a seventh last time out is the worry.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Josh's Joy silks
Josh's Joy
Age 3 · 9-0
31-755
94
94
95
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 25/1 17/2
Josh's Joy won four starts back and was third five starts back, but she has since finished a seventh, then a fifth, then a fifth last time out, so the trend is down. She has run over today's trip and is rated 95 by us, eighth of 12, after 34 days off.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Just A Girl silks
Just A Girl
Age 3 · 9-0
422283
95
76
93
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 33/1
Without a win in her last six starts, Just A Girl has been placed four times in that spell, including a third last time out, but she was eighth two starts back and has had 56 days off. Carrying 126 lb from draw 12, she has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank her 11th of 12.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Midnight Tango silks
Midnight Tango
Age 3 · 9-0
60-206
102
99
102
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 15/2 6/1
Midnight Tango has a second three starts back to point to and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 102 ranks her fourth of 12. The risk is a sixth last time out and 42 days off, leaving her yet to win in her last five.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Secret History silks
Secret History
Age 3 · 9-0
114136
83
74
92
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 33/1 14/1
Sixth last time out after a third two starts back, and now 44 days off, Secret History has to prove the winning run is behind her, though she did win three starts back, and again five and six starts back. She has run over today's trip and going, but ranks last of twelve on our figures from draw 7.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
So Regal silks
So Regal
Age 3 · 9-0
3-1125
103
95
103
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
11/10 FCST Evs
So Regal arrives with two wins in her last five starts, a winner three and four starts back and a second two starts back, before a fifth last time out. She has run over today's trip and on the going, though 35 days off is a small reservation.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 American Gal 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Breckenbrough 22/1 open 10.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 11.00 28/1 Paddy Power
3 Dash of Azure 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.00 8/1 17/2 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Paddy Power
4 Mostar Dreams 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
5 Albaydaa 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 10/1 William Hill
6 Awaken 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 William Hill
7 Domina Ignis 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 10/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 11/1 William Hill
8 Josh's Joy 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 31.00 17/2 open 26.00 17/2 open 26.00 11/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Just A Girl 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 Paddy Power
10 Midnight Tango 15/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 10.00 6/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 17/2 Paddy Power
11 Secret History 25/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 51.00 14/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 51.00 25/1 Bet365
12 So Regal 11/10 6/5 open 2.00 6/5 open 2.00 6/5 open 2.00 evn 11/10 6/5 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

So Regal

Live signal

So Regal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 John & Thady Gosden Billy Loughnane
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Albaydaa

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Secret History

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Ed Walker
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 12. So Regal
59.8 11/10
2 5. Albaydaa
55.4 9/1
3 3. Dash of Azure
54.6 11/1
4 7. Domina Ignis
54.5 10/1
5 10. Midnight Tango
54.5 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
So Regal
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

12
Age 3 · 9-0
11/10
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-0
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-0
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-0
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-0
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
So Regal
Confidence: Speculative

So Regal (SR:95, evens) is the market leader for good reason: Gosden/Loughnane is the strongest connections pairing in the field (24% trainer, 18% jockey), and a Course:W1P1 record at Ascot is a meaningful edge in a Listed race on a specialist track. The form string 3-1125 shows progressive improvement, the horse is proven at 7f (DistFit:+) and running off the same class (ClassMv:=), keeping conditions familiar. The evens price reflects genuine market conviction, and while the SR:95 is not the field's peak, no rival combines course form, top connections, distance fitness and market confidence in the same way. Each-way alternative: Josh's Joy. Main danger: Domina Ignis — Domina Ignis (SR:98, the field's joint-highest SR alongside Midnight Tango) has steamed in 33% in the market and the combination of top ability rating and strong confidence from connections makes it the most likely spoiler, even if the moderate distance record (DistFit:~) is a mild concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • SR:95 is below three rivals in the field — Midnight Tango (99), Domina Ignis (98) and Dash of Azure (97) all hold a raw ability edge that evens odds do not adequately compensate for.
  • Form string 3-1125 shows the last two runs were a '2' and a '5', meaning So Regal finished second then fifth most recently — a backwards step that undermines the 'progressive improvement' narrative.
  • Domina Ignis drifted in 33% in the market and is 20 days fresh with a top SR, posing a live pace threat that could expose So Regal if it needs to race prominently at 7f on Ascot's stiff finish.
  • At evens So Regal is asked to beat a 3-y-o filly field in a Listed race on the back of a fifth-place run 35 days ago — punters are paying a premium largely on connections name rather than recent race…
Shortlist So Regal, Domina Ignis, Josh's Joy, Albaydaa
Each-way: Josh's Joy Danger: Domina Ignis

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade