Redcar 16:35 RESULTED
Class 2 3 Oct 2026

Today Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight-mile Series Final Handicap Stakes

Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight-mile Series Final Handicap Stakes · 7f219y

Official Result

Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight-mile Series Final Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nyman (IRE) Joanna Mason · Roger Fell
    14/1
  2. 9/2
  3. Third Welbury (GB)
    4/1
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 42 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Theoryofeverything silks
Theoryofeverything
Age 6 · 9-12
458175
89
79
95
6
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 8/1
Fit after just 14 days, Theoryofeverything has run over today's trip and on this going, and he won three starts back, his one win in his last six starts. Our rating of 95 makes him the one to beat, though his last two runs, a fifth and a seventh, are the one reservation off 138 lb from stall ten.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Classic Encounter silks
Classic Encounter
Age 5 · 9-11
761423
88
89
93
5
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 10/3 5/1
Classic Encounter arrives in solid form, third last time out and second the run before, with a win four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our 92 rating ranks him second of 14. The main risk is an 80-day absence, so fitness is the question.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Welbury silks
Welbury
Age 3 · 9-10
224110
90
91
89
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 9/2 4/1
Welbury won two starts back and again three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on the going before, so he is a leading threat off 136 lb. The risk is an unplaced run last time out and a 43-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Rajapour silks
Rajapour
Age 6 · 9-8
1F5172
85
78
85
6
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 9/1
Rajapour was beaten only once in the places last time out, a second after a seventh, and he has won twice in his last six starts. He's back quickly after 13 days and has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 134 lb from stall 14 leaves little margin, with our rating ranking him fifth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Double Parked silks
Double Parked
Age 4 · 9-4
031506
81
84
86
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 15/2 9/2
Double Parked won four starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while a 27-day break suggests he's fresh; our rating of 86 puts him fourth of 14, so he's a real threat. The main risk is his form since, a sixth last time out and unplaced before that, carrying 130 lb from draw 11.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Nyman silks
Nyman
Age 4 · 8-10
643915
73
70
81
4
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 8/1 11/1
Nyman was a winner two starts back and a fifth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 22 days off. Our rating of 81 ranks him sixth of 14, so he looks a midfield sort, and his ninth three starts back shows the inconsistency that holds him back.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Wild Dahlia silks
Wild Dahlia
Age 3 · 8-9
12-364
75
74
72
3
8-9
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 FCST 4/1
Wild Dahlia has slipped from a win five starts back to a fourth last time out, and a sixth two starts back, so the trend is soft, though she has run over today's trip and returns after 23 days. Our rating of 72 sits below her official 75, and she runs from stall 1 off 121 lb.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Poet's Dawn silks
Poet's Dawn
Age 11 · 8-8
117930
71
46
70
11
8-8
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Poet's Dawn looks a tough sell, unplaced last time out and beaten into ninth and seventh in two of his last four, though he did win twice five and six starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Back within 10 days, he's 13th of 14 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Barley silks
Barley
Age 7 · 8-8
244013
71
69
78
7
8-8
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 13/2 14/1
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Barley is in decent shape after 16 days off, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 78 ranks him only seventh of 14, though, and he has just the one win in his last six starts, with 120 lb from stall 13.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Harswell Ruby silks
Harswell Ruby
Age 4 · 8-6
524404
69
51
74
4
8-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 20/1
Harswell Ruby has been consistent without a win, finishing fourth last time out, and fourth again four starts back, with a second five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. Fresh enough after 18 days, she's rated 74 by us against an official 69, but she's yet to win in her last six.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

11
Up The Jazz silks
Up The Jazz
Age 5 · 8-5
127525
68
46
72
5
8-5
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 40/1
Up The Jazz was fifth last time out after 15 days off, and has finished second twice in his last six, but he's been beaten in all five since a win six starts back. Having run over today's trip and going helps, though our ranking of 11 of 14 makes him hard to fancy from stall 9.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Shadow Run silks
Shadow Run
Age 3 · 8-2
402569
67
49
73
3
8-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 FCST 33/1
Shadow Run has run over today's trip and going and was second four starts back, but he has faded to a ninth last time out and is winless in his last six. Trainer's 0/22 form and a mid-pack ranking of ninth of 14 on our rating temper the appeal.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

13
Law of Design silks
Law of Design
Age 4 · 8-2
955523
63
71
72
4
8-2
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 7/1 15/2
Law of Design is winless in his last six, though a third last time out and a second two starts back show he's in some sort of form, and he has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 12th of 14 on our figures, he's hard to fancy from stall 5.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Mount King silks
Mount King
Age 6 · 8-2
129465
62
41
67
6
8-2
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 16/1 40/1
Mount King has slipped from a win six starts back to a fifth last time out, with a sixth and a fourth in between, so the form is trending the wrong way. He has run over today's trip and going, and 18 days since his last run is fine, but our figures rank him last of 14.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Theoryofeverything 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 17/2 Bet365
2 Classic Encounter 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
3 Welbury 9/2 open 11.00 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
4 Rajapour 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 11/1 William Hill
5 Double Parked 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 Bet365
6 Nyman 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
7 Wild Dahlia 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
8 Poet's Dawn 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
9 Barley 16/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Bet365
10 Harswell Ruby 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
11 Up The Jazz 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
12 Shadow Run 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
13 Law of Design 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 William Hill
14 Mount King 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Double Parked

Speculative

Double Parked owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Tim Easterby David Allan
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Welbury

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Edward Bethell
✓ Value Signal

Poet's Dawn

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Double Parked
54.4 9/2
2 3. Welbury
54.3 9/2
3 2. Classic Encounter
53.9 5/1
4 1. Theoryofeverything
53.3 17/2
5 7. Wild Dahlia
49.2 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Welbury
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 8-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-11
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 4 · 8-2
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 9-12
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 8-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 7 · 8-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Welbury
Confidence: Speculative

Welbury (SR 91, 9/2) is the clear form pick in this field, combining the highest Saturday Rating with a 30% market inward move — the strongest steaming signal in the race. The 3-year-old's form reading right-to-left shows 0-1-1-4-2-2, with back-to-back wins in the two most recent outings, confirming a horse in peak form. Both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at today's trip and on good going, and Course:W1P1 at Redcar removes any track-specialist concern. The +11 mark move is a flag, but the trainer Edward Bethell runs at 18% strike rate, and the jockey Oisin Orr at 14% — a confident booking that fits the market move. At 9/2 with this breadth of aligning signals, Welbury is the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Double Parked. Main danger: Double Parked — Double Parked (SR 84, 5/1) has steamed in 40% — the joint-strongest move in the race — carries only 9-4 (8lb less than Welbury), has Course:W3P6 making it a genuine Redcar specialist, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm today's conditions suit; Tim Easterby's #1 from four runners, this is a serious challenger.

Case against 4 clamped
  • A +11 mark rise is substantial for a 3-year-old; Welbury's two recent wins may have come at a lower handicap ceiling and this higher mark has not yet been tested in a race.
  • Double Parked is steaming in harder (40% market inward move vs Welbury's 30%) and carries 6lb less at Course:W3P6 — deeper course form and stronger money may point elsewhere.
  • 43-day absence is notable; both prior wins came off shorter breaks, and the HG:p flag suggests headgear was used previously but is not listed today, raising a fitness or equipment question.
  • Classic Encounter (SR:89, Course:W2P3) is only 2 SR points behind at 5/1, fresher market rivals with strong Redcar course form present a genuine threat to Welbury holding favouritism on merit.
Shortlist Welbury, Double Parked, Classic Encounter
Each-way: Double Parked Danger: Double Parked

🗺 The Course Class 2

7f219y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade